Sporting – Marseille Prediction Champions League, Matchday 3 on Wednesday, 10/22/25 at 9:00 p.m.
On Matchday 3 of the Champions League preliminary round, Sporting Lisbon and Olympique Marseille appear to be in a stalemate at first glance. Both teams have three points and are neither in the top nor bottom third in terms of performance.
Accordingly, in my Sporting Marseille prediction, I expect a fairly balanced encounter, in which a single action could ultimately decide between victory and defeat.
As I find this too risky in general, I prefer to focus on a goal bet. “Both teams to score” is available at odds of around 1.55, as both Sporting and OM have been playing offensively recently.
Sporting vs. Marseille AI predictions:
Our AI model gets straight to the point with its Sporting Marseille AI prediction.
Without any additional combinations, the digital brain decides on a draw. The odds in the Interwetten app are around 3.70, which is definitely in the range of a value bet. In fact, given the starting position, I consider a 1:1 to be the most likely result.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Sporting win |
Draw |
Marseille win |
| 43.3% |
26.5% |
30.2% |
Another interesting option is “Draw at half-time” at odds of around 2.30 at Bet365 Germany. There is no clear favorite for this match, so we can assume that the first half will be extremely evenly matched.
For the third tip, the AI goes for the rather unusual selection “Sporting wins at least one half.” At odds of around 1.55, this makes perfect sense, as the Portuguese are playing in front of their home crowd.
What you need to know when betting on Sporting vs. Marseille
- Sporting has lost both previous matches against Marseille (0-2 and 1-4).
- Marseille has lost four of its last five European away games in Portugal.
- Lisbon has won only one of its last eight Champions League games.
- Sporting has scored at least one goal in each of its last 18 European Cup group games.



