Real Madrid – Juventus Tip Club World Cup, Round of 16 on Tuesday, 01.07.2025 at 21:00
The field at the Club World Cup is thinning out! In the penultimate round of 16 on Tuesday, the Royals will face the Old Lady, and my Real Madrid Juventus tip will show you why I expect the favorites to win, but believe the underdogs are capable of scoring a goal.
Furthermore, in this Real Juventus prediction, you will find an overview of other exciting Club World Cup bets, including the latest information and the current betting odds for this high-class match.
Goals are guaranteed in this match, as the Spaniards have the fifth-best offense in the group stage with seven goals. Juve, despite only finishing second in their group, have scored the third-most goals (11) behind Bayern Munich and Manchester City.
It is therefore no surprise that I believe the Italians are capable of scoring against the new team of former Leverkusen title-winning coach Xabi Alonso.
Real Madrid – Juventus Prediction & Betting
As mentioned above, I am predicting a win for Real Madrid in my Real Madrid Juventus tip. Although the 1×2 betting odds are quite acceptable, I’m still going for “both teams to score” to more than triple my potential winnings (odds 3.15).
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A “both teams to score” bet alone will give you odds of just over 1.70, and if more than 2.5 goals are scored, you can look forward to similarly high odds. Goal bets can therefore be a more than useful alternative for your Real Juventus bets.
What you need to bear in mind when betting on Real Madrid vs. Juventus
- Real Madrid has scored three goals in two consecutive games for the third time since March 29. In January, Los Blancos scored three or more goals in five consecutive games.
- Juventus conceded five goals against Manchester City for the first time since January 2023 (Napoli – Juventus 5-1). The Bianconeri have conceded four goals twice this season, 1-4 against Inter and 0-4 against Atalanta.
- With odds of around 1.67, Real Madrid are at a similar level to their last three competitive games against Juventus when they were the home team (1.65, 1.66 and 1.69). Los Blancos won only one of those games.
- Real Madrid have played Juventus 21 times in competitions, more than any other Italian team. Madrid have won ten games, lost nine and drawn twice. The record in the last five games is even, with one draw and two wins for each team.
- Juventus’ Kenan Yildiz contributed to the team’s success in the group stage with four goal contributions (three goals, one assist) despite only playing 180 minutes. Only Bayern’s Michael Olise was more successful with five goal contributions.
Real Madrid – Juventus: odds analysis
As in the last three meetings in which Real Madrid were the home team, the bookmakers once again see the Spaniards as favorites against Juventus Turin.
The current average odds of around 1.70 are roughly in line with those of previous encounters, although Los Blancos have only won one of those games. Could this be a warning sign for you ahead of the round of 16?
According to our in-house AI model, Real has a 56% chance of winning within 90 minutes, which suggests a closer game than expected and odds closer to 1.70.
Therefore, the Asian handicap bet of -0.75 for Real Madrid should be avoided.
The bookmakers expect both teams to score. Over 2.5 goals are priced at 1.70, which promises a good chance of winning. For comparison, Real Madrid Juventus odds are around 2.00 for an “under 2.5 goals” bet.
The combination of a Real Madrid win and ‘yes’ on “both teams to score” or “over 2.5 goals” offers a solid option for those looking to more than triple their stake.
Kylian Mbappe is the favorite to score with odds of around 1.77, but this bet should be treated with caution given his recent illness.
In my opinion, a bet on Kenan Yildiz, who already has three goals and one assist to his name, is a little more promising. The odds for a goal from the Juve player are 4.00.
The best odds for Real Madrid vs. Juventus
A look at the Real Madrid Juventus odds for a classic 1×2 bet clearly shows the Spaniards as favorites. A win for Los Blancos will generally get you odds of around 1.65, so it could also be played on its own.
If there is no winner after 90 minutes, the average odds are 3.80, but I don’t think the Old Lady has what it takes to push Real to their limits.
Although a Juve win may seem attractive given the betting odds of around 5.00 and the fact that Juve won their last competitive match (albeit in April 2018), I don’t think the Italians will prevail.
The overall record is slightly in Real’s favor with ten wins, two draws, and nine defeats.
Real Madrid vs Juventus match analysis:
The clash between Real and Juve is the first competitive match between these two clubs since the quarterfinals of the 2017/18 Champions League. This match is particularly exciting from a German perspective, as it will determine Borussia Dortmund or Monterrey’s potential quarter-final opponent.
A lot has changed for these two clubs since their most recent encounter in 2018. It was the last of seven Champions League matches between Real and Juve in six seasons. Turin won two of those games and reached the final twice, but failed to lift the trophy.
Since then, the club has been in turmoil and has changed coaches six times.
Madrid is facing a new beginning under Xabi Alonso. This is the first major test for the new coach of the Madrid club. The results so far have been promising. However, on closer inspection, there are some worrying signs.
Madrid has conceded an average of 16.7 shots on goal per game in this Club World Cup. Los Blancos have created quite good scoring chances with 1.84 xG per game. The problem is that they have conceded an average of 1.57 xGA per game.
Juventus’ statistics are not much better. The Bianconeri were dominated by Manchester City, conceding 3.92 xG and 24 shots on goal.
Real Madrid form check
The 15-time Champions League winners came into the Club World Cup with high expectations, but also as a test run for coach Alonso.
A slow start and a draw against Al-Hilal were followed by two clear wins against Pachuca and Salzburg. But Los Blancos have not really been put to the test yet.
A closer look at the statistics reveals a few problems. The Madrid side are not at the top of any of the relevant statistics:
They are 10th in expected goals, 8th in possession and 11th in touches in the opponent’s penalty area.
Despite a rather average performance so far, Real remain one of the favourites to win this competition.
Against Juve, Xabi will need flexibility and intelligence in the transition phase, and players like Jude Bellingham should shine in the deeper midfield role with support from full-backs Alexander-Arnold and Fran Garcia, who cover both sides.
Juventus form check
Two wins and a humiliating 5-2 defeat to Manchester City keep Juventus far from being considered the top favorite to win the title.
The Italians are currently in ninth place according to the club world championship odds, making them one of the big outsiders.
A disappointing season for the Bianconeri led to the appointment of Igor Tudor with nine games remaining in Serie A. The Croatian coach has suffered only two defeats so far, against Parma in the domestic league and now against City in the US.
Juventus have performed well offensively thanks to star players such as Kenan Yildiz, Chico Conceicao, and Randal Kolo Muani, with eleven goals in their three Club World Cup games so far speaking for themselves.
Nevertheless, there are still weaknesses in defense. The Bianconeri have conceded 2.0 goals per game so far, with an expected goals against average (xGA) of 5.6 (ninth place).
In addition, they are second only to Auckland City in saves per game, which speaks volumes about the gaps in the defense that goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio has to plug.
If Juventus can find a solution to its defensive problems, it could be very dangerous with its outstanding attack.
My tip: Real win and both teams score
