Rijeka – Celje Prediction Conference League, Matchday 5 on Thursday, 11/12/2025 at 21:00
My Rijeka Celje tip, which I put to the test at a German betting provider, does not assume a fireworks display in the HNK Rijeka stadium – quite the opposite!
The guests miss the suspended midfield coordinator Darko Hrka and will therefore concentrate even more on defending their own box than usual – and they can do that well.
In addition, the comfortable position of the Slovenians in the table allows them to get over a draw on Thursday. So if the guests consistently line up at the back, the game could actually produce less than 3.5 goals.
Rijeka vs Celje AI Predictions:
If our Rijeka Celje AI prediction would also suggest you the selection Under 2.5 goals, then I’d be right there.
However, I don’t like the actually recommended bet “Celje to score a goal” quite as much – even if the odds are 2.82 on average. The third in the league phase is not so high up in the standings for nothing!
At the same time, I can see what inspired our data model. Because the HNK has indeed not conceded a goal in 4 of its last 6 home games and defended ironically. In the end, I’m torn between this bet.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Rijeka |
Draw |
Victory Celje |
| 47.4% |
25.9% |
26.7% |
A 0:0 result bet at half-time at odds around 2.80, on the other hand, is another AI suggestion that completely convinces me!
By the way, since I expect a maximum of two goals in this game, a candidate for a player bet should of course be considered for the bet type 1st goal scorer in order to rake in even higher profits.
But before we rack our brains about this, I would prefer the bet type Under 1.5 goals at odds around 3.65.
On the first four Conference League matchdays, Rijeka’s respective results were almost all below this mark with 0-1, 1-0, 1-1 and 0-0.
What you need to consider when betting on Rijeka vs. Celje
- Rijeka have kept a clean sheet in four of their last six home games.
- Rijeka’s last four wins have come in games in which over 3.5 goals have been scored.
- Celje have scored 3 or more goals in eight of their last 14 away matches.
- This will be the first European meeting between Rijeka and Celje. Rijeka’s only meeting with a Slovenian team was a 6-1 aggregate loss to Olimpija Ljubljana last season. Celje has never met a Croatian team.
- In only 2 of Celje’s last 7 away matches have goals been scored by both sides.
