Tottenham – Arsenal Tip Premier League, Matchday 27 on Sunday, 22.02.2026 at 17:30 CET
After the Gunners have recently lost four points of their lead over Man City, it would be time to get back on the winning track. According to my Tottenham Arsenal tip, this will succeed on Sunday (17:30 CEST).
But I don’t just assume a victory for the league leader in my Premier League prediction, but also that we don’t get to see more than four goals. That would be one less than the last North London derby in November.
A look at the Tottenham Arsenal betting odds makes it clear that coach Mikel Arteta’s team are favourites. Should the Spurs celebrate only their third home win in the PL, Betano and Co will deliver odds of around 6.00.
For this tip, you wouldn’t even need your Betano promo code, which will give you an additional €20 freebet when you sign up. A draw with betting odds around 4.00 also seems rather unlikely.
A win on Sunday, Arsenal’s fifth in a row against Tottenham, will bring you up to 1.60x the stake. Although the Gunners have lost twice recently, Tottenham are frighteningly weak at home (W2 D4 L7).
So it’s no wonder that our best bookmakers, where you can always secure one or the other freebet without deposit, send the Spurs into the race as a blatant outsider.
Tottenham – Arsenal AI predictions
Our AI tool has also clearly taken the Gunners’ side. An Arsenal victory has a probability of 55.6 percent, an extremely impressive number.
This means that an away win is more likely than a draw or a home win for Tottenham. So the bet on a point win by the Spurs, the double chance 1x at odds of 2.40 at Winamax, is also associated with a (too) high risk.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Tottenham |
Draw |
Victory Arsenal |
| 19.4% |
25% |
55.6% |
The AI calculations result in a game with rather few hits. Our analysis tool expects 1.60 goals for Arsenal and only 0.83 for Spurs. In total, this results in 2.43 goals for the entire game, which is easily below the five-goal mark I have chosen
The bookmakers have set the Asian Handicap Line for overgoals at 2.75. This means that the market expects a rather low-scoring game. If you bet on “over” here, you need at least four goals for the full win, with three goals there is half a win.
What you need to know about Tottenham – Arsenal betting
- The Spurs have won only two of their 13 home games in the league this season. Only Wolves have picked up fewer points at home.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in seven competitive games against Tottenham and have won six of them. They scored an average of 2.43 goals per game.
- Dominic Solanke has scored four goals since his return in January, but only two of them in the Premier League.
- The last derby ended 4-1 for the Gunners, but Arsenal’s expected goals (xG) were just 1.93, while Spurs had an xG value of a measly 0.07.
