Sturm Graz – Brann Bergen Tip Europa League, Matchday 8 on Thursday, 29/01/2026 at 21:00 CET
The big question that arises for me with my Sturm Graz Brann Bergen tip is how seriously the Styrians take their last appearance in the Europa League league phase on Thursday (21:00).
For Austria’s champions, the promotion train has long since left, but the Norwegians still want to make it to the play-offs and need a win to do so. Accordingly, I expect an offensively led game and decide on the bet “Over 2.5 goals” at odds of about 1.70 at Bet365.
As is well known, the European Song Contest (at the current ESC 2026 betting odds) will not take place in Graz, but in Vienna, but the fans of the Austrian champions will get to see the Europa League in the Murstadt. I doubt whether this is a great consolation, because the performances of the Graz team were not crowned with success.
According to the Sturm Graz Brann Bergen betting odds, the Styrians are also in the role of outsiders against the guests from Norway. A home win brings betting odds of around 2.75 on average, an away win of SK Brann, which would thus certainly be in the play-offs, reaches odds of around 2.50.
A draw, which, depending on the result of the game between Razgrad and Nice, could be enough for the Norwegians to advance, will bring you 3.60 times the stake.
Sturm Graz vs. Brann Bergen AI predictions:
The AI forecast is similar. ChatGPT, Gemini and Co are also seen by the guests from the north as favourites. For this reason, according to the AI tool, the bet on the double chance x2 represents a bet with lower risk. At Betano you get odds of 1.47.
With medium risk, our AI tool has provided the tip for an away win. The betting odds of around 2.50 even promise value. The Styrians still have a winter break nationally and have lost all of their last three competitive games. Most recently, there was a 3-0 defeat in Rotterdam.
“Win Brann Bergen and both teams score” is a bet that has been given the label “high risk” by ChatGPT. Neither is unrealistic for me, the odds of 4.10 seem to me to be quite attractive.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Sturm Graz |
Draw |
Victory Brann Bergen |
| 30% |
28% |
42% |
My Sturm Brann tip assumes at least three goals in the game. The Graz team is very vulnerable defensively (three goals conceded in each of the last two competitive games, note) and in view of the certain elimination in the EL, the motivation will not be too high.
Brann Bergen, on the other hand, needs a win to secure a place in the play-offs and will try to set offensive accents.
This is what you need to consider when betting on Sturm vs Brann Bergen
- Sturm Graz have conceded a total of 6 goals in the last 2 competitive matches (EL & Bundesliga) (average: 3.0 per game).
- Brann Bergen scored 3 goals in their last Europa League match against Midtjylland, but also conceded 3.
- Brann (9 points) needs a win to stay in the top 24 (pursuers lurk at 7-8 points). Sturm (4 points) has no chance of progressing.
- The winter signings Gazibegovic, Mamageishvili and Fosso are not eligible to play. In addition, long-term injured players such as Lavalée (cruciate ligament) are missing.
- Sturm’s new coach Fabio Ingolitsch has lost his first two competitive games. There is still a lack of stability in the new system.
