Real Madrid – Rayo Tip, AI Prediction & Odds 01.02.2026

Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano Prediction | La Liga, Matchday 22 on Sunday, 01/02/26 at 14:00 CET

Anatoly Trubin’s goal into the net of the Whites last Wednesday will go down in the history books and marks the second avoidable setback for the Madrid team under new coach Arbeloa.

By the way, I don’t think he will stay in office for long. In view of the current odds of the bookmakers with PayPal, it is crystal clear that I will inevitably have to take the side of the guests with regard to the La Liga stake on Sunday.

My Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano tip blatantly distrusts Los Blancos – to proclaim an average of 1.20 for a home win is simply not enough for me. Instead, I prefer a guest win with HC +2 at odds around 2.15.

I can’t get rid of the feeling that the “Los Franjirrojos” could cause another surprise despite the current downturn in form, as they did in the first half of the season duel (0:0).

Real Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano AI predictions:

If our Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano AI prediction is correct with its first suggestion, then it would fit so well with what we have seen more and more from the Madrilenians since the departure of Xabi Alonso.

1st goal: Rayo Vallecano would harmonize perfectly with their current many setbacks and at the same time give you a really great odds of around 4.05.

Of course, it’s not a safe suggestion, but one with a real chance of success and, if necessary, you can still fall back on an Interwetten Freebet available to you.

Predicted chance of winning:

Victory Real Madrid
Draw
Victory Rayo Vallecano
76.7%
14.6%
8.7%

Secondly, our AI recommends a simple draw bet. In fact, I’m honestly not a big fan of this proposal, as I see the Madrilenians very close ahead. Nevertheless, the ratio between one euro stake and six euro payout is certainly not bad.

By the way, the first half of the season duel was a zero number and therefore I can also live very well with the last recommendation of my digital betting friend – 1st half: Under 1.5 goals at values around 1.65.

Also because this mark could not be cracked at the change of sides in six of Rayo Vallecano’s last eight La Liga games.

What you need to know about Real Madrid vs. Rayo betting

  • Real Madrid are extremely confident at the Santiago Bernabeu, winning two-thirds of their previous home games by at least two goals.
  • The Whites have a perfect success rate after taking the lead and have won all 15 games in which they scored the 1-0 in this La Liga season.
  • Rayo Vallecano’s matches are usually subdued before the break, with exactly one goal scored in the first half in six of the last eight games.
  • The guests from Vallecas reveal defensive weaknesses away from home after the break and conceded the most goals in the league in the second half.

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