Red Star Belgrade – Lille OSC Tip Europa League, play-off second leg on Thursday, 26.02.2026 at 18:45 CET
In my Red Star Lille tip for the Europa League play-off second leg early on Thursday evening (18:45 CEST), I don’t assume that the Serbs will give up progression.
Rather, I expect that the French will be able to write against Red Star for the first time, but it won’t be enough for the essential away win. My Europa League bet is: Double chance 1X and both score.
For this bet you get odds of around 2.30 at Betano and can also secure a €20 freebet as a new customer with the Betano promo code.
In the best sports betting apps of our bookmakers you will find Red Star Lille betting odds that suggest an open game. The bookmakers also assume that the Belgrade team will not go all out, at least at the beginning, and can live very well with a draw.
The home win odds are around 2.60 and are thus almost identical to the odds for a success of the French. A draw that would mean the end for Lyon is provided with odds of around 3.50.
Red Star vs Lille AI predictions:
Our AI tool expects a much less balanced affair. The probability of a Belgrade victory reaches 44 percent, while an away success of the “Great Danes” is only 27% probable.
Lille are struggling with major injury concerns, but recently won 1-0 over Angers. It was the first full success in almost a month, when Freiburg were defeated 1-0 at home. Offensively, Lille did not take place at all in the first leg.
As a low-risk bet, our AI spat out the tip “Over 2.5 goals in the game”. Although Lille has not necessarily shone with goals away from home (on average 0.5 goals/game), with their backs to the wall, an improvement should happen.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Red Star |
Draw |
Victory Lille |
| 44% |
29% |
27% |
At Red Star, you have much less to worry about offensively. Belgrade have not lost in eleven competitive matches (W9 D2) and have scored no less than 26 goals in the process. This corresponds to an average of 2.36 goals per game.
A medium-risk bet is a goalscorer bet. Ex-Bremen player Marko Arnautovic causes unrest for the opponent with each of his substitutions and entered the scorer’s list in the much-acclaimed 3-0 triumph in the derby against Partizan. If he also hits on Thursday, an odd of around 2.70 will be due.
A big risk is the bet on a clear home success for Red Star. A Belgrade victory with a handicap of -1 is provided with odds around 5.00. From my point of view, rather unlikely, because the host does not have to risk, but can first wait and see how Lille presents itself.
What you need to know about Red Star vs. Lille betting
- Red Star are unbeaten in the current calendar year (W7 D2), while Lille have lost seven of their eleven competitive matches in 2026 (W2 D2).
- In the first leg, the expected goals ratio was 1.59 to 0.48 in favour of Belgrade – and that in Lille.
- Lille have yet to score against Red Star Belgrade and have lost both previous duels 1-0.
- Lille OSC have lost their last three away games in the EL, including a 1-0 defeat in Belgrade at the beginning of November.
- Red Star have lost just one of their last 13 home games (W9 D3).
