Stuttgart – Frankfurt Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 17 on Tuesday, 13/01/2026 at 18:30 CET
Shortly after the turn of the year, things are happening in the Bundesliga in quick succession. During the week, the 17th matchday marks the end of the second half of the season. VfB Stuttgart want to get the next important win after the brilliant 4-1 win against Bayer Leverkusen and distance Eintracht Frankfurt to within six points.
And in my Stuttgart Frankfurt tip, I assume that this will succeed. “Sieg Stuttgart” makes it to odds around 1.80 at Betano and is rather generously estimated in my opinion. After all, the SGE has only been convincing to a limited extent recently and has only won one of the last seven games.
In addition, there is the question of how the SGE coped with the game against BVB. Twice behind, once a lead in injury time squandered. The 3-3 draw was a real roller coaster ride and is representative of the fact that the Hessians are currently having problems scoring real big points.
Stuttgart’s home performances so far also speak in their favour. VfB have won five of their first seven home games – with a minimalist goal difference of 9-8.
In fact, the Swabians have one of the weakest home offensives of the current season. The question against Frankfurt will therefore be not least which style of play will prevail. Frankfurt’s penchant for spectacular games has not only been known since the 6-goal draw against Dortmund.
Stuttgart – Frankfurt Prediction & Betting
One or the other odds issued by the bookmakers with PayPal for the game between Stuttgart and Frankfurt are surprising.
So I wouldn’t have thought that the classic “Both Teams Score” would make it over the 1.50 mark. In view of the SGE style of play (goal difference 33:33), the bet is clearly one of my first betting alternatives.
Since I don’t expect a walk in the park for VfB and assume that Stuttgart will only secure the victory in the course of the second half, the bet “draw at half-time” is also an option for me. In my view, the odds around 2.35 justify the risk.
I will also give you a result bet on the way. “2:1 for Stuttgart” is classified by the bookmakers at odds of approx. 8.75. And indeed, from the point of view of the bookmakers, only one result is more likely: the 1:1 draw.
What you need to consider when betting on Stuttgart vs. Frankfurt
- Stuttgart have won five and drawn one in their home games so far and have an average of 2.29 points – the fourth-best figure in the Bundesliga. The last defeat dates back to 6 December, when they lost 5-0 at home to Bayern Munich. It was also the only home defeat for the Swabians in this league season.
- Although Eintracht Frankfurt have lost only one of their last ten league games, only Borussia Dortmund and Mainz have collected more draws than Eintracht (five) with six draws each.
- Frankfurt’s games continue to be extremely high-scoring: a total of 66 goals were scored in 16 games, which corresponds to an average of 4.125 goals per game. Stuttgart, on the other hand, have struggled offensively in front of their own crowd so far, scoring just nine goals at home – the fourth-weakest figure in the league.
- Since his return from injury, Deniz Undav has been in strong form. With nine goals and two assists, the German striker is only surpassed by Harry Kane, who has already scored 19 goals.
Stuttgart – Frankfurt: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Of course, our AI model is also at the start during the week and serves you its very own Stuttgart Frankfurt AI prediction with three more betting alternatives on the last matchday of the first half of the season.
One thing is clear: The digital brain assumes a rather high-scoring course of the game. The combination tip “Both teams score & over 2.5 goals” achieves odds around 1.80 even without Merkur Bets odds boost and of course has something to do with Frankfurt’s style of play. “Wow up front, bad at the back” describes the SGE’s approach quite aptly.
The second selection of AI takes the same line. For odds of approx. 3.00, there is the tip “Win Stuttgart & Both Teams Score”. The fact is that Eintracht have only once failed to score a goal in their last six games – regardless of the actual outcome of the game.
The third AI tip is also interesting. “Deniz Undav scores” is rated by bookmakers at odds of around 1.85. The Germany international is back in top form and has already scored nine goals this season. This makes him Stuttgart’s most dangerous attacker by a wide margin.
The best odds for Stuttgart vs. Frankfurt
Frankfurt’s weak away record makes Stuttgart the favorite from the point of view of the 1X2 market. The odds imply a chance of victory of just over 55 percent for Sebastian Hoeneß’s team, which is therefore considered the most likely contender for the three points.
The Asian Handicap is set at -0.5/-1.0 for the hosts. This means that Stuttgart would have to win by at least two goals for bets on the home win to be paid out in full. A victory with only a one-goal difference would result in a half win.
The bookmakers list Deniz Undav and Ermedin Demirović as the most likely goalscorers, each of whom is said to have a scoring probability of just over 50 percent.
