Champions League, Tuesday, 17.09.2024 at 21:00
32 teams, eight groups, eight teams “relegated” to the Europa League? What we have known for years from our UEFA Champions League tips will be a thing of the past from the 2024/25 season! From now on, the premier league will wear a different guise.
But not only that, we also welcome clubs that have not been able to listen to the wonderful sounds of the anthem for a long time. VfB Stuttgart, the reigning runners-up, have truly earned their place in the competition and are right in the middle of the new mode. But: I can see a handicap coming against VfB.
In my Real Madrid VfB Stuttgart betting tip, I will now examine the Swabians’ chances. They start their international adventure with the defending champions, the game in the legendary Estadio Santiago Bernabéu has been firmly anchored in the minds of the kickers since the draw
The Whites must not underestimate their opponents, which almost went wrong against Union Berlin a year ago. Nevertheless, the home side are clearly the favorites, with the Stuttgart team at 9.30 to 1.30.
I don’t think these Real Madrid VfB Stuttgart odds are completely out of thin air, as I believe that the favorites will prevail by at least two goals in the end. That’s why I’m going to tell you in my analysis what leads me to the 0:1 handicap for the Spaniards
The bookmakers’ prediction
Real Madrid and the Champions League, it just fits. The stars have plenty of experience in the top flight, so I’m not at all surprised to see odds of 1.30 against the CL returnees from Stuttgart.
On the other hand, it’s a little difficult to predict how nervous the visitors will be. The fact that they have been given the role of underdog with odds of 9.30 will probably not bother VfB much.
A draw, that is clear, would be a great success for the Neckar club. However, with the odds jumping above 6.00 in some cases, the bookmakers don’t really think the division of points is realistic.
KI prediction Real Madrid vs VfB Stuttgart: ChatGPT bets on it
What betting options are there for the match between Real Madrid and VfB Stuttgart? Artificial intelligence helps us here, because I have had the AI create three tips with different levels of risk for you.
With regard to the high risk, it suggests that I bet on a win for the Swabians. In my opinion, that’s not really realistic. Stuttgart are much weaker away from home in the Bundesliga than at home, and I also suspect that the players are nervous and I know how ripped off Real are in the CL.
A goal by Vinicius Junior is considered medium risk. ChatGPT gets my approval here, because the attacker has also scored a few times in the league. Since the Brazilian is also the penalty taker and the Madrilenians like to get whistles for themselves, this bet could pay off.
You take a small risk if you follow the Real Madrid Stuttgart AI prediction of 1.5 goals in half-time 1. To be honest, I’m a bit skeptical here. Real have kept all their CL games close in 2023/24, and they also scrambled to victories in the Primera Division. So I would perhaps rather keep an eye on the “Under 1.5 goals”, which is similarly rated at 1.77.
Analysis: Real Madrid vs VfB Stuttgart
All new in the Champions League! Starting this week, 36 teams will go on the hunt for the trophy, with each team playing eight group matches. The top eight go straight through to the round of 16, while all the others compete in play-offs for the remaining places
Three points are still at stake in any case – surprise. VfB Stuttgart is back in the elite circle, an incredibly strong 2023/24 season flushed the Swabians into second place in Bundesliga 1.
For the first time since the 2009/10 season, the club can once again compete with the best, when they were clearly defeated by FC Barcelona in the round of 16. So the last game in the CL was against a Spanish team, and the first after the comeback will follow suit
Analysis of odds
What other bets can I recommend after a detailed look at the bookmakers? Somewhat risky, but not entirely unrealistic, is the bet that it will still be a draw at half-time, but that Real will win in the end. With odds of 4.10, this combination is very effective.
You can also place a result bet. Since I believe that the Whites will win relatively clearly, I would bet on a solid 2:0, which would give us odds of 8.50.
That would also mean that more goals will be scored after the break than before. A popular tip, which in this case would mean odds of 1.85.
Stuttgart to watch out for offensively
15 times VfB have faced an opponent from Spain, but never Real Madrid. The record: four wins, four draws and seven defeats – there could certainly be better results.
But what about the team’s current form? Just in time for the clash against Real, it seems to have finally stabilized. Stuttgart first lost 3-1 to Freiburg, then squandered a lead against Mainz and only drew 3-3.
They finally won in Mönchengladbach, 3:1, so I can hardly blame the team offensively. Serhou Guirassy is no longer there, but new signing Ermedin Demirovic is making a big impact and Deniz Undav is also in top form
How much do the Swabians concede?
The two have already scored six competitive goals between them. A look at Bet365 reveals that Undav is the player most likely to score against Real, with odds of 4.00 for this bet.
Do the bookmakers believe that Stuttgart will score at all, regardless of who scores? I take a look at Bet-at-home and see that the odds are just under 1.55. On top of that, you also benefit from the Bet-at-home bonus.
Defensively, the Swabians will of course have to be very careful, as they only kept a clean sheet against Münster in the cup. And let’s be honest: THIS opponent is not even remotely comparable to Münster!
Frans Krätzig, who has been plagued by calf problems of late, is doubtful for Tuesday. Whoever ends up on the pitch, there can certainly be no more motivation than a game in the Bernabeu against the defending champions.
How will Real Madrid deal with the task of VfB Stuttgart? A year ago, they knocked out RB Leipzig and FC Bayern in the knockout round and then beat Borussia Dortmund 2-0 in the final.
What did the games against German teams have in common? They were all damn close and could easily have gone either way! Union Berlin, the fourth representative of the 2023/24 season, was also present as an opponent in the group stage
1:0 and 3:2? Here, too, the lead was extremely slim. In total, the results against the German teams were as follows: 1-0, 3-2, 1-0, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1 and 2-0 – that doesn’t sound like David against Goliath.
In fact, not everything is going according to plan for the reigning Spanish champions in 2024/25. They missed out on a win against Mallorca and Las Palmas with a 1-1 draw in each case, and the three victories were relatively close.
3-0 (two very late goals) against Real Valladolid, 2-0 against Betis Sevilla (one penalty) and 2-0 against Real Sociedad (TWO penalties)? If only the opponents had been a little luckier, the successful start to the season would have been nothing!
Has VfB Stuttgart noticed that Real are missing one or two of their top stars? Jude Bellingham is missing, and Aurelien Tchouameni is also unlikely to feature. Brahim Diaz and Eduardo Camavinga are also watching from the stands
My Real Madrid VfB Stuttgart tip:
Real Madrid against VfB Stuttgart in the Champions League? This definitely has something of David vs. Goliath about it! The Swabians are the blatant underdogs in all respects and must hope that the favorites underestimate them somewhat.
Admittedly, the Whites have not yet made the most solid impression in the league, scoring a few lucky penalties and not playing their games with their usual confidence. But the Champions League is a completely different competition.
I don’t think the visitors are strong enough, or let’s say not ripped off enough, to be able to keep up with the defending champions for 90 minutes plus X. That’s why I’ve decided to bet on the following handicap:
Real Madrid win by at least two goals!
