St. Pauli – Gladbach Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 9 on Saturday, 11/01/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
With great confidence, I asked our AI directly: “Which St. Pauli Gladbach tip should I use to inaugurate the excellent Betano promo code?”
The answer was short and sweet: Over 2.5 goals & Both teams to score. But my digital betting friend didn’t leave me guessing for long, immediately backing up his recommendation with lots of data.
For example, St. Pauli averages 2.75 goals per game in the Bundesliga, while contributing an average of one goal per game themselves!
It gets even more impressive when you look at the Kiezkickers’ home games alone: at the legendary Millerntor, they average 1.5 goals per game and 2.25 goals against per game.
And with the Foals now visiting, a team that has conceded several goals in recent weeks, the AI suggestion generated at the touch of a button could actually prove to be true.
I’m not really confident about a victory for the Kiezkickers at the Millerntor on Saturday, so I’d rather put my faith exclusively in the goal bet I mentioned earlier.
Especially since St. Pauli has only won four of its 18 Bundesliga matches against Borussia Mönchengladbach (8 draws, 6 losses).
However, they scored most of their first division goals against the Foals (23) – and it is precisely this aspect that further reinforces my preferred St. Pauli Gladbach tip from the headline.
St. Pauli – Gladbach Prediction & Bets
1st half: Both teams to score at average St. Pauli Gladbach odds of around 4.00 is one of the first suggestions I have found interesting enough for a single bet.
The Kiezkickers struck in the first minute of their cup match a few days ago, and if this pattern repeats itself on Saturday, it could pave the way for an extremely entertaining first half.
First goal in the first half: St. Pauli, meanwhile, is a logical bet based on the previous consideration, with average odds of around 2.35 on the betting markets.
If the Kiezkickers score at all, it will only be in the first half. They haven’t scored after the break in five Bundesliga matchdays!
What you need to know about St. Pauli vs. Gladbach betting
- St. Pauli goes into this league game on a run of five consecutive league defeats. During this period, the team conceded an average of two goals per game.
- Gladbach has conceded an average of 2.25 goals per game in this Bundesliga season. Only Augsburg (2.5 per game) has conceded more.
- The odds for a Gladbach win on the 1X2 market are the lowest for an away game this Bundesliga season (lower than before the 1-3 defeat to Union Berlin).
- Haris Tabakovic is Gladbach’s top scorer in the Bundesliga with three goals. He has been involved in a goal (goal or assist) every 99 minutes on average this season.
St. Pauli – Gladbach: AI tip & odds analysis
The Foals’ current run of 15 league games without a win is a new negative record. No club in Europe’s top five leagues has waited longer for three points!
However, our St. Pauli Gladbach AI prediction surprises me. It does not predict another defeat for Borussia, but expects almost exactly one brace per side.
In other words, a 2-2 result at odds of around 13.5 seems to be the outcome the AI would bet its money on.
It’s too risky for me, but at least a free bet without deposit would be a good option for this suggestion.
I have already mentioned the tendency of the Kiezkickers to be more active before the break than after. The visitors, on the other hand, are showing the exact opposite trend.
St. Pauli leading at halftime is therefore favored by our AI at odds of around 2.75, precisely because the Foals have only scored one goal before the break in the entire 2025/26 season so far.
I can also imagine the Kiezkickers taking the lead at half-time, but – as already mentioned – I personally tend to think there will be goals at both ends within the first 45 minutes.
The best odds for St. Pauli vs. Gladbach
If you’re betting on St. Pauli, Betano Germany offers a whopping 2.15 – quite attractive for a home team that can surprise you every now and then. Statistically speaking, that corresponds to a 47 percent chance of them winning the game.
The bookmakers are offering 3.50 for a draw, which makes things exciting. Not only is this a realistic middle ground, but it also reflects the uncertainty that one feels in such a duel.
The probability is somewhere between 28 and 29 percent, so it is entirely possible that neither team will gain the upper hand.
If you think Gladbach will take all three points, the odds are 3.45 – similar to a draw, but with a little more risk. In percentage terms, the chance here is just under 29 percent, which shows that those who dare will get a really good payout for an away win.
In short: the odds are almost the most exciting element in this game.
St. Pauli’s home advantage, Gladbach’s potential to end their losing streak with a win, and the draw in between – it’s definitely worth placing a smart bet.
St. Pauli vs Gladbach match analysis:
The Gladbach St. Pauli betting odds just discussed reflect the table situation: Borussia is currently in last place, four points behind the home team, and is therefore under enormous pressure.
Any further defeat would exacerbate the situation in the relegation battle, which is why coach Eugen Polanski urgently needs to improve performance.
Both teams are struggling offensively: Gladbach averages only 11.62 shots per game, slightly less than St. Pauli, and both rank near the bottom of the league in terms of xG.
Nevertheless, the tense league positions and vulnerable defenses could lead to a high-scoring game.
St. Pauli is playing much more positively, both with and without the ball. Alexander Blessin’s team ranks second in the league in terms of territorial dominance (field tilt) behind Bayern.
Even though Hamburg has suffered five consecutive league defeats, the home team should take control of large sections of the game.
Gladbach, on the other hand, will have to be more dangerous on the counterattack if they are to get a point at the Millerntor Stadium.
St. Pauli form check
St. Pauli are currently in a real slump, having lost five games in a row.
Offensively, virtually nothing is working: With an xG of only 1.6, they are one of the worst teams in the league and therefore score only 0.6 goals per game.
No wonder they have failed to score in four of their last five league games. And yet the season had actually started very promisingly.
It’s clear that St. Pauli is having problems consistently converting their possession and chances into goals. That should change on Saturday in the game against Borussia!
Things are looking better at the back: the defense is pretty solid, as evidenced by an xGA of 1.64 – the fourth-best in the league – and they only allow an average of 10.5 shots per game, with only Bayern and Dortmund doing worse.
With 52% possession, coach Alexander Blessin is trying to control the game, but the key will be to convert this dominance into goals.
With the return of captain Jackson Irvine, St. Pauli hopes to finally win a home game again – the first since mid-September. A win to end the losing streak is urgently needed.
Gladbach form check
Gladbach shows flashes of promise from time to time, but is currently stuck deep in the basement – without a league win since March.
The last game against Bayern ended in a 3-0 defeat, although Gladbach put up a really good fight in the first half despite being a man down and limited the league leaders to just two shots on goal.
There are massive problems in attack: With only 1.56 xG per game, they rarely hit the target, while conceding more than expected at the back.
Nevertheless, there are rays of hope: with the return of key players such as Tim Kleindienst, last season’s top scorer with 16 goals, and Robin Hack, momentum could finally return to the team.
The data shows that Gladbach may not be as bad as their position in the table suggests.
The upcoming games against Cologne and Heidenheim could therefore be ideal for finally picking up points again and stopping the negative streak. It will be exciting to see if they can convert their chances into goals.