However, only one of the two is likely to be in the starting eleven. Undav started against Leverkusen and scored there shortly before the break, which is why he is particularly in the spotlight here.
At Eintracht Frankfurt, several important attacking players are out due to injury. Accordingly, Can Uzun is “at any time” Eintracht’s lowest quoted player available in the market for goal scorers. His rate corresponds to a hit probability of just under 30 percent.
Stuttgart vs Frankfurt Match Analysis:
Before this game, both teams are separated by only two places in the table and three points. Stuttgart is currently on the upswing in the race for Champions League qualification, but a defeat would let Eintracht Frankfurt draw level on points with Sebastian Hoeneß’s team.
Frankfurt finished the previous season in third place and thus qualified for the Champions League, while Stuttgart finished the 2023/24 season in second place.
Accordingly, the expectation is high that both clubs will fight for a place in the top four again this season. A win in this duel would significantly increase the chances of both teams to participate in Europe’s premier class.
Last weekend, six goals were scored in Frankfurt’s 3-3 draw against Dortmund, while Stuttgart impressed with an impressive 4-1 win at Leverkusen – there was no sign of restraint from either team after the winter break.
In addition, Eintracht Frankfurt is one of only two teams in the Bundesliga whose games average more than four goals per game, which indicates a high-scoring duel.
Two teams with pronounced offensive strength meet, but the home advantage speaks for Stuttgart. Sebastian Hoeneß’s team has been extremely stable at the MHP Arena so far, with only Bayern Munich winning there. Frankfurt, on the other hand, has been much weaker away from home recently.
Stuttgart is also ahead in the extended statistics: In terms of expected goals (xG), the Swabians rank ahead of Eintracht and have also conceded eight fewer goals in the league than Dino Toppmöller’s team.
Stuttgart Form Check
Last weekend, VfB Stuttgart put in a merciless performance in the first half of the season at the start of the second half of the season and steamrolled Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 away. The victory lifted the Swabians to fifth place and put them back in the race for UEFA Champions League qualification.
Stuttgart dominated the game from the start, with Deniz Undav providing two assists for Jamie Leweling, who scored with his first Bundesliga brace – both before and after a goal from Maximilian Mittelstädt.
Undav himself crowned the strong first half with a goal of his own, so that Sebastian Hoeneß’s team led comfortably 4-0 at the break.
Since his return from injury, Undav has shown no signs of losing form. With nine goals and two assists, he is only behind Harry Kane (19 goals) at this stage and thus also underlines his ambitions for a nomination for the World Cup.
VfB are unbeaten in four games across all competitions. The last defeat dates back to 6 December, when they lost 5-0 at home to Bayern Munich – at the same time Stuttgart’s only home defeat in this Bundesliga season.
In the home games so far, five wins and one draw have been recorded, which corresponds to an average of points of 2.29, the fourth-best in the league.
Despite the strong home record, the offensive yield in the MHP Arena has been surprisingly low so far: Nine home goals mean the fourth-weakest figure in the Bundesliga and less than half of the 20 away goals with which Stuttgart is only surpassed by Bayern Munich (24) in the league.
Frankfurt Form Check
Eintracht Frankfurt is currently in a difficult phase. In the last five games, only one win with three draws and one defeat has been achieved – including a spectacular 3-3 draw against Borussia Dortmund last Friday.
An equaliser by Dortmund substitute Carney Chukwuemeka in the 96th minute prevented Frankfurt from winning after Mahmoud Dahoud had already given the hosts hope of three points.
The draw puts Frankfurt in seventh place, just three points behind Leverkusen, who currently occupy fourth place in the table.
Although Eintracht have lost only one of their last ten league games, with a total of six draws – only Dortmund and Mainz have as many – the team has dropped numerous points.
Measured by the expected points, the Frankfurters should even have six points less, but are still in sixth place in the table.
Eintracht’s games remain goal-rich: A total of 66 goals were scored in 16 games, which corresponds to an average of 4.125 goals per game. At the same time, the team reveals defensive weaknesses: Eight individual mistakes led directly to goals conceded – the second-highest figure in the league behind Freiburg (nine).
Offensively, Frankfurt is at the top of the Bundesliga. With 33 goals, Eintracht has the third-best attack and also has the second-largest positive deviation between goals scored and expected goals (xG) (+7.98), surpassed only by Bayern Munich.
Away from home, however, the defense remains a big problem. With 21 goals conceded, Frankfurt has the weakest away defence in the league (2.62 goals conceded per game) and has only kept one clean sheet in the last 16 Bundesliga away games.
