Bundesliga matchday 26, Saturday, 15.03.2025 at 18:30
The two Champions League contenders – but the starting positions could hardly be more different. While BVB entered the quarter-finals of the top flight with a broad chest, Leipzig have long since been eliminated.
The question remains: Who will come out on top in the direct duel on the 26th Bundesliga matchday?
Meanwhile, my RB Leipzig Dortmund betting tip for you is that it’s difficult to make a promising RB Leipzig Dortmund bet at all – at least if you want to pick a winner.
In my opinion, the best route to success is a proven under-2.5-goal bet instead.
Dortmund must do everything they can against Leipzig to avoid falling behind by even a second on Saturday – because that would be a real problem for BVB.
Since the spectacular 2:1 win in the first leg, when the Black & Yellows managed to turn around a deficit, they have not picked up a single point in the Bundesliga after falling behind (7 defeats).
So will Borussia really be able to hold their own from the start in this soccer thriller, or will Leipzig once again stumble over their own inconsistency?
The betting tipsters’ forecast?
There is no clear favorite here! RB Leipzig are slightly favored at 2.50, but Dortmund are lurking close behind at 2.70.
Meanwhile, the draw at around 3.65 also confirms that the bookmakers are expecting a close game.
In fact, the RB Leipzig Dortmund odds of no bookmaker deviate significantly from these values.
AI prediction RB Leipzig vs Dortmund: This is what ChatGPT
The RB Leipzig Dortmund AI prediction from ChatGPT provides several betting options. But to be honest, none of them are so good that I would recommend them to you with fervor. I’ll explain why.
For example, “Victory Leipzig & Over 2.5 goals” is suggested for the high risk. But that’s one thing – RBL is not really in top form at the moment, even if the odds are quite attractive. A matter of judgment at best!
For medium risk, the AI recommends “Double chance 1X”. However, I would prefer to bet directly on a draw here, as a draw seems much more likely to me than a home win for the “Red Bulls”.
Finally, “Over 2.5 goals” is mentioned for a safe bet. This mark has been broken in each of the last three encounters, but I also discard this tip, as my desired result for Saturday is secretly 1:1.
Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund
The RBL professionals will probably have watched with nostalgia during the week how their upcoming opponents have now advanced to the Champions League quarter-finals thanks to their 2:1 victory against Lille.
After all, RB Leipzig could have been there too if things hadn’t gone slowly but steadily downhill for them since then.
The problem is not even that they are losing games in a row, but that they are simply drawing far too often – as they did the previous week at Freiburg (0:0).
Dortmund, meanwhile, have achieved slightly better results under new coach Kovac than under his predecessor, but the many personnel worries are probably keeping the coach awake.
Half a dozen players are missing, and a midfield vitalizer like Daniel Svensson – who only arrived in the winter – is now also unfit for action.
As a result, I disagree with ChatGPT and his RB Leipzig Dortmund AI prediction of a 2.5-goal mark being cracked on Saturday.
Analysis of odds
Now let’s move on to some RB Leipzig Dortmund tips, which in my opinion are dripping with “value” like a good Argentinian steak is dripping with fat.
“Under 3.5 goals” at 1.57 – I really like that. This time it really doesn’t have to get as out of hand as in the last direct duels.
“Draw” at 3.55 in the Betano app is really strong in terms of the risk/reward ratio. With an odds boost, you can even skim off additional profits!
RB Leipzig vs. Dortmund: It’s 0:0 for a long time …
The bookmakers are preparing for a high-scoring game in their respective RB Leipzig Dortmund odds, which will produce between three and six goals.
However, I maintain that such a match – especially in view of the absences on both sides – is by no means set in stone.
Instead, I present you with some interesting indicators that suggest that, despite the difficulties in attack, there could well be surprising twists and turns in the course of the match.
This is the sixth time the Saxons have drawn 0-0 in Freiburg this Bundesliga season – the last time Sportclub had so many goalless games in a full Bundesliga season was in 2017/18.
In total, RBL already have nine draws to their name, which is the highest tally of the season and a new club record at this stage.
So it’s by no means out of the question that a potential nil-nil on the scoreboard on Saturday could last a very long time.
BVB also with scoring problems?
And Dortmund aren’t known for scoring goals on an assembly line either, which secretly confirms my expectation of a low-scoring encounter.
After all, Borussia have already gone goalless three times in the second half of this Bundesliga season – and only once in the entire first half of the season.
In the 0:1 draw against FC Augsburg, BVB even managed just one shot on goal, the fewest of the season in Mainz at the beginning of November (also 1).
By the way, another direct comparison: RBL have won six of their last eight competitive matches against Borussia Dortmund (2 defeats). Since the summer of 2021, they have won all four home matches against BVB.
In the first half of the season, Borussia Dortmund won 2-1 at home, while Dortmund’s last Bundesliga win in Leipzig was celebrated in January 2021 with a 3-1 victory.
My RB Leipzig Dortmund betting tip: Under 2.5 goals!
Due to the numerous absences and the charging inhibitions in the offense of both teams, the game between RB Leipzig and Dortmund could be surprisingly uneventful.
A prolonged 0-0 stalemate is a distinct possibility, as both teams could struggle to successfully convert their attacks.
It will be interesting to see how these deficits affect the game.
My tip: Under 2.5 goals
