NFL 2024/25: Ravens – Bills
Dear football fans, the odds selection for this NFL tidbit really wasn’t easy for me. But don’t worry, I don’t mean that I haven’t found a suitable Ravens Bills tip. I have too many strong betting slips ready for you.
One of them will ultimately make it onto the presentation plate here, the +5.5 handicap win for the visitors at Betano. I’ll introduce you to the others in the next few lines. Even if bags under the eyes are inevitable, this top match will be watched live at 02:20 on Monday morning German time!
The situation remains tense for last year’s finalists in the AFC Conference match. Baltimore missed out on the Super Bowl by a hair’s breadth, with the Kansas City Chiefs once again claiming the title.
The first game week saw the two AFC superpowers go head-to-head, with another narrow victory for superstar Patrick Mahomes’ team.
The subsequent home game defeat against the Las Vegas Raiders was unexpected. The bookmakers were expecting a clear victory for the Ravens. Record: 0-2
The pressure was already on against the Dallas Cowboys. But they were able to withstand it thanks to a strong first half, while their opponents’ defense did not. As against the Saints, Dallas had major problems. The Ravens covered 274 yards through the running game alone.
Another 182 were added by passes from the agile Lamar Jackson, making a whopping 456 yards for the NFL’s best offense to date, measured purely in yards after three game weeks. A clear reinforcement is Derrick Henry, who arrived from the Titans for the new season.
When Jackson doesn’t want to take his legs in his own hands, he now has one of the best running backs in the NFL at his side, who brings a completely different profile with his 112 kilograms at 1.91 meters. While Jackson exploits the empty spaces, the powerhouse is not afraid to make tackles.
With 203 rushing yards per game, the Ravens are second only to the Green Bay Packers. Henry ran for a touchdown in all three matches, and against the Cowboys he was able to celebrate twice in the end zone. The touchdown rate against the Bills is still quite astonishingly high at 1.65!
Just to introduce another one of my favorite odds for this match. The Betano app has many more to choose from.
Since I get a 1.57 for the Bills’ +5.5 handicap, it’s clear that Buffalo travels to Baltimore as the underdog, the ratio in favor of the hosts: 1.75 to 2.15. I see value here for the visitors.
Yes, Buffalo will have problems with the strong Baltimore offense in some phases of the game, but the visitors have played strong defense in recent matches and know how to cover distance in phases of possession.
Punter Sam Martin has had a quiet season so far. In three matches, he has only had to kick the ball out of his own half six times. Only the Commanders top that figure with just three punts to start the season. In any case, I assume that the Bills will be able to keep up the scoring pace well.
Since quarterback Josh Allen is more unagitated on the field. He hasn’t thrown an interception so far, compared to 18 in the regular season last year, with only Sam Howell throwing the ball into the arms of opponents more often.
Allen is playing quick, short passes more often this season and less risky medium and long balls. The Bills stay on the field longer, build pressure on opponents’ drives and have a very versatile offensive game with the running game and their own rushing yards through number 17.
The QB is the top favorite to score a touchdown with the guests with a 2.35 rate, unsurprisingly after 15 rushing touchdowns in the 2023 regular season alone, the second most in the NFL, making all running backs look old.
Jackson has a 2024 average of a whopping 84.7. Due to the dangerous nature of Henry and the resulting alignment and reaction of the opposing defense, Jackson can be even more effective in the run game this year when the RB is faking runs.
Both players are in the top-10 in yards per game. However, since Jackson rarely visits the end zone and usually uses Henry in the redzone plays or prefers the pass, the 2.40 for the Jackson touchdown is too risky for me.
NEO.bet has a perfect odds boost for this match. There are 6.00 odds for at least one touchdown for both quarterbacks and they are also tax-free.
Conclusion and Prediction: There are several betting slips available for this match: the Henry, Jackson or Allen touchdown, four to eight touchdowns in the match as a Bet365 betting configurator combination or the odds boost from NEO.bet.
Whatever you choose, I’ll keep my fingers crossed for you. Ultimately, I think the Bills handicap win +5.5 is the best choice. As strong as the Ravens running game is, the defense has yet to convince me.
The Ravens have allowed the most via the passing game so far and that is still Josh Allen’s core competency. His Bills have been caught off guard by the Ravens in phases, but Buffalo ultimately offers the better overall package in the game with and against the ball.
The punting unit has only had to come out six times so far, and Allen has matured this season, has the best QB rating with 92 and has yet to record an interception, and has only been sacked twice with the help of the O-line. If it’s going to be a loss for the team from the East Coast, it shouldn’t be a big one!
Therefore, my Ravens Bills tip is: The Bills win +5.5 handicap
