Premier League 17th matchday, Sunday, 12/22/2024 at 5:30 PM
For a football-loving person, there can hardly be anything more appealing than ending the weekend with a match between Tottenham and Liverpool.
Neutral spectators should prepare themselves for an outstanding entertainment program in the run-up to this encounter and avoid blinking, otherwise they might miss a tasty morsel of football.
The second-best attacking line-up in the Premier League (36 goals) is at home at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. They will now be visited by the current league leaders, who have scored the third-highest number of goals per match day (2.1). What does this mean for my Tottenham Liverpool tip?
In the recent past, this clash has almost always delivered what it promised. Accordingly, my expectations regarding the quality of this match are high.
I express my anticipation with my Tottenham Liverpool tip on “Over 3.5 goals”, which generates odds of 1.71 both with and without the ODDSET bonus.
The betting providers’ prediction?
Unsurprisingly, the bookmakers have a clear favorite for this game. League leaders Liverpool travel to London with win odds of around 1.73.
However, in my opinion, the guests have some minor question marks after they did not get beyond draws in their two previous league games (2-2 against Fulham and 3-3 against Newcastle).
If you’re not afraid of taking a risk and want to bet on Ange Postecoglou’s offensive football at Spurs, you can do so by registering with Winamax at odds of 4.20.
I would definitely not rule out a home win in this fixture. The three previous meetings each ended with a win for the home team!
Analysis: Tottenham vs Liverpool
But let’s not kid ourselves: the Reds definitely have the better overall package. Liverpool are yet to suffer a defeat away from home, winning 2.43 points per guest appearance.
Ange Postecoglou is known for his dogmatic approach. He is loved for this in some quarters, but he also draws harsh criticism when things go badly wrong.
It is not uncommon for Lilywhites’ encounters to be hard to beat in terms of drama. This has been proven several times in recent encounters. During the week, the Spurs won 4-3 against Manchester United. Despite an interim 3-0 lead, it was really exciting again at the end.
This is typical of the hosts and can be partly explained by the thin personnel cover, which has led to many minutes of action for the best Spurs players.
The great things Spurs are capable of on their best nights have been proven several times recently. On the last matchday, Postecoglou’s team celebrated a 5-0 win against Southampton and played like a well-oiled machine at times.
Liverpool may have the best defense in the Premier League (13 goals conceded), but they are quite capable of conceding a goal or two away from home.
Accordingly, I expect this encounter to be on a par with previous matches between Tottenham and Liverpool.
Two of the last three matches ended with at least six goals and over two goals for both teams.
Odds analysis
For a Tottenham Liverpool betting tip on a win for the Reds, the league leaders’ last few appearances have been too inconsistent for me. Especially away from home, the team regularly conceded goals.
Liverpool have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three away games in the English top flight.
Based on that, a Tottenham Liverpool tip on “Tottenham Over 1.5 goals” with minimum odds of 2.00 would definitely appeal to me.
Meanwhile, two goals are almost expected of the league leaders. If you compare the odds of the betting providers, you will sometimes only find a 1.40-fold profit for “Liverpool Over 1.5 goals”.
From 0 to 100 in less than 15 minutes
Ange Postecoglou has to give his players significantly more playing time than he would like. This makes the opening phases all the more important for Spurs of late.
Against Southampton (5-0), the Lilywhites scored three goals in the first 15 minutes. No other team in the league has scored more goals in the first 15 minutes than Spurs (9).
The second-best attacking line-up in the Premier League (36 goals) also got off to a similarly furious start in the Carabao Cup against Manchester United (4-3). However, their strength waned in the second half, turning a 3-0 lead into a narrow 4-3 victory.
In the clash with the current league leaders, the home side will definitely have to go into the red to have a chance of winning.
Contradictory figures
Arne Slot has quickly transformed Liverpool back into a real title contender, perhaps even the biggest favorite for this year’s championship.
Liverpool have collected the most white shirts of all teams (7), have conceded the fewest goals (13) and have only allowed 14.9 expected goals.
Nevertheless, there is no getting around a goal-filled game in my Tottenham Liverpool betting tip. This is partly due to the Reds’ last few appearances.
Liverpool shared the points in their last two league games (2-2 vs. Fulham, 3-3 vs. Newcastle) and conceded at least two goals in three consecutive Premier League away games.
Furthermore, the three previous meetings between the Lilywhites and the Reds did not end before Liverpool had conceded at least two goals on the scoreboard.
On matchday 36 of the past season, Liverpool won their last game against Tottenham 4-2 in a high-scoring encounter.
Including this game, four of the last eight direct duels between the two English top teams were decided by “Over 3.5 goals”.
I am fairly optimistic that the latest encounter between Tottenham and Liverpool will also go in this direction.
Liverpool (60) created the most big chances in the Premier League and converted 40 percent of them (5th).
Agnello Postecoglou’s team has also been performing at a similarly high level, converting 42.1 percent of a total of 57 “big chances”.
My Spurs Liverpool Tip:
Spurs’ last two league games yielded a total of twelve goals, or six goals per game.
For the Reds fans, the two previous league games were also extremely demanding, with two draws and a total of ten goals to digest.
So everything should be in place for another high-scoring game between Tottenham and Liverpool.
My Tottenham Liverpool tip: Over 3.5 goals!
