Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg Tip Austria Bundesliga, Matchday 24 on Friday, 20.03.26 at 19:30 CET
While you googled Graz Red Bull Salzburg tip for a good storm and ended up here, the search mask of the desperate RBS coaching staff currently says something completely different: “How do you score goals?”
Because the Mozartstadt team has scored very few of them so far in 2026 before the goal machine came to a complete standstill on the last three matchdays. How I positioned myself with a view to the top game on Friday evening should therefore be clear.
In this condition, the Mozartstadt team is fighting a losing battle against the Styrians. After their fierce 5-2 victory over Austria, my courageous betting pick is therefore quite clear: Half-time/final score: Sturm/Sturm at fantastic odds of around 4.70.
Sturm Graz vs. Red Bull Salzburg AI predictions:
Despite the recent lack of success of the Mozartstadt team, both teams are a computer-generated idea of our Sturm Graz Red Bull Salzburg AI prediction, which I fully support. There is currently a lot of bad luck involved.
Take RBS’s last two 1-0 defeats against Rapid Vienna as an example: In both cases, Daniel Beichler’s boys were able to create about 1.99 xG of chances – statistically speaking, they should have scored almost four goals in total!
So it’s quite possible that the streak of bad luck will finally break this time. I just don’t trust the guests to win against the strong Graz team at the moment …
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Sturm Graz |
Draw |
Victory Red Bull Salzburg |
| 31% |
26% |
43% |
If I were you, I would simply dare to take a pick like Otar Kiteishvili – especially at attractive odds of currently 3.20 at reputable betting providers such as bet365.
Because the Georgian is something like King Midas from Greek mythology: Whenever he gets to the ball, he turns it into a booth.
He has scored a total of four goals in the last three Bundesliga appearances for Sturm and just played the game of his life against Austria. So it’s quite possible that he can confirm his good form against RB Salzburg.
Sturm Graz 3+ goals at values around 3.44 at Admiral Sportwetten meanwhile implies at least a hat-trick of the “Schwoazn”, which I personally trust them very well. In two of their last three home games against this opponent, even more goals were scored!
What you need to consider when betting on Sturm Graz vs. Red Bull Salzburg
- Sturm Graz have just beaten Austria Wien 5-2, scoring 4+ goals in 2 of their last 3 Bundesliga home matches against Salzburg.
- Kiteishvili in goal mood: Sturm’s playmaker Otar Kiteishvili presents himself in world-class form just in time for the summit; the Georgian scored an impressive two braces in the last three matchdays and is the linchpin of the Styrians’ offensive play.
- Salzburg’s offensive crisis: While Sturm have won all of their last four competitive home games without conceding a goal, the “Bulls” are experiencing a historic lull – the last four games ended either 0-0 or 1-0 defeat from Salzburg’s point of view.
- Statistical draw: The last meeting between the two giants in November ended in a 1-1 draw, although the attacking lines should have scored significantly more goals with a combined xG value of 2.79 – an indication that we can expect a top-class exchange of blows on Friday despite Salzburg’s recent doldrums.



