Stuttgart – Freiburg Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 20 on Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 15:30 CET
After the first few minutes in the game against YB, I thought that Stuttgart would win a big victory. In the end, it was closer, but VfB still won 3-2.
According to my Stuttgart Freiburg prediction, they won’t leave the winning road on Sunday. Because I expect another success over Freiburg, which would give you odds of around 1.70 at tested new bookmakers.
The reasons for my betting decision are, in addition to the great odds themselves, so to speak, obvious!
In the first half of the season, the Swabians triumphed 4-0, while the Breisgau team have won only 2 of their last 10 away games and have conceded a total of 2.1 goals per match in this period.
And then there is the poor performance in the 1-0 defeat against Lille during the week.
You can definitely bet on the Swabians or the Breisgau with your Stuttgart Freiburg bet, but I would rather not recommend a draw bet to you
In the last twelve competitive games between the two teams, there has not been a single draw: Stuttgart won four times, Freiburg even eight times.
However, it is striking that VfB clearly had the upper hand at home under Sebastian Hoeneß and won both home games clearly – 5-0 in September 2023 and 4-0 in January 2025.
VfB Stuttgart – Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips
I still have a Stuttgart Freiburg tip in store that, with a little luck, could come true exactly like that – and that is a goal bet on Deniz Undav.
The odds of around 1.98 are appealing in view of the fact that the international already scored against Gladbach and Young Boys last week.
VfB scores in both halves at 2.35 also appeals to me. Precisely because the Swabians are playing at home, they could end up scoring two or four goals again.
What you need to know about VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg betting
- VfB Stuttgart are playing the second-best Bundesliga season in the last 20 years with 36 points and are unbeaten in six games.
- SC Freiburg is one of the most dangerous teams in the league thanks to its enormous strength in set pieces and has already generated over ten expected goals from it.
- Duels between the Swabians and the Baden team have recently been extremely high-scoring and offered the spectators an average of over four goals per match.
- National striker Deniz Undav is in absolute top form and has scored more Bundesliga goals than any other professional since the eighth matchday.
VfB Stuttgart – Freiburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Stuttgart Freiburg AI prediction has tinkered with various betting suggestions, which I have taken a closer look at for you below.
Sieg Stuttgart & Zwei treffen, for example, appeals to our digital bettor in particular – and to me at the same time!
It is certainly the more suitable variant to get a higher quota compared to my suggestion from the headline.
Because at least the Freiburg goal of honour should not be missing on Sunday and the potential tripling of your stake is another powerful argument.
Over 2.5 goals is another AI pick that fits well with my own expectations. Especially since 14 games of the Swabians have already cracked this mark this season and there is much to suggest that it should also be scored in the game against the Breisgau team.
I also go along with the third recommendation – namely 1st goal: VfB Stuttgart at odds around 1.53. Because especially if the Swabians start like they did during the week against YB, then it could actually bang within the first quarter of an hour.
The best odds for VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg
The bookmakers have taken a close look at the Stuttgart Freiburg odds in recent days and have adjusted them since Thursday.
In particular, the form curves of the two European Cup participants were included in the reassessment, so that the market gives a differentiated picture.
A home win for VfB is 1.68. The markets are betting on the Swabians’ home strength, their ability to dictate the tempo and their experience in close games – everything points to VfB being able to control the game.
The draw is noted at 4.10. The bookmakers see the possibility of a point-sharing scenario: Freiburg can put pressure on at times and act defensively stable, so that Stuttgart does not have a clear path throughout.
An away win for the Breisgau team is 4.60. The Breisgau team are considered outsiders, but have enough quality to make life difficult for the home side – especially in clever transitions or set pieces.
VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg Match Analysis:
Stuttgart and Freiburg will press high from the start, which should make for an entertaining game. Both teams are among the four most active in the Bundesliga in the PPDA (passes allowed per defensive action) and thus show how proactive they are without the ball.
Freiburg is the second most fouled team in the league, Stuttgart the fourth most often – so the resulting set-pieces could play an important role on Sunday.
The Breisgau team has shown more effectiveness in this regard and has already scored ten goals after stationary balls. After all, Vincenzo Grifo is a dangerous free-kick taker who gives the balls a lot of cut along the way!
Nevertheless, the Swabians are the clear favourites in the Mercedes-Benz Arena on Sunday in my eyes. Freiburg find it difficult to be compact defensively away from home, so Stuttgart should regularly create chances.
Expect an intense game with many attacks by the hosts and several shots on goal, which could also provide important impetus for the fight for the European places.
VfB Stuttgart Form Check
Stuttgart continued their impressive run last weekend with a clear win against Borussia Mönchengladbach and are now unbeaten in six games.
With their third away win in a row, they consolidate their position in the top four, but due to the worse goal difference, Leipzig is currently just ahead of them, also on 36 points.
Sebastian Hoeneß’s team collected ten points from the first four games of 2026 and goes confidently into the home game against Freiburg, which is immediately on the heels of the aforementioned 3-2 victory over Young Boys in the Europa League.
In terms of personnel, Luca Jaquez and Tiago Tomas could be out. Jaquez has returned to training after an injury, but was rested for Thursday’s Europa League game and is unlikely to play at the weekend.
Tomas is in a similar situation after a muscle injury in January and is also questionable.
Stuttgart must build on their previous run of success, especially in attack, in order to take advantage of their home strength and the pressure on their direct rivals in the fight for European places.
Freiburg Form Check
Freiburg turned the game around against Cologne at the Europa-Park Stadium last Sunday and won 2-1, with Igor Matanovic both scoring and missing a penalty.
With this victory, the Breisgau team extended their impressive home run to eight unbeaten games in the Bundesliga.
Despite an average of only 0.90 points per away game and 21 goals conceded – the second-worst value in the league – the form curve of Julian Schuster’s team is pointing upwards.
In terms of personnel, the situation remains tense: Philipp Lienhart is expected to be out again due to a persistent abdominal muscle injury.
In addition, Lukas Kübler suffered a thigh injury in the fight for a high ball against Cologne and had to be substituted before the 60th minute. His participation at the weekend is questionable, a starting place would be a surprise.
Freiburg will have to rely on its home strength above all to defend the good series and take the momentum for the remaining games.
