Europa Conference League, play-offs, second leg, Thursday, 29.08.2024 at 19:00
For weeks now, the ball has been rolling all over Europe to fill the fields for the international competitions. Now we have reached the final round, the play-offs await with their second legs and shortly afterwards the draw!
In Turkey, the European representatives were given extra time off so that they could concentrate fully on their important matches. I will now have to investigate whether this has helped Trabzonspor at all.
The Turks go into the second leg against St. Gallen on Thursday. Hand on heart: it can only be more exciting than the first match! After the 0-0 draw, everything is still open, it was a result that suited Trabzonspor perfectly
The team is known for low-scoring results, but can still be pleased that they are favored to advance to the group stage.
I’m now going to start my Trabzonspor St. Gallen betting tip, because there must be some reason to answer this question. Which bet do I recommend? Not only on the basis of the first leg to a “Under 2.5 goals”
The forecast of the betting providers?
Trabzonspor are not really in form yet, if they win (only against Ruzomberok), the victories will be very close. And yet, our German bookmakers still have faith in the team, so that they only allow the win bet to reach 1.70.
This figure rises to 4.60 for the visitors from St. Gallen, which shows you that the odds are clearly divided when it comes to advancing. Here, 1.35 meets 3.00, of course also from Trabzonspor’s point of view.
If the match ends without a winner after 90 minutes, we would automatically go into extra time. Since both like to get involved in close matches, the 3.80 should not be completely disregarded.
Analysis: Trabzonspor vs St. Gallen
How do you rate a 0-0 draw in the first leg of an international play-off? St. Gallen and Trabzonspor played a very interesting match a few days ago, going toe-to-toe.
Who was better? Nobody really, but a total of 26 shots showed that goals could well have been scored. From Trabzonspor’s point of view, however, it was no surprise that the scoreboard read 0-0 in the end
The Turks actually wanted to compete in the Europa League, but the qualifiers ended earlier than they would have liked. Ruzomberok, by no means a footballing great, could still be beaten.
2:0 and 1:0 were not exactly revelations in terms of play. And so not everyone was surprised that Rapid Vienna was the last stop a little later. 0:1 and 0:2, reversed results showed that a lot was still missing offensively
Quota analysis
In terms of 1×2 bets, I would advise a second draw. Trabzonspor may be a bit stronger individually and may also be playing at home, but the results still don’t read that convincingly, so I don’t really see anyone ahead.
There were no goals in the first leg, so of course nobody can make the first mistake, as they would have to respond with a goal. I therefore don’t believe that either team will take any risks early on and predict a 0:0 at half-time, which Betano has odds of 3.10 on.
Still not enough risk? Then simply place this result as a result bet. If the teams are struggling offensively again, a 0:0 is very possible in my opinion, the odds of 12.0 are worth it anyway
Will Trabzonspor stick to their dreary style of play?
The first match in the Süper League against Antalyaspor? That was a 0-0 draw! So all six games of the season were without a “both teams score”, and the 2.5 goals were not even cracked once.
It is interesting that Oddset apparently still assumes that something could happen on both sides in the second leg. The “Both teams to score” bet is 1.68, while the opposite bet is 2.00.
If you want to place one of the two tips here, don’t miss out on the Oddset free bet! Incidentally, the Turkish association has done everything to ensure that Trabzonspor have the best possible preparation for the match against St. Gallen
St. Gallen want to surprise
The team therefore did not play last weekend and was able to fully prepare for the European Cup. But is that really an advantage? Under certain circumstances, it would do more good to get into a rhythm.
The fact that the offense, which is already struggling to get going, will also be without Anthony Nwakaeme on Thursday is definitely a further weakening.
Has there ever been a round of the international playoffs, regardless of the competition, that had a 0-0 draw in the first leg? Indeed, in 2013 in the Europa League. After that 0-0 draw against Videoton, Trabzonspor were eliminated on penalties – not the best omen!
How will St. Gallen deal with the situation of traveling to Trabzon as clear underdogs? The last time the Swiss were in the international play-offs was eleven years ago, when they were in the Europa League.
Why do I mention this example? Quite simply because there was also a draw here in the play-offs! After a 1:1 against Spartak Moscow, they won 4:2 a little later, which would also be something for the second match against Trabzonspor.
In the first two rounds of qualifying, St. Gallen had relied on their home strength. A 4:1 win against Tobol Kostanay was followed by a 1:0, while a 2:0 home win was followed by a 2:3 away loss against Slask Wroclaw.
The problem: In the final qualifying round, the home game is already behind them, and unfortunately that didn’t result in a win this time. Nevertheless, the fact that they’ve only conceded one goal in their three home games is a strong point.
In the league, things are going quite well for the Green-Whites anyway, with three wins in a row after a defeat at the start. Many or few goals? It’s like in Europe, as there are both, the team simply doesn’t follow a trend.
From a personnel point of view, I have to mention that the Swiss are threatened by two absences. Jordi Quintilla and Isaac Schmidt are injured, so it will probably only be decided at short notice whether they can make it to Thursday.
My Trabzonspor St. Gallen tip:
In principle, everything is still open after a 0-0 draw in the first leg. Trabzonspor is the favorite against St. Gallen, but I think the bookmakers’ odds are a bit too optimistic. The Turks have not been particularly accurate this season.
In fact, all of the team’s competitive matches have featured a maximum of two goals, and in four out of six they have not scored at all. For this reason, I believe that they will also have a tough time against St. Gallen.
Since Trabzonspor can defend quite well, I assume that we will have to deal with an encounter that is similar to the first one. And that’s exactly why my prediction is:
The 2.5 goals will not be exceeded!
