La Liga, Matchday 30 on Saturday, 05.04.2025 at 16:15
After Real Madrid have secured their place in the final of the Spanish Cup, I would like to make sure that you have access to a risk-free free bet without deposit at any time with a corresponding reference.
Because according to my Real Madrid Valencia prediction, the next good opportunity to risk an interesting soccer bet is on Saturday.
The visitors, who were labeled as the blatant underdogs by the betting providers with PayPal, were even ahead at half-time last Saturday at the Santiago Bernabéu.
Only a goal from Bellingham and another from Mbappé at the start of the final quarter of an hour straightened the picture from the Madrilenians’ perspective – the final score was 3:2.
The game against Leganés was just as crazy for Real as the one against Real Sociedad a few days ago (4:4), as both teams were almost on a par in terms of the quality of the scoring chances created, with respective xG values of 2.95 and 2.87.
What stands out, however, is that Leganés achieved this despite only having 29% possession.
Real’s defense is and remains prone to mistakes, which is also reflected in the fact that both teams have scored at least once in the last seven competitive matches.
This last insight paves the way for a “both teams to meet” bet for Saturday, which currently promises odds of 1.83 on the Bet365 app.
After all, this condition has already been quickly fulfilled in each of the last three direct duels between Real Madrid and Valencia.
A 5:1 for Real, a 2:2 and another 2:1 first-round victory for the Madrilenians over “Los Che” in the current season mark this period.
In addition, you must not forget that Valencia’s defense has deteriorated massively in recent months.
Apart from the fact that they haven’t scored a goal away from home since October, which means they haven’t done so in nine away games, they have been massively undermined in recent weeks.
I like to recall the 1:7 against Barcelona at the end of January and the 3:3 at Osasuna, which also did not exactly speak for an outstanding defensive performance.
The “both teams to score” bet is three times more lucrative than a simple home win bet.
The Real Madrid Valencia odds for a home win are just 1.35.
That’s simply not high enough for me given the Madrilenians’ recent performance at the Bernabéu and the fact that Valencia haven’t lost an away game by more than one goal since October (!).
I’m most likely to expect another nail-biting win for Real Madrid on Saturday, which could end up with a possible 2:1, 3:1 or even 3:2.
However, “Over 2.5 goals” at odds of 1.53 is simply not high enough for me in relation to the payout, as the bookmakers are assuming too strongly that the Madrilenians will score all the goals on Saturday.
Who is running hot, however, is undoubtedly Kylian Mbappé. The Frenchman failed to make a lasting impression in the Nations League quarter-finals, but is the ideal man to bet on for Saturday.
He has scored in each of his last three appearances for Real Madrid (five times in total) and, with odds of around 1.77, is a hot candidate for a promising Real Madrid Valencia bet.
I would recommend the more risk-averse betting fans among you to trust Mbappé to score the first goal of the game, as the win multiplier is even higher at 3.75.
Conclusion: According to my Real Madrid Valencia betting tip, this will be a tough affair for the hosts as it was a few days ago against the promoted team.
Valencia will keep at it and not let themselves be shaken off easily, as “Los Che” have been unbeaten for four LaLiga games and will certainly not give in easily.
Real Madrid win and both teams score
