Conference League Quali, 2nd round, first leg, Thursday, 25.07.2024 at 20:00
So you don’t get confused: The 2nd round of Conference League qualifying will see FK Radnicki 1923 clash with Mornar Bar on Thursday evening.
FK Radnicki Nis, who have been more successful on the international stage in the past, are not represented in the European Cup this season.
My Radnicki Mornar Bar betting tip therefore pits two internationally inexperienced teams against each other, with Mornar already causing a major surprise in the first round.
Will the Montenegrins now also impress in the first leg in Serbia? Let the facts speak for themselves
There’s no need to beat about the bush: For FK Radnicki 1923, participation in the Conference League qualifiers is already a major success.
In fact, the Serbs are almost a blank slate at international level. Only between 1969 and 1971 did they spend two seasons in the then Mitropacup.
Incidentally, they did not achieve more than a place in the quarter-finals. And FK is not exactly one of the figureheads of Serbian soccer either. The only title they have won so far was the second division championship in the 2020/21 season.
In short: Radnicki is at best in the third tier in international comparison
It’s fitting that the start to the new season was a failure. They suffered a high-scoring 3:2 defeat at home to relegation candidates Pancevo.
And that brings us to the topic. FK’s rather wild approach to the game has been a feature of the last few months.
The bet “over 2.5 goals” would have been successful in nine of the last eleven Radnicki games. In the last six games alone, 16 goals have been scored.
Top bookmakers such as Sunmaker Germany are offering excellent odds of around 1.69 for at least two goals from FK in the home game against Morna Bar.
However, the Serbs are unlikely to have a walk in the park against the Montenegrins.
In fact, Mornar Bar caused a big surprise in the first qualifying round.
They won the first leg 2:1 against the clearly favored Dinamo Tbilisi and then managed to save themselves for the second round with a 1:1 draw in the second leg.
It has to be said that this is the first time Mornar Bar have played on the international stage this season, so their performance against Tbilisi can be considered a successful debut
Generally speaking, the Montenegrins are in the most successful phase in the club’s history.
In the pre-season, they kept pace with leaders Decic Tuzi for a long time and ultimately finished as runners-up, six points behind them.
The efficiency with which Mornar Bar were able to operate is particularly noteworthy
After 36 matchdays, they had a ten-goal worse goal tally than runners-up Podgorica, but still managed to collect three points more.
Despite their success against Tbilisi, Mornar Bar are still not really in the flow at the start of the new season.
If you take the test matches into account, FK have only won one of their last four games. Moreover, they only kept a clean sheet against Beograd (0-0).
Whether the “double chance X2” for the game against Radnicki at odds of 2.20 will ultimately pass as a value bet remains highly questionable. Worthwhile in any case is the current Betano voucher, which can be used without hesitation.
But back to the topic: While namesake Radnicki Nis even made it to the semi-finals of the UEFA Cup in the 1980s and were allowed to compete with Hamburger SV (2:1, 1:5), the historical record of FK Radnicki 1923 simply does not provide any comparative data
Accordingly, FK will face a Montenegrin team for the first time ever in Mornar Bar. At the same time, the game against Radnicki is Mornar Bar’s first match against a team from Serbia.
As you can see, the statistics for the clash in the 2nd round of the Conference League qualifiers are unfortunately not that great
Conclusion: FK Radnicki 1923 against Mornar Bar. What sounds like a duel from the back of the European Cup drawer ends up being one.
Both teams basically have no European Cup experience whatsoever and were thrown in at the deep end at the start of the new season.
However, the success against Dinamo Tbilisi gives a small indication that Mornar Bar cannot be brushed aside in passing. Radnicki are therefore likely to face a difficult task despite their home advantage in the first leg.
The likelihood that both teams will be primarily active on the offensive is not exactly small given the statistics shown. My Radnicki Mornar Bar betting tip is therefore: There will be more than 2.5 goals in total
