Real Madrid – Barcelona Prediction La Liga, Matchday 10 on Sunday, 10/25/2025 at 6:30 p.m.
One thing is clear: a Real Madrid vs. Barcelona prediction is always a very special affair, because the Clasico usually provides a preliminary decision in the battle for the Spanish championship.
In my LaLiga prediction, I explain why there will be a winner on Sunday (4:15 p.m.) and why both the Royals and the Catalans will score goals.
I recommend the following bet: Double chance 12 and both teams to score at odds of around 1.80 at Betano.
The Real Barca betting odds from our sports betting providers see the hosts as favorites. A home win will bring in roughly double the bet amount. The odds for the Catalans to prevail and knock Real off the top of the table are around 3.20.
That leaves the draw, which has odds of 4.00 and above. At this point, I would like to note that the last draw in the league between Real and Barcelona was in 2019.
If you still want to bet on a draw, I would check first to see if you can use a free bet for it.
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona AI predictions:
Our artificial intelligence also does not expect a draw. The implied probability of winning for this tip does not even reach the 25 percent mark. A home win is 50 percent likely, which corresponds exactly to the odds of 2.00.
If I add the 30% for a Barca win, I arrive at an implied probability of 80 percent for the first part of my Real Madrid Barcelona prediction. The double chance 12 is quoted at 1.20.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Real Madrid win |
Draw |
Barcelona win |
| 49.50% |
24.39% |
31.25% |
Our AI tool also supports me in the second part of my Clasico betting recommendation. Real has an xG value of 2.12, while Barcelona has a slightly higher value of 2.19. The chance that both teams will score on Sunday is therefore correspondingly high.
In five of the last six Clasicos, both teams have scored at least one goal. However, the betting odds for this bet are only 1.30, which in my opinion is too low.
In summary, the AI predicts 4.41 goals in the match between Real and Barcelona. An over 4.5 goals bet is too risky for me, but I found the right Asian bet at Bet365 for over 4.0 goals at odds of 2.35. If you expect a maximum of three goals, you can still count on 1.545.
For my Real Madrid vs. Barcelona prediction, I have opted for the double chance 12, so I assume that there will be no points shared in the twelfth Clasico in a row. Since both the Royals and the Blaugrana are very strong offensively, I expect goals on both sides.
What you need to consider when betting on Real Madrid vs. Barca
- Real Madrid has won its last eight home games.
- The Blancos have conceded at least one goal in each of their last seven Clasicos in front of their own fans.
- Barcelona, who beat Olympiacos 6-1 on Tuesday, have 24 hours more recovery time than Real, who celebrated a 1-0 win over Juve on Wednesday.
- Both teams have scored in each of Barcelona’s last six competitive games.
- Kylian Mbappe has scored 11 goals in eight games against Barcelona, five of them in his four Clasicos to date.
