St. Gallen – Trabzonspor betting tip
Full focus on our German-speaking teams in the international competitions! This week sees the first legs of the play-offs in all three divisions, which means FC St. Gallen need to get a good result before heading to Turkey a few days later.
The Swiss side had a bit of luck in our Conference League tips in the last round to make it through, but on Thursday they will want to rely on their home strength. Their opponents: Trabzonspor, who actually wanted to make it into the Europa League.
After their elimination there, the question naturally arises as to how motivated the players will be. The opening game in the Süper Lig was also less successful than expected, so a real exclamation mark would be nice for once
The bookmakers are predicting a very close race. I will go into this in more detail later in my analysis, but this information in advance: The home side are favored for the first leg in St. Gallen, but in terms of pure progression, the role changes!
There’s definitely a lot to analyze in my St. Gallen Trabzonspor betting tip, as there’s probably little between the two teams individually. My tendency is not to predict an away win, and I also believe that four goals will be the highest of feelings
The prediction of the bookmakers?
St. Gallen have won six out of eight games this season, sometimes by a narrow margin, sometimes by a clear margin. For Thursday, however, the bookmakers are offering odds of 2.15 on the favorites.
For Trabzonspor, on the other hand, the odds jump to 3.20. This is certainly also due to the team’s defeat in the Europa League qualifiers against Rapid Vienna. A draw seems quite likely at 3.35.
At the same time, you can already bet on who will progress in the end. After registering at Bet365 you will see: 1.95 to 1.75, now the Turks are suddenly in front!
Analysis: St. Gallen vs Trabzonspor
International success for FC St. Gallen? Sometimes you leaf through the history books in vain! However, the Swiss side are keen to change that and are planning a strong 2024/25 season at both national and European level.
Both sides have already made a start. They started against Tobol Kostanay in the Conference League qualifiers, and after a 4:1 win in the first leg, the game was already over
The Green-Whites were quite relaxed as they added another 1:0 and then prepared for their clash against Slask Wroclaw. Anyone who thought that the 2:0 from the home game would be half the battle was almost wrong.
The score remained 1:3 for a very long time, which would mean extra time. When did St. Gallen strike again? In the 18th minute of stoppage time! A penalty from Willem Geubbels decided the game, and you really can’t get much luckier than that
Quota analysis
If I had to decide on a 1×2 bet, my choice would be the hosts. St. Gallen have won all four of their home games this season, three of them by nil. If you bet on them, you can even increase the odds from 2.15 to 4.00.
Nevertheless, I believe that we will be facing a relatively close game in which nobody wants to make the first mistake. Therefore, betting X after 45 minutes could be advisable, the odds show you a 2.15.
We often achieve the greatest possible risk with a result bet. Since Trabzonspor has disappointed recently, also in the league, and has shown little offensively, I think a 2:0 for St. Gallen is realistic, the associated value reads very strong with a 12.0
Will St. Gallen remain this strong at home?
It was a game from which the fans first had to recover. Nevertheless, I can also recognize one positive fact in the four games, namely that both home games were clearly won.
This is something that has also been a feature of everyday league life throughout the still young season. After the false start, a 0:1 in Winterthur, St. Gallen recovered. First they celebrated a brilliant 4:0 against Young Boys Bern, then they won 4:3 in Lausanne.
Want a contrasting program? Then here you go: matchday four delivered a 1-0 win against Grasshoppers. The Green-Whites have two faces and seem to decide which one they want to show from match to match
Trabzonspor under pressure
In any case, every opponent must pay attention to the duo Willem Geubbels / Chadrac Akolo, as these two already have nine goals to their name. They will have to show nerves of steel again on Thursday, as their club has yet to make much of an appearance in Europe.
The international group stages can be counted on one hand, so they don’t have a great deal of experience. Incidentally, St. Gallen have never played Trabzonspor, and have only faced Galatasaray in Turkish competition.
Speaking of Galatasaray, the reigning Süper Lig champions will play Young Boys in the play-offs for the premier class on Wednesday, so this is also a duel between Switzerland and Turkey
The third-placed team had actually intended to qualify for the Europa League. Ruzomerok were defeated 2:0 and 1:0, but it was already apparent that the offense was bumpy.
Three goals against an absolute outsider, one of which was fortunate to be scored in stoppage time, was a bit poor. And so it became clear a little later against Rapid Vienna that it was simply not enough for the second-highest European competition
0:1 and 0:2, what a disappointment! Anyone who still has doubts that the attack is not strong enough will hopefully have watched the Süper Lig opener, where Trabzonspor only managed a 0-0 draw against Sivasspor.
Surely this can’t all be down to the fact that Nicolas Pepe has left the club for Villarreal? The Turkish side have bought in a number of stars or signed them on a free transfer, including Stefan Savic, Anthony Nwakaeme, Denis Dragus, Pedro Malheiro and Ozan Tufan.
Trabzonspor have been without a goal for three games this season. In my opinion, it’s a good bet that this will continue on Thursday
My tip:
St. Gallen and the start of the 2024/25 season, that fits! The Swiss team may have squeezed through without extra time in the Conference League, but overall they’re convincing me across the board.
Above all, nobody can hold a candle to them in their own stadium, with just one goal conceded in the four games. On the other hand, I don’t really understand what’s going on with Trabzonspor.
They had no chance against Rapid Vienna, the matches are relatively boring and their own offense is simply not finding its form. This is exactly what leads to the following tip:
St. Gallen will not lose by under 4.5 goals!
