NFL 2025/26: Texans – Bills Prediction, Stats & Odds

A cursory glance at the NFL schedule won’t tell you where to find the best free bets without deposit – we’ll take care of that – but what the Thursday Night Game is.
First of all: My Texans Bills tip assumes a close and intense game, in which a victory of the “Electric Company” is not as self-evident as the sports betting providers would like you to believe.
Houston’s defense is great and Davis Mills is gaining more and more confidence at the quarterback position. At the weekend against the Titans, he even played his best game for the Texans so far.
Texans vs. Bills Predictions:
The “over” was set relatively low by the bookmakers at 43.5 points. According to our Texans Bills AI forecast, this is where you should strike immediately – especially at odds around 1.85.
Buffalo is busy with a strong offense, which Tampa recently dismantled 44-32. At the same time, however, I don’t think they will conjure up the same number of points on the scoreboard against Houston.
This bet is only for you if you don’t share my optimism about a strong performance by the host, as it should degenerate into a high-scoring game on Friday in any case.
Buffalo will score touchdowns, but not in abundance. I therefore perceive the selection BUF under 26.5 points on the Betano app with quite a lot of optimism – even at odds around 1.67.
Because apart from the Jaguars, not a single away team has managed to put 21 or more points on the board at NRG Stadium this season. Meanwhile, I expect around 20 points from the Bills – no more.
Texan’s over 2.5 touchdowns delivers a multiplier of 2.2x and, last but not least, is a suggestion I’d almost prefer to play. The Bills defense is vulnerable, and Houston should regularly knock on the opponent’s end zone with a good mix of running and passing play.
What you need to know about Texans vs. Bills betting
- In 5 of the 6 NFL home games, the Texans defense allowed a maximum of 20 points.
- Over 48 points have been scored in 3 of the Bills’ last 4 regular season games.
- Of the last 7 duels together, none went to the visiting team.
- In the recent 44-32 victory over the Bucs, Buffalo gained a massive 317 yards from the air.



