Champions League, Wednesday, 01/22/2025 at 6:45 pm
On Wednesday, RB Leipzig will play their last home game in the 2024/25 Champions League season. The Bulls are one of three teams to have zero points after six matchdays.
This means that coach Marco Rose’s men have already been eliminated from the competition and will soon be able to concentrate on the domestic competitions. How are the home side now approaching the game against Sporting Lisbon?
In sporting terms, nothing much is at stake anymore. On top of that, the personnel situation at the Saxons is extremely tense and an important home game against Bayer Leverkusen is coming up in the Bundesliga at the weekend.
But if you ignore the game, the mood among fans threatens to finally change after the disappointing season so far. The odds of the RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon forecast offer us no help.
For the RB Leipzig v Sporting Lisbon game, I’m going for the “double chance X2 & over 1.5 goals” tip at odds of 1.70 from Admiralbet.
The bookmakers’ forecast
The home advantage and the market value (532 million to 479 million euros) actually speak in favor of the home side. But of course the bookmakers have not failed to notice the weak CL season of the bulls.
So the RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon odds see the guests slightly ahead. At the betting providers without tax, you get odds of 2.38 on average for a three-pointer for the guests.
However, the difference is only slight, which is proven by RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon betting odds between 2.75 and 2.88 for a win by the home team.
KI-Prognose RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lissabon: Darauf tippt ChatGPT
Auch ChatGPT hat uns wieder mit einer RB Leipzig Sporting Lissabon Prognose versorgt. Der Tipp “Beide Teams treffen” birgt ein geringes Risiko, bringt bei Bet365 aber auch nur eine Quote von 1,53 ein.
Then comes the RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon betting tip “Over 3.5 goals”, which is played with a medium risk and is rewarded by Betway with an interesting odds of 2.50.
I can live with both suggestions very well. That’s because RB has played four games against teams from Portugal in the European Cup so far. A total of 16 goals were scored in these four games.
In addition, there was not a single “white vest”. Last but not least, the AI suggests the RB Leipzig vs. Sporting Lisbon bet “Result 2:1”. For this, you could win ten times the amount of your bet.
But betting on results is generally very risky and should only be done with great caution. I would only bet a minimal amount on a tip like that.
Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon
The week actually started quite well for Leipzig with a 4-2 home win over Bremen. But the 2-1 loss in Stuttgart during the week meant that, for the sixth time this season, a lead resulted in a defeat.
And then, as a guest in Bochum, RB finally lost control. At half-time, the Bulls were still leading 3-0 at VfL. In the end, the Saxons lost a 3-0 lead for the first time in the club’s history.
After the 3:3 at the bottom of the table, Leipzig are no longer in one of the top four places for the first time since the 4th matchday. After Bochum scored, helplessness, passivity and naivety reigned.
Of the last ten league games, RB have only won three (2W, 5D). This means that the minimum goal of “qualifying for the Champions League” is in great danger.
In the premier class itself, the bulls had had big problems throughout the season. They suffered defeats against Atletico (1:2), Juventus (2:3), Liverpool (0:1), Celtic (1:3), Inter Milan (0:1) and Aston Villa (2:3).
Of course, RB also had a tough program. But above all, the defense became more and more porous as the season progressed. In the first ten BL games, Leipzig played seven times to zero.
In the following eight matches, they only managed to keep a clean sheet in 22 matches. Five of the last seven home games in the European Cup were lost.
Odds Analysis
In the Champions League, the Bulls were also unable to capitalize on a lead. All three games after taking the lead were lost. Lois Openda has scored seven points (5 goals, 2 assists) in 13 CL games.
If the 3.5 goals of the AI are a bit too high for you, there are still decent odds of 1.62 for the RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon tip “Over 2.5 goals” at NEO.bet, for example.
The RB fans can also hope for goals from their team. That’s because Sporting has conceded a total of 34 goals in 15 away games in Germany. That brings us to the “Leipzig over 1.5 goals” bet, for which Bwin is offering odds of 2.15.
And, of course, you have to keep an eye on top guest striker Viktor Gyökeres. No striker is currently as sought-after in Europe as the Swede.
The attacker has scored 33 goals in 31 competitive games for Sporting this season. If he scores again on Wednesday, LeoVegas rewards that with odds of 2.15.
RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon odds: The Lions have recovered
Sporting Lisbon had to let go of their successful coach Ruben Amorim to Manchester United in November. It was no surprise that his successor Joao Pereira faced a difficult challenge.
The new coach did not even last two months. Shortly after Christmas, Rui Borges took over as the third manager this season.
And in five games under Borges, the “Leoes” are still unbeaten. In the league, the green-whites have taken the lead again and have a cushion of three points over the first pursuer.
51 goals in 18 Primeira Liga games is the best offense. With 23 points from ten away games (7W, 2D, 1L), the Lions are also ranked first in the away table.
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Sporting are still in with a chance of progressing
The only setback under Borges was a defeat in the League Cup semi-final on penalties to neighbors Benfica. However, this result is counted as a draw in the statistics.
In the Champions League, Sporting have picked up ten points. They beat Lille (2-0), Sturm Graz (2-0) and Manchester City (4-1), but lost to Arsenal (1-5) and Bruges (1-2) and drew with Eindhoven (1-1).
12 of their last 18 CL away games were lost (4W, 4D). On the final matchday, they will host FC Bologna, who are also still without a win after six matchdays, at their own stadium.
The cushion to 25th place, where the club would be eliminated from the Champions League, is just three points.
Both clubs will meet for the first time on Wednesday. Leipzig actually have quite good memories of duels against teams from Portugal. In the 2017/18 season, a 3-2 home win over Porto meant the first European Cup victory in the club’s history.
With two wins, a draw and a defeat, RB also have a positive record against Portuguese clubs. Sporting, on the other hand, have only won four of 30 duels against Bundesliga clubs (6W, 20D).
On German soil, the record is not much better (1W, 1D, 13D). However, if you only look at the numbers since the 2022/23 season before making a RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon prediction, there is some hope for the visitors.
During that time, Portuguese teams have won three of their last four away games in Germany (1N). They previously needed 33 matches to achieve as many successes.
My RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon tip:
How will Leipzig bow out of the premier class? I believe that Marco Rose, although he already has to do without some regular players due to injury, will rest other key players in view of the Bundesliga clash against Leverkusen.
On the other side, everything is still at stake for Sporting in the Champions League. Every point counts. The visitors are still unbeaten under their new coach and, in my opinion, will remain so.
My RB Leipzig Sporting Lisbon prediction: Double chance X2 & Over 1.5 goals!
