Samsunspor – AEK Athens Tip Conference League, Matchday 5 on Thursday, 11.12.2025 at 18:45 CET
You know, I’m toying with the idea of using a free bet to place a Samsunspor AEK Athens bet on the home side at attractive odds of around 2.80.
For the more cautious among you, I would alternatively recommend the selection “Double Chance 1X”. But in any case, I consider the role of the betting providers assigned to the guests as favorites without tax to be unfounded.
Because the Turks are the surprise of the 2025/26 season. They are at the top of the Conference League after four matchdays and lost their first competitive game since mid-September at the weekend – a really narrow 3-2 defeat at Galatasaray Istanbul.
This shows you how damn difficult it is to successfully wrestle down the team of former Schalke coach Thomas Reis.
Samsunspor vs. AEK Athens AI predictions:
Our data model also seems to have a problem with the assessment of most betting providers. Because the Samsunspor AEK Athens AI forecast he submitted to me takes a similar approach to mine.
Sieg: Samsunspor is recommended to me as a value bet without detours and with clear words. And yes, with odds around 2.80, you have to at least let that go through your head.
The hosts are in first place in the league phase and have also lost only one competitive game at Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu since May of this year.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Samsunspor |
Draw |
Win AEK Athens |
| 33.4% |
29.2% |
37.4% |
1st Gate: Samsunspor is another AI suggestion that also speaks from my soul.
The odds of 2.05 are high and even though they stalked back from behind against Gala at the weekend after a 0-2 deficit in the meantime, they could get off to a much better start against AEK this time.
Samsunspor: Over 1.5 goals at odds around 2.50 contains more than just a thumb’s breadth of value in my eyes. Great suggestion!
They won their last two home games in this competition 3-0 each – once against Hamrun, the other time against the traditional Eastern European club Dynamo Kiev.
What you need to consider when betting on Samsunspor vs. AEK Athens
- Samsunspor have collected 10 points in their first four UEFA Conference League matches (the highest level with Strasbourg) and have the best goal difference in the competition (+7; 9-2 goals).
- After the 1-0 away win against Fiorentina on Matchday 4, AEK Athens wants to win two away games in a row in a European main competition for the second time in the club’s history. This is the 100th game for AEK in such a competition.
- AEK Athens have the highest expected goals (xG) in the Conference League this season (12 xG) and created the most big chances in the entire competition (18).
- Marius Mouandilmadji (Samsunspor) scored four goals in the Conference League (including all of his team’s goals against Breidablik on Matchday 4). Only Franko Kovacevic (Celje) has scored more often (5).
