Sturm Graz – Red Star Belgrade Tip Europa League, Matchday 6 on Thursday, 11.12.25 at 18:45 CET
Out of nowhere, the Serbs are back in business. After two unexpected back-to-back victories, they have passed their upcoming opponent and occupy at least a playoff place in the standings.
The bookmakers consider a Sturm Graz Red Star tip in favor of the guests to be more promising, but I personally would not agree with this opinion.
After the first four UECL matchdays, the Styrians have not yet lost a home game (1 win, 1 draw), whereas Red Star ended its two previous away appearances without a point (2 defeats).
Sturm Graz vs. Red Star Belgrade AI Predictions:
You know, I can already understand our Sturm Graz Red Star Belgrade AI prediction when it recommends a home win bet at odds around 2.87, which I myself have been flirting with since the beginning of the week.
Red Star made a lot of loot on matchdays four and five, but these two successes correspond to the same number of triumphs as in their previous 18 European games combined (2 draws, 14 defeats).
As you can see, RSB is not a club that often lives up to its role as favourites.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Sturm Graz |
Draw |
Victory Red Star |
| 32.5% |
25.6% |
41.9% |
The selection Otar Kiteishvili meets turns one euro into three and is an AI suggestion that looks absolutely solid. If the Austrians win, he should have his fingers in the pie again.
After all, he scored his fifth European goal for Sturm against Panathinaikos – only Jurtin and Szabics (6 each) are still ahead of him in the club’s internal standings for most international goals.
The “both meet” at odds around 1.47 sounds plausible, but it doesn’t offer any real value. Sturm could win 2-1, but a 1-0 is also realistic.
This is what you need to consider when betting on Sturm Graz vs. Red Star Belgrade
- Sturm Graz did not face Red Star or a Serbian team in a European competition.
- Red Star last met an Austrian opponent (FC Salzburg) in the UEFA Cup in 1976/77 and progressed thanks to the away goals rule.
- Sturm Graz scored just 23 goals in 35 Europa League games (average 0.66 per game) – the lowest average goal tally of any team with 30+ games in the competition.
- Red Star won the last two Europa League games in a row. This is as many wins as in the previous 18 European competition matches (W2 D2 L14).
- Otar Kiteishvili scored his fifth European goal for Sturm Graz on Matchday 5 against Panathinaikos. Only Gernot Jurtin and Imre Szabics (6 each) scored more.
