Tottenham – Dortmund Tip Champions League, Matchday 7 on Tuesday, 20/01/2026 at 21:00 CET
During the week, Chancellor Friedrich Merz watched the last appearance of the Black and Yellows, but on Tuesday half the continent will be looking at BVB. Almost every football fan wants to know who is more likely to secure a direct ticket to the round of 16!
Both are competing for a top 8 place, although in my Tottenham Dortmund prediction I will try to answer this question in the next paragraph by means of my primary betting decision!
The selection of victory Dortmund at odds around 2.60 in the user-friendly Oddset app should not disappoint me and should especially please the Borussia fans among you!
Yes, Spurs may have won every home game in the Champions League phase so far, but none of these teams can be compared to the unruly Borussia in terms of quality.
It is not for nothing that it is one of the matches that enjoys the most attention among football fans on this penultimate matchday of the league phase.
Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund have already met regularly in gripping European Cup battles in recent years.
Overall, this is the seventh meeting in a major competition: Dortmund won both duels in the Europa League in 2015/16, while Spurs won all four meetings in the Champions League in 2017/18 and 2018/19.
Tottenham – Dortmund Prediction & Betting
In diesem Abschnitt befassen wir uns mit dem einen oder anderen Tottenham Dortmund Tipp, der mich zwar ebenfalls überzeugt, den ich euch jedoch nicht ganz so sehr empfehle wie den obigen aus der Überschrift.
Trotzdem könnte die Auswahl Dortmund über 1.5 Tore zu im Schnitt 2.27 etwas für euch sein. Und wenn wir gleich dabei sind, dann wäre aus meiner Sicht die Wettoption Beide Mannschaften treffen & Über 2.5 Tore zu Wettquoten um die 2.00 ebenfalls eine Überlegung wert.
Ich habe da einfach ein gutes Bauchgefühl, und auch die Datenlage scheint mir diesbezüglich Mut machen zu wollen.
Denn erstaunlicherweise haben auswärts ausgetragene Europapokalspiele des BVB im Schnitt 6.33 Tore zutage gefördert, von denen wiederum durchschnittlich 3.00 auf das Konto der Kovac-Elf gingen.
What you need to know about Tottenham vs. Dortmund betting
- Tottenham scores more goals per game on average in the Champions League than Manchester City or Liverpool.
- Borussia Dortmund’s matches are the highest-scoring in the competition with over five goals per game.
- The Spurs have won the last four duels against BVB.
- Serhou Guirassy is Dortmund’s most dangerous attacker with three goals and is also considered the most likely goalscorer on Tuesday.
Tottenham – Dortmund: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Tottenham Dortmund AI prediction has shown that due to the playing tendencies of the home side, Dortmund shots from around 20 meters could pay off.
Consequently, in the offer of new bookmakers with strong odds, the selection Felix Nmecha meets values around 10.25 is highlighted – rightly so.
Because BVB’s attacking force with a tight shot has actually converted three of its five goals of the 2025/26 season from just outside the box. This corresponds to a strong rate of 60%.
You think my over-2.5-goal bet would have been brave? Then take a look at the data-based idea of our usually reliable AI model: Over 4.5 goals.
Sure, the odds are magnificent with an average of 5.20 and would suddenly bring almost any sports betting bonus a good deal closer to its respective payout maturity. But is the justification of this bet also convincing?
In short, yes. With an average of 5.33 goals per appearance, BVB games are the most entertaining in the entire league phase from this point of view. In addition, the vulnerability of the London defense is no longer a secret.
The best odds for Tottenham vs. Dortmund
A cursory glance at the current Tottenham Dortmund odds – and it is already noticeable: The bookmakers see BVB at a slight disadvantage, much more cautiously than I estimate.
In any case, a home win for Spurs is valued at 2.45. The markets respect the Londoners’ home strength, their ability to keep the pace high and their tactical flexibility.
Tottenham is not seen as a clear outsider, but as a serious opponent who can make life difficult for Dortmund.
The draw is 3.50. This odds signal that the bookmakers are looking at a game in which both teams could have phases of control. A point for both sides is considered quite possible, especially if Dortmund does not get going immediately.
An away win for Borussia is traded at 2.70. The bookmakers therefore classify BVB as a slight underdog, which is of course quite fine with me!
Tottenham vs Dortmund Match Analysis:
Dortmund won’t let themselves be constricted at the back, that’s just for show. In fact, they hardly need possession of the ball to become dangerous immediately after winning the ball and to rush forward at lightning speed.
Unless Borussia make the same carelessness as they did against St. Pauli on Saturday, their tempo football is enough to create top-class chances on a regular basis. Especially deep, precise passes in front of the Spurs goal should be punished harshly.
Nico Schlotterbeck plays more line-breaking passes than any other defender in the Champions League (85 this season, 286 since last season) anyway – this shows how Dortmund can be dangerous even from little possession.
The efficiency of the Bundesliga club in front of goal is enormous. Dortmund has the highest shot conversion rate in the Champions League (24%) and exceeds its xG by +6.2 – 19 goals from 12.8 expected.
This means that hardly any chance is missed, and every mistake by Spurs can be punished immediately.
So you can expect an extremely fast, direct game with many finishes and scoring chances, in which Dortmund will simply handle its opportunities a little better.
Tottenham form check
Tottenham have shown their best side despite a difficult Premier League season in the Champions League. The 3-0 win against Slavia Prague on matchday six catapulted Spurs to 11th place in the league stage.
With only two games remaining, they can still advance into the top eight and thus qualify directly for the knockout round.
PSG remain the only team to have beaten Tottenham in this year’s league stage after Spurs took the lead twice on a magical night at the Parc des Princes, but still lost 5-3 by a narrow margin.
Offensively, Spurs have scored an average of 2.17 goals per game – more than Manchester City or Liverpool – and have shown defensively that they can cause problems even for top teams.
But these are only numbers – on the pitch the facts count, and they are worrying for all fans of the “Lilywhites”. Because in 2026, the Londoners have already played five winless competitive games in a row after the 2-1 defeat against West Ham on Saturday.
Dortmund Form Check
Dortmund are putting in solid performances in all competitions this season and are in a good position in the Champions League, just one point behind the top eight!
On the last Champions League matchday, it was enough for a draw against Bodö/Glimt, although the Black and Yellows had 15 more shots and created four more high-quality chances, but let them pass largely unused.
After the quarter-final exit against Barcelona last season, Niko Kovac wants to progress this time and assert himself in the late rounds. And in my opinion, this is quite possible if the team improves!
Dortmund are already showing enormous strength offensively: With an average of 3.17 goals per game, they are one of the most dangerous teams in the preliminary round, together with PSG.
Nevertheless, defensive weaknesses could become a problem in the knockout rounds if the team gets that far again. Because especially the carelessness shown in the second half in the 3-2 win against St. Pauli last Saturday must not happen again.
