Slovenia – Sweden Tip World Cup Qualification, Matchday 5 on Friday, 05.09.25 at 8:45 p.m.
The major leagues are on break – the race for a spot in the 2026 World Cup is picking up speed again! On Matchday 5, Slovenia will face Sweden in Group B and, despite home advantage, will go into the game as slight underdogs.
Regardless of the actual outcome, I believe the Scandinavians will score at least two goals in my Slovenia Sweden prediction. The corresponding bet at Bet-at-home has odds of around 2.30. A hint: Sweden has been on the offensive lately, scoring eleven goals in their last three games.
As an alternative tip, I’m also throwing the classic “both teams to score” into the ring. My predicted result of 2-1 for Sweden would also make this bet a winner.
My Slovenia vs. Sweden prediction: SWE over 1.5 goals
Here are the reasons for my prediction:
- The bet would have been successful in nine of Sweden’s last ten games.
- Sweden won their most recent away game in Slovenia 2-0.
- Slovenia’s last home game against a Scandinavian team ended in a 1-4 defeat to Norway.
Slovenia vs. Sweden AI predictions:
You already know: At this point, ChatGPT rubs the sleep from its digital eyes, brushes the pointed cap off its tin head, and speaks up with its Slovenia Sweden AI prediction.
I can’t fully agree with the high-risk tip. “Sweden to win with a -1 handicap” does offer strong odds of around 4.70 at Bet365 Germany. Ultimately, however, I expect a game with a closer final score.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Slovenia win |
Draw |
Sweden win |
| 28% |
30% |
42% |
The medium risk is covered by the tip “Over 2.5 goals.” In my opinion, this makes sense, especially since the odds of around 2.20 seem extremely lucrative. Don’t forget: in 10 of Sweden’s last 12 games, the bet would have been successful.
As a safety-first approach, ChatGPT has calculated the bet “Slovenia over 0.5 goals.” The Slovenians have scored in 6 of their last 7 games. So this selection also makes sense statistically.
What you need to consider when betting on Slovenia vs. Sweden
- Slovenia has faced Sweden four times so far and has not won any of those games (2D, 2L).
- Sweden has scored a total of three goals in its two away games in Slovenia so far.
- A total of five goals have been scored in the four previous encounters, four of which came before halftime.
- Sweden has won 8 of its last 10 international matches.
- The Slovenians have never scored more than two goals in their last eight games.
