Bundesliga matchday 28, Saturday, 05.04.2025 at 15:30
RB Leipzig are facing a decisive phase in the Bundesliga. After the bitter cup exit under new coach Zsolt Löw, they now have to be careful not to lose touch in the final league sprint.
If Leipzig slip up against Hoffenheim on matchday 28, they could face an unexpected international sabbatical. After all, the competition for the European places is strong and another defeat could have serious consequences.
TSG, on the other hand, don’t want to give anything away and a win could give them a boost in the relegation race. Meanwhile, my RB Leipzig Hoffenheim betting tip tells you which Interwetten sportsbook could be the best for this match.
RB Leipzig v Hoffenheim – a match that nobody would have classified as a “crisis summit” before the season. But that is exactly what it has become for both clubs. Both clubs are miles behind their respective expectations at the start of the season.
With just 42 points after 27 games, Saxony, for example, are experiencing their worst Bundesliga season ever. At the same time, TSG have the second-worst record in their own club’s history at this point, with 27 points and a goal difference of -16.
For both teams, it’s not just about points, but also about damage limitation in a disappointing 2024/25 season so far. Who can turn things around?
The bookmakers’ prediction?
The bookmakers with PayPal see RBL clearly ahead in the home game against Hoffenheim – with a 1.55 for victory, they are almost expected to take a walk.
TSG, on the other hand, would have to have a great day to come away victorious, according to the bookies with odds of 5.75.
According to most of the RB Leipzig Hoffenheim odds, this should be a one-sided affair in favor of the “Red Bulls”, even if I wouldn’t be so sure.
AI prediction RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: ChatGPT
The RB Leipzig Hoffenheim AI prediction from ChatGPT brings some exciting betting options with it. In fact, I’m very happy with the first two recommendations!
For the high risk, for example, “Over 4.5 goals” is thrown into the room at odds of 4.00. Good tip! After all, a total of seven goals were scored in the first-round duel – another open exchange of blows is therefore quite conceivable.
For a medium risk, on the other hand, the AI recommends “Sesko scores” at 2.05. Acceptable, because the Slovenian finally scored again in the cup against Stuttgart during the week. Perhaps a signal for more?
Finally, ChatGPT suggests “RB Leipzig win” for a safe bet. But after the weak debut of new coach Löw, the odds are too low for me to actually want to bet on a home win here.
Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig are in a deep crisis. After the bitter 1:3 in the DFB Cup semi-final against Stuttgart, their last chance of winning the title is gone and things are not going well in the league either.
Only two wins from the last eleven Bundesliga games (6 draws, 3 defeats) have left their Champions League hopes shaky.
No team has won less often in this phase, and the offense in particular is a cause for concern: Leipzig have failed to score in four of their last eight league games.
Hoffenheim could benefit from this spell of weakness. The Kraichgauers won the first-round match 4:3 – Ilzer’s first victory as coach – but have failed to score in all competitions since then.
TSG’s record in Leipzig is also sobering: no wins in the last eight visits to the Red Bull Arena (2 draws, 6 defeats).
Nevertheless, the Kraichgauers have something to cling to ahead of Saturday. They have won three of their last five league games away from home (2 defeats).
Odds Analysis
“Over 3.5 goals” at 2.30 is a great tip – the second-round duel should be as turbulent as the first half of the season. Both teams have enough offensive power to crack this mark again.
I also like “Both teams to score” at 1.60. That seems pretty safe, as this bet has already been successful in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head matches. In addition, TSG need to switch into attack mode more than ever!
RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim: No action after the 75′?
You should have a stopwatch to hand if you’re using the handy Bet365 app on Saturday – because it could get relatively boring in the last 15 minutes on Saturday!
RB Leipzig have only conceded five goals in the final quarter of an hour this Bundesliga season – together with Augsburg the lowest figure in the league. However, two of these goals were conceded in the first leg against Hoffenheim.
On the other hand, the Kraichgauers conceded just 12% of their goals in the final 15 minutes (6 out of 49), which is the lowest percentage in the league.
That speaks for a match in which it might be better not to necessarily speculate on a hot final phase!
By the way: Without Rose, the Saxons and us soccer fans will definitely be missing something on Saturday.
After 90 Bundesliga games, Marco Rose is no longer coach of RB Leipzig – no coach has spent longer on the touchline in the first division. His record of 1.87 points per game was strong, but things have not gone well this season.
Leipzig are only scoring 1.5 goals per game, conceding an average of just 12.2 shots and conceding 14.6 – all negative records for the club in a Bundesliga season.
Without their long-term coach, the Saxons could therefore continue to wobble for the time being. So those of you also betting on RBL coming under pressure on Saturday could find good odds this weekend!
Good omen for Leipzig!
Zsolt Löw makes his Bundesliga debut as head coach this weekend – and if history is any indication, things could go well for RBL. After all, both Domenico Tedesco and Marco Rose won their first league game with the Saxons.
Löw himself already knows the Bundesliga as a player: he was promoted with Hoffenheim in 2007/08 and made 27 appearances in the 2nd division. However, he only made one appearance for TSG in the Bundesliga.
Now he wants to take off as a coach – and if his predecessors are anything to go by, his debut for Leipzig could be a success!
Also interesting when you consider their shared history: Hoffenheim won the first-round duel 4-3 and are now unbeaten in two Bundesliga duels against Leipzig.
Three games in a row without defeat against RBL? That would even be a first for TSG!
My RB Leipzig Hoffenheim betting tip:
Leipzig is the favorite in the betting markets for the clash against Hoffenheim, but the odds seem too low to me. RBL are struggling with a difficult phase after the change of coach, while TSG are good for surprises from time to time despite their fluctuating form.
The first-round match already ended with a high-scoring 4:3, and I expect it to be an open exchange of blows again this time, which will produce a similar number of goals.
My prediction: Over 2.5 goals & Both teams will score
