Stuttgart – Gladbach Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 2 on Saturday, 08/30/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
The Merkur Bets bonus is a first-class offer for new customers. I will be making specific use of it this coming Saturday to place a Stuttgart Gladbach tip that assumes a home win for the Swabians despite conceding a goal.
Yes, they were very lucky against Braunschweig in the DFB Cup during the week, but back at the Mercedes-Benz Arena, they should be much more confident this time around.
So I firmly believe in a home win, but it’s unlikely to happen without conceding a goal this time either. Because as well as VfB may have played recently, in the 2024/25 season they only managed to keep a clean sheet in 3 of 17 Bundesliga home games.
My Stuttgart Gladbach tip: VfB win & BTS
These are the arguments for my tip:
- Gladbach has not won in 8 Bundesliga games!
- VfB has won 3 of its last 4 home games against BMG!
- The condition of over 2.5 goals has been met in each of the last 7 direct duels!
The Swabians usually recover well from their first setback – a good omen for my Stuttgart Gladbach tip. As in the previous season, VfB started the Bundesliga with a defeat (1-2 at Union Berlin).
However, the last time they suffered two opening defeats was in the 2018/19 relegation season. Experience therefore suggests that Stuttgart will bounce back quickly.
Stuttgart – Gladbach Prediction & Bets
The predictions point to a high-scoring game: on average, almost four goals are expected, and both teams are highly likely to score.
Stuttgart themselves are likely to score more than one goal, with 2.6 expected goals, the odds are clearly in favor of the hosts. After a weak start to the season, both teams want to score points, which points to an open, active game with chances on both sides.
In this context, I can therefore recommend two bets, which you can place individually or even in combination on the handy Bet-at-home app.
These are Over 2.5 goals & both teams to score and VfB Stuttgart to score over 1.5 goals, which are being traded among German betting providers at odds of 1.72 and 1.47 respectively.
What you need to know about Stuttgart vs. Gladbach betting
- Since the start of last season, Stuttgart’s games have averaged 3.43 goals – the fourth highest in the Bundesliga.
- Gladbach had eight headed attempts in the penalty area on the first matchday, only one of which found the net; almost half of the 17 shots came from outside the penalty area.
- In 2024/25, Stuttgart was the second most successful home team for over 2.5 goals – 13 of 17 home games were successful, ROI 20.6%.
- Only Freiburg brought bettors more frequent wins (38.1% ROI) on over 2.5.
- Deniz Undav leads the shooting statistics after the first matchday together with Michael Olise (5 shots each).
Stuttgart – Gladbach: AI tip & odds analysis
The Stuttgart Gladbach AI prediction from ChatGPT speaks to me. In fact, I can highly recommend almost all three suggestions from the AI assistant.
A VfB win with HC -2 at odds of around 4.50 is, of course, only for brave sports betting fans, but that doesn’t mean it’s a long shot. In fact, I think a 4:1 win for the Swabians is the most likely of all possible final scores.
Predicted chance of winning:
| VfB Stuttgart win |
Draw |
Gladbach win |
| 68.5% |
15.1% |
16.3% |
Tiago Tomas scoring at odds of 2.18 is a decent AI tip, but I find the more generous odds of 5.40 for him scoring the last goal of the game much more interesting.
Tomas scored for VfB Stuttgart in the 86th minute as a substitute in their 2-1 defeat at Union Berlin.
Finally, both teams to score at average odds of 1.50 is a suitable betting tip for pretty much every sports betting fan. I myself have great confidence in this bet.
The best odds for Stuttgart vs. Gladbach
Stuttgart vs. Gladbach – a duel that promises excitement from the very first minute.
At Merkur Bets, you’ll find the best odds for this match: 1.65 for a home win for the Swabians, 4.50 for a draw, and a whopping 4.80 for a surprise coup by the Foals.
Especially in games like this, it’s worth thinking outside the box and considering underdog options on your betting slip.
Merkur Bets not only offers attractive odds, but also a platform where you can cleverly combine your bets. For those who are feeling brave, this game could be a real highlight on your betting slip.
Stuttgart vs Gladbach match analysis:
Stuttgart started strongly against Union Berlin, but converting chances was a problem – many good opportunities went unused. Against Gladbach, Deniz Undav and Ermedin Demirovic simply have to be more clinical, because the Foals have a solid defensive structure.
In their first game, they had 75% possession and allowed Union hardly any noteworthy chances – Alexander Nübel hardly had to intervene, as Köpenick’s xG value was only 0.34.
But in the only statistic that really counts in the end, VfB fell behind: in the end, the Swabians left the field as 1-2 losers.
Gladbach themselves played aggressively in their opening match against HSV, but will probably have to give up more possession in Stuttgart.
Last season, despite having less possession, the Foals had four big chances at the MHP Arena compared to Stuttgart’s one – and ended up winning 2-1.
This time, Tim Kleindienst is out with an injury, so Gerardo Seoane will have to rely on Haris Tabakovic.
The loan player was a real threat in the air against HSV, but failed to capitalize on several good opportunities. Such chances must be taken this time, because Gladbach is likely to have less control in the opponent’s half.
VfB Stuttgart form check
VfB Stuttgart is experiencing a bumpy start to the 2025/26 season under coach Sebastian Hoeneß. After a narrow 1-2 defeat to Bayern Munich in the Franz Beckenbauer Super Cup, another setback followed against Union Berlin in the Bundesliga opener.
Despite significantly higher possession statistics, the Swabians lost 2-1 again. Ilyas Ansah in particular shone with two goals for Union, while Stuttgart missed numerous chances: Undav’s header hit the crossbar, and further shots were saved by keeper Frederik Ronnow.
Hoeneß’ tactical experiment was criticized, as the defense looked vulnerable and the offense was unable to convert its superiority into goals.
The start to the DFB Cup season was also bumpy: the defending champions only prevailed after a dramatic 4-4 draw against Eintracht Braunschweig in a penalty shootout.
New signing Tiago Tomás showed with his goal against Union Berlin that he can make an impact. Nevertheless, Stuttgart urgently needs to work on defensive stability and teamwork in order to overcome the early setbacks.
Only with more consistency in both halves of the game can VfB fulfill its ambitions in the league and in the cup.
Gladbach form check
Mönchengladbach started the new Bundesliga season with a goalless draw against Hamburg, who are finally back in the top flight after seven years. Despite periods of dominance, the Foals lacked the necessary punch, not least because of Tim Kleindienst’s injury.
Rocco Reitz was particularly impressive in midfield, giving the fans hope with his energy and decisive actions.
Gladbach had an xG of 1.29, but new attacking force Haris Tabakovic was unable to crown his efforts and was replaced by Shūto Machino in the closing stages.
Even late offensive substitutions by Hamburg coach Merlin Polzin did not change the result, with both teams sharing the points.
Gladbach coach Seoane still faces the task of optimizing his attacking options to generate more penetration.
Reitz, in particular, after a strong performance at the U21 European Championship, is likely to play a key role in improving offensive fluidity and building on last season’s tenth-place finish.
Gladbach must work on precision and creativity in attack to have a more successful season in the league.
