Europa League, semi-final, first leg, Thursday, 01.05.2025 at 21:00
The Spurs are the second English club alongside Manchester United to have a scary season at national level and are in desperate need of a Europa League triumph.
Compared to the Red Devils (vs. Athletic Bilbao), the Lilywhites have the easier draw at first glance. However, this starting position could quickly change as soon as Tottenham fail to win their home game against the underdogs from Norway.
Ange Postecoglou’s side learned just how painful it is to have to watch another team celebrate last weekend. As guests at Anfield Road, Spurs conceded five goals to allow Liverpool to clinch the championship early. In the Tottenham Bodö/Glimt betting tip, the home side will not escape without conceding a goal either.
The hosts’ confidence is in the basement after three defeats in their last four games, perhaps even below that.
The mood in the visitors’ camp, who are the first Norwegian team to reach the semi-finals of a European competition, is likely to be completely different.
Buoyed by the euphoria, Kjetil Knudsen’s troops will make it difficult for the Lilywhites in the Tottenham Bodö/Glimt tip. My suggestion: “Bodö/Glimt over 0.5 goals” with odds of 1.77 at Interwetten.
The bookmaker forecast
The distribution of betting odds feels more like a comparison of club sizes than an analysis of current form curves.
Tottenham are the heavy favorites in their own stadium and are only given odds of 1.27 to win at Winamax, for example.
Bodö/Glimt are much stronger at home than away, but have already proven their qualities several times this season. However, that hasn’t stopped the bookmakers from offering double-digit odds for the visitors to take to the field.
AI prediction Tottenham vs Bodö/Glimt: This is what ChatGPT
ChatGPT gives us three different suggestions for a possible Tottenham Bodö/Glimt tip, each with a different degree of risk. As a first option, the AI prediction gives us the following tip: Half-time/final score: Tottenham/Tottenham, with odds of 1.82 at Bwin. I would only touch this bet with the Bwin voucher. Otherwise it’s a bit too risky for the price.
I rather agree with the second suggestion from the AI forecast. “Both teams score” is playable at VBET for odds of 1.83 and is a realistic scenario in my eyes. After all, Tottenham’s squad has a much higher basic level. Nevertheless, the Lilywhites have conceded at least three goals in two of their previous four matches.
I also asked ChatGPT for an AI prediction for an exact result. I received the suggestion “2:0 win Spurs”. I found odds of 7.60 for this at NEO.bet. Although I expect a result that includes a goal from the visitors, a home win with a two-goal lead does not seem impossible.
Analysis: Tottenham vs. Bodö/Glimt
The Spurs have rarely been convincing this season. However, if the Postecoglou team has managed to reach its potential recently, it was in the Europa League.
Tottenham clipped the wings of the Eagles from Frankfurt in the quarter-finals (1:1, 1:0) and had already played one or two victorious EL matches before that.
However, a defense as structured and pragmatic as the one against Frankfurt has rarely been seen from the Lilywhites. In contrast, the back line looked completely different in the dress rehearsal against Liverpool (1:5).
The north Londoners have conceded at least one goal in eight of their twelve appearances in this Europa League season. Although Postecoglou’s charges have not conceded more than 12 goals in total, the expected number of goals conceded (17.78 xGA) shows that there has been a fair amount of luck involved.
Bodö/Glimt have won just one of their seven EL away games so far, but have scored in their previous 12 Europa League ties.
Odds Analysis
Their own attacking play and obvious home advantage have carried Bodö/Glimt into the top four teams in this Europa League season.
The defense, on the other hand, has repeatedly shown signs of being overstretched. Of all 36 EL participants, the visitors have now conceded the most expected goals (26.0 xGA).
Based on my Tottenham Bodö/Glimt betting tip, I also consider the odds of 1.86 for “Both teams to score” to be favorable. This variant is therefore a target for this Merkur Bets bonus.
Tottenham vs Bodö/Glimt odds: A title in the second season
The criticism of Ange Postecoglou is getting louder. At national level, Spurs have dropped to the bottom third of the table.
But there is still a chance to limit the damage. A triumph in the Europa League would be needed to secure participation in the upcoming Champions League season.
At the same time, a first title since 2008 would probably also be the only way for the Australian coach to keep his place on the Lilywhites’ bench.
The hosts have won seven of their twelve EL encounters to date (3U, 2N). In addition, the north Londoners have not been beaten in 19 European home games.
A progression against Bodö/Glimt and a subsequent triumph in the final would suit coach Postecoglou. He said so himself at a press conference before the season. Postecoglou always wins a title with his teams in the second season. That was the case at his previous stops in Australia, Japan and Scotland.
Winter-Wonderland
Kjetil Knudsen is already coaching Bodö/Glimt in 2018. Together with his team, he is writing one success story after another – and now he has also managed to write a story for the ages.
The yellow horde from the north of Norway has won four of the five previous championships in the elite series and qualified for the European competitions.
The visitors have also caused a sensation there this season, becoming the first Norwegian team to reach the semi-finals of a European competition.
Instead of relying on typical underdog soccer in the Europa League, Knutsen’s team looked for – and apparently even found – their chance in forward play.
Attacker Kasper Hogh leads the scoring charts in the Europa League with seven goals (together with El Kaabi) and is the driving force behind the 27-goal attack.
Only Manchester United (26.5 xG) have scored more expected goals than Bodö/Glimt (23.0 xG) in the current competition. Tottenham can look forward to an euphoric Norwegian attacking unit.
The Norwegian team always carries out its own attacks in a pleasing manner and combines into promising finishing positions.
In this EL season, no team has fired a higher proportion of their own shots at the opponent’s goal (58.1 percent) or conjured up a better rate of goals to shots than Bodö/Glimt (23.1 percent) on the pitch.
My Tottenham Bodö/Glimt tip:
I don’t want to deny the hosts the role of favorites, but I do want to deny the clarity that you can take from the odds.
I expect a passionate game from the visitors, in which they can pose a threat to Spurs through their own offensive efforts.
My Tottenham Bodö/Glimt tip: Bodö/Glimt to score over 0.5 goals
