La Liga, Thursday, 16.05.2024
Three match days left, then the Primera División will also have arrived in the summer break and make way for the European Championship! So Real Sociedad still have three chances to somehow snatch that sixth place.
The Basques are simply not cool-headed enough, but will that change against one of their most feared opponents? In my Real Sociedad Valencia betting tip, I’ll tell you why I can’t confirm the bookies’ clear favorite role and instead say: The risk of the draw bet could be worth it!
How do you rate Real Sociedad’s 2023/24 season? The last 16 of the Champions League will forever remain a historic memory for the club, but those in charge know that they had hoped for more in the league.
In the previous season, they finished in a fantastic fourth place, which was the only way to qualify for the top flight. Now things look very different, as fourth place is 16 points away
But sixth place is still possible, as Betis Sevilla have just one point more to their name. With one win from the last five games, I can’t exactly speak of good form, and six three-pointers from the last 19 doesn’t sound much better.
13 results from this period had less than 2.5 goals on offer, Real Sociedad sprinkle in spectacle from time to time, but rather rarely. Fittingly, they lost 2-0 to Barca a few days ago
You might be interested to know that they have always scored after an away defeat. That 0:2 was the fifth defeat, and in fact each time it was immediately followed by a win!
The fact that there has only ever been two defeats in a row this season should also resonate with fans. It is the many draws, twelve in all, that have cost the Basques a better position in the table
Whether at home or away makes little difference to this team. However, with seven wins from 17 home games, it is clear that they are leaving far too much to chance.
They have lost four times at home, three of them 1-0. Real have been missing a real streak for months, only managing two home wins in a row (or even three at the time) in September
Not exactly the best advertisement, as they recently beat Las Palmas 2-0 at home. Since then, twelve more home games have been played, nine of which have featured fewer than 2.5 goals.
It is not uncommon for games to end with very close results, an ideal transition when it comes to the direct comparison against Valencia. Two wins from the last 13 duels? That’s not much!
The team won 1:0 in the first half of the season, and with six draws from the last 10 games, it’s clear that nobody can really pull away here. Many or few goals?
Four from the last five matches, which is hardly much less. Real Sociedad have only won one home game against Valencia since September 2016, which also speaks against a win on Thursday
And yet, the bookmakers are of the opinion that the Basques are odds of 1.60 to 6.20 to win. So both win bets are still worthwhile, and you can even add to them if you take advantage of one of the lucrative sports betting bonus offers.
Valencia FC are just behind Real Sociedad in the table and have six points fewer to their name. 13 wins, 13 defeats, nine draws? Sounds like a thoroughly mediocre season.
Only 37 goals have been scored in 35 games, six of which have come in the last eight matches. With three defeats and a draw, things are not going well at the moment, especially as they failed to score against Alaves and Rayo Vallecano
Eleven goals conceded at home, 28 away? The defense makes the difference here! Nevertheless, you can never really assess Valencia when I look at their away games.
4:1 against Cadiz, 0:2 at Las Palmas, 1:0 at Osasuna or recently 2:4 at Barcelona, basically any result is possible here. They’ve lost at Betis, Atletico, Real Madrid, Barca and Girona and picked up a point at Bilbao – the top six teams in La Liga are all too strong when Valencia travel!
Real Sociedad are not really satisfied with this season, they can’t finish higher than sixth. They are missing series, and their win rate at home is currently well below 50 percent.
Things could well go wrong against Valencia. Although the bookmakers are heavily favoring the Basques, I wouldn’t be so optimistic. They slip up too often, and Valencia are also one of their most feared opponents.
The visitors are also not in top form, but since history has offered many close, low-scoring games and a winner has not often been produced for years, my tip is:
We see a draw!
