Stuttgart – Wolfsburg Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 24 on Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 15:30 CET
For the 24th Bundesliga matchday, I took a close look at the Stuttgart Wolfsburg tip for you. Everything is at stake here: Some are fighting for the Champions League, others are deep in the relegation battle.
My main tip for you is: “Both teams score”. Betano has a strong odd of 1.53 on offer. Stuttgart’s defence has been shaky recently, while Wolfsburg is almost always good for a goal away from home. This is a combination that I don’t want to miss.
Let’s take a closer look: The Wolves have scored at least one goal in nine of their eleven away games in the Bundesliga. That’s an impressive record for a team in the bottom of the table, which they want to confirm in Stuttgart.
On the other side are the Swabians, who have not been able to keep a clean sheet in their last three league games. Even against teams from the lower regions of the table, they had to concede goals, which underpins our bet.
The direct comparison in Stuttgart also speaks for our tip. In four of the last five duels in the MHP Arena, both teams have hit the mark. Statistics rarely lie, and here they show a clear trend.
Of course, Stuttgart is the favourite. But the Europa League game against Celtic during the week could have cost Körner. This double burden makes the defense more vulnerable and opens the door for a goal by the guests.
Stuttgart – Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting Tips
If you want to go for a clear winner, the home win for Stuttgart is a logical choice. The Swabians have only lost once at home this season – and that was against Bayern.
For the braver among you, I have a combination bet in mind: Stuttgart to win & Both teams to score. At Interwetten you get an attractive odds of around 2.60. This perfectly covers the home strength and the simultaneous defensive weakness.
A look at the Tormarkt is also worthwhile. Only Bayern have been involved in games with more than 2.5 goals more often than VfB. At least three goals have been scored in 17 of Stuttgart’s 23 games. That literally screams for action and goals.
What you need to know about Stuttgart vs. Wolfsburg betting
- Stuttgart is playing its third-best season of the 21st century with 43 points after 23 games.
- Wolfsburg are experiencing their worst Bundesliga season at this point with just 20 points from 23 games.
- VfB is a goal guarantee: In 17 of their 23 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored.
- Deniz Undav (13 goals) is the top scorer on the pitch, ahead of Wolfsburg’s Mohamed Amoura (8 goals).
Stuttgart – Wolfsburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Of course, our AI model will also be at the start on the 24th Bundesliga matchday and will not miss the duel between the Swabians and the Wolves. The digital brain presents you with three additional tip alternatives in its Stuttgart Wolfsburg AI forecast.
The wolves are in free fall. Of course, AI has this on its radar. Accordingly, the first bet is “Stuttgart leads at half-time”. The odds in the sports betting apps at around 2.00 are even rather generous in view of the initial situation.
In the second tip, the calculation of the AI and the expectations of the bookmakers meet. The “2:1 for Stuttgart” is on the one hand the selection of the AI. On the other hand, the narrow victory is the most likely result from the bookmaker’s point of view (odds at approx. 8.75).
For the third tip, the AI hangs out of the window a bit – and torpedoes the 2:1 selection. “Stuttgart over 2.5 goals” at odds around 2.25 is perhaps a bit too optimistic. After all, in the last seven games, the Wolves have only conceded more than two goals twice.
The best odds for Stuttgart vs. Wolfsburg
I once fired up our AI tool to get a data-based forecast. The computer-aided analysis sees the hosts with a clear advantage with a victory probability of a whopping 62.0% and thus confirms the status of favorites.
A draw is rated by the algorithm at 19.7%, while an away win for the Wolves is rated as rather unlikely at 18.3%. The numbers reflect the current form curve of the two teams very well.
There is also a clear trend in the expected goals. The forecast expects 2.2 goals for Stuttgart and 1.14 for Wolfsburg. This results in a mathematical total of 3.34 goals in the match, which bases our prediction on goals
The bookies see it similarly with the betting odds. The implied probability of victory for Stuttgart is around 65%. The wolves only have a value of about 20% here. A Stuttgart Wolfsburg prediction is therefore quite clear.
The Asian Handicap Line is at Stuttgart -1.0. This means that for a full win, VfB must win by at least two goals. If you win by one goal, you will get your stake back.
The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is set at 3.25. If you bet on “Over” here, you need four goals for the full profit. If exactly three goals are scored in the match, half of the stake is returned by the bookmakers.
Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg Match Analysis:
Worlds collide in this duel. Stuttgart is fighting for the Champions League, Wolfsburg against relegation. This different pressure situation will shape the game from the first minute and provide a lot of tension.
The starting position for the Wolves is slowly becoming dramatic, relegation is a real danger. A win would be worth its weight in gold, but Stuttgart also needs the points to keep rivals Leipzig at bay. The stakes are high.
Tactically, I expect a dominant Stuttgart. The aggressive pressing under coach Sebastian Hoeneß will hardly give Wolfsburg any time to catch their breath. The guests will probably have to rely on long balls and quick counterattacks.
VfB have the fourth-best xG value (expected goals) in the league and will create chances. But caution is advised! They are vulnerable after losing the ball, and that’s exactly where the big opportunity for the Wolfsburg attack lurks.
Wolfsburg have already proven away from home that they are dangerous on quick counter-attacks. Especially against high-ranking teams like Stuttgart, there could be spaces that a player like Mohamed Amoura can exploit ice-cold.
For me, it’s clear: Stuttgart’s attack will set the tone, but Wolfsburg’s pinpricks could make for an open and high-scoring game. I categorically rule out a boring 0:0 here.
Stuttgart Form Check
Stuttgart have been one of the most in-form teams in Germany since the winter break. They have won eight of their twelve games and are on a clear course towards European business. The form curve is pointing steeply upwards.
Sebastian Hoeneß’s team is dancing on three weddings: They are in the race for the Champions League places, are in the round of 16 of the Europa League and in the semi-finals of the DFB Cup. The season is already a success.
Offensively, it’s going like clockwork. The Swabians have scored an impressive 29 goals in the twelve games in 2026. This is an impressive stat that underlines the strong form and poses big problems for the opponents.
Deniz Undav in particular is in top form and recently saved the 3-3 draw against Heidenheim with his goal. But players like Jamie Leweling, who is flourishing with five goals and two assists, are also extremely dangerous this season.
Coach Sebastian Hoeneß is the architect of the success. With a win rate of 57.8 per cent from 135 games, he has instilled in VfB an impressive consistency and a real winning mentality that carries the team.
Historically, this is an incredible season for VfB. Only in 2023/24 and in the 2006/07 championship season were they better at this time. The Champions League is within reach for Stuttgart.
Wolfsburg Form Check
With the wolves, the world looks completely different. With only 20 points from 23 games, they are having their worst Bundesliga season at this point. In the second half of the season, they have not won a single game.
Especially at home in the Volkswagen Arena, things are not going well at all. With only nine points from twelve home games, they have the weakest home record in the entire league. The worm is definitely in the Lower Saxony team.
While the offense performs solidly, the defense is a real Achilles’ heel. The Wolves have already conceded 49 goals – the second-worst figure in the entire Bundesliga. That’s just too much.
In the last 15 league games, Wolfsburg has not kept a single clean sheet. This defensive vulnerability is the main reason for the current misery in the relegation battle and makes it extremely difficult for the team to score.
Coach Daniel Bauer, who replaced Paul Simonis, is pinning his hopes on the new signings. Kento Shiogai, Jeanuël Belocian and Jonas Adjetey are expected to bring a breath of fresh air into the team and provide stability.
A small glimmer of hope is veteran Christian Eriksen. His recent performances against Augsburg and St. Pauli have shown that he can still make the difference in the relegation battle with his experience.
