Rayo Vallecano – Barcelona Prediction La Liga, Matchday 3 on Sunday, 08/31/25 at 9:30 p.m.
Barca had to work hard last week against the promoted team to bag the three points. That’s what I call a comeback!
Now, just before the international break, another unpleasant opponent awaits the Catalans, one that many are not counting on either.
I wouldn’t necessarily want to inaugurate the first-class Merkur Bets bonus with a Rayo Vallecano Barcelona tip on the visitors.
After all, based on what I’ve been able to find out and what the first La Liga match days have revealed, a manageable number of goals is more likely.
My Rayo Vallecano Barcelona tip: Under 3.5 goals
These are the arguments for my tip:
- This condition has been met in each of the last 9 direct duels!
- Vallecano was only beaten from the penalty spot last week!
- Barca has had a tough time visiting this opponent recently!
Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona AI predictions:
ChatGPT’s Rayo Vallecano Barcelona AI tip with a risky slant is Double Chance 1X, which I find almost too daring at interesting odds of around 2.95 – at least under these circumstances.
This is because the hosts were in action in the Conference League during the week and are not used to this double burden at all.
Although they will really demand everything from the Catalans, in the end the visitors should still come away with a narrow victory!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Rayo Vallecano win |
Draw |
Barcelona win |
| 14.1% |
18.1% |
67.8% |
Lewandowski scoring at odds of around 1.75 doesn’t appeal to me at all – I would have expected a higher value here. The Pole is not getting any younger, has just recovered from a muscle injury and also looked pale against Levante!
Both scoring at 1.65 is another suggestion that I turn my nose up at.
That’s because 1-1 and 1-2 are the only two results in the entire spectrum of possible final scores that I consider possible and that fulfill this condition. Here, too, the payout is not worth the risk.
What you need to consider when betting on Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona
- Barcelona has won only 1 of its last 4 away games at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano has lost only 2 home games in 2025.
- However, Barcelona has won 8 of its last 9 La Liga games.
- Lamine Yamal has scored at least 1 point in his last 5 games for Barca, whether in friendlies or competitive matches.
