Conference League Quali, 3rd round, second leg, Thursday, 15.08.2024 at 20:30
The season couldn’t have started much worse for Slask Wroclaw. The reigning runners-up from the Polish Ekstraklase are only 14th in the table in the national competition after three matchdays.
At first glance, the Wojskowi’s attack is still too harmless, but that impression is deceptive. Even the 2-0 defeat in the first leg against St. Gallen could have been completely different if they had made better use of their chances.
For my Slask Wroclaw St. Gallen betting tip for the second leg, I see the chance of “Over 2.5 goals” and will therefore go for the odds of 1.75 at Bwin
Slask Wroclaw supporters are suffering extreme agony in the first few weeks of the new season. The Polish runners-up have only been victorious in one of their six matches so far (3:1 against Riga FC).
At least this success carried the Wojskowi into the third round of Conference League qualifying, where they are doomed to win again in the second leg.
In the Bet365 app, the hosts are given odds of 2.62 to win. This puts the Polish representative slightly above the odds for a St. Gallen win, which are set at 2.30.
St. Gallen started their first competitive match a little too tense and lost 1:0 to FC Winterthur. Immediately after this defeat, however, the Espen got back on the winning track and have won every competitive match!
The visitors have now won six competitive games in a row and will be aiming for a seventh three-pointer in the away game in Poland.
Enrico Maassen’s 4-3-1-2 system is working and has led St. Gallen to a clean sheet in four of their last five games
I think anyone hoping for a continuation of this sequence and betting their Bet365 offer code at odds of 4.33 on “St. Gallen to win without conceding a goal” is making a mistake.
Although the home side have gone four of their last five games without conceding a goal, they have had little to complain about apart from their poor chance conversion.
If you saw the first leg, you’ll know what I’m talking about. Slask Wroclaw fired 23 shots as guests (!) and scored 2.59 expected goals
It was not the first game in which Enrico Maaßen’s midfield pack was pushed to its limits.
Just one competitive match earlier, St. Gallen had won 4:3 against Lausanne Sport, but deserved to lose according to the expected goals
Like Lausanne-Sport, Slask Wroclaw recognized the weaknesses of this formation and carved out five great chances in the first leg, but failed to take any of them.
Nevertheless, I would never go for a “Slask Wroclaw win” in the Slask Wroclaw St Gallen betting tip, as their own defense is too vulnerable for that
Like the Polish runners-up, the Espen had a selection of five great chances in the first leg. The only difference was the better chance conversion.
The Wojskowi made much better use of their opportunities in the second leg against Riga FC and turned around the 1-0 deficit from the first leg with a 3-1 win in the second encounter.
Just like in the previous round, Jacek Magiera’s team will be forced to win the second leg at home. This time, however, Slask Wroclaw will have to make up two goals
The home side will therefore be determined to find their way into the opposition penalty area right from the start – a gift for St. Gallen.
If there’s one thing the Espen have done brilliantly so far, it’s creating scoring chances.
So far, Enrico Maaßen has seen his team score at least “over 1.5 expected goals” in all seven competitive matches
For me, this match is predestined to be a real spectacle. The first leg already contained a total of 36 goals.
The course of the game and the conversion of chances are obvious risk factors for my bet, but I’m confident that this match will put several goals on the scoreboard.
Therefore, my Slask Wroclaw St. Gallen tip is: Over 2.5 goals in the match
