Union Berlin – Gladbach Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 7 on Friday, 10/17/2025 at 8:30 p.m.
Union Berlin has conceded an average of 2.17 goals per game this season – only Werder Bremen and Frankfurt have conceded more goals in the Bundesliga.
Consequently, it would certainly not be wrong to select the Union Berlin Gladbach tip “Both teams to score” in the Interwetten app before German club soccer awakens from the international break.
However, I am known to be a savvy value bet hunter, so I am sticking to the strict guidelines of our AI model: a draw.
This model expects both teams to produce almost identical offensive output, which, measured in xG values, should be exactly 1.40 each.
I can’t quite bring myself to bet on Union to win, but one thing is certain: FCU is hosting an “old” favorite opponent.
Union may be winless in its last three Bundesliga matches against Borussia Mönchengladbach, but it had previously won five consecutive encounters.
Overall, the Ironers have only won more often against Cologne and Mainz (7 wins each) than against Borussia Mönchengladbach (6 wins in 12 matches).
Union Berlin – Gladbach Prediction & Bets
Union Berlin has only had three different goalscorers (Burke, Ansah, and Rothe) in the current Bundesliga season – the lowest number in the league.
Of the usual three suspects, my choice is betting option 1. Goalscorer: Ansah.
This is because his teammate Burke is currently carrying an injury, while the 20-year-old has already scored 4 times in 6 appearances for Union.
The odds of around 7.50 offered by the Oddset app in this context are excellent in any case.
I ultimately rejected the condition “both teams to score.” Yes, she has already scored in each of Union’s last five Bundesliga home games against Gladbach.
On the other hand, however, the odds of 1.63 offered on the betting markets in this context are not particularly tempting.
Ultimately, a 1-1 draw is the only BTS result I can really imagine.
What you need to consider when betting on Union Berlin vs. Gladbach
- Union Berlin has conceded 13 league goals so far (third most in the Bundesliga).
- Union’s expected goals against (xGA) are also third from last at 12.85.
- Gladbach has scored only 5 goals from an xG of 7.49, which means an underperformance of -2.49 (fourth worst in the league).
- In nine of Gladbach’s twelve away games in the Bundesliga in 2025, “Both teams to score – Yes” was true (average of 3.67 goals per game).
- Andrej Ilic has the most assists in the Bundesliga with four.
- Ilic is still waiting for his first goal, but leads the statistics for missed big chances (six).
Union Berlin – Gladbach: AI tip & odds analysis
With the recommendations Under 2.5 goals and 1:1 result bet, our digital AI friend has come up with two predictions as part of his very own Union Berlin Gladbach AI forecast, which at first glance create a slight dissonance.
However, this is not the case, as this prediction coincides exactly with what I also think: A 1:1 is simply the most likely result between two teams of comparable strength.
And even if there is a winner on Friday after the final whistle, I expect a possible 1:0 or 2:0 much more than a 2:1 or even 3:1 for either of the two opponents.
For a successful 1:1 result bet, you will receive an average of 6.90 on the markets – a more than fair offer from the betting providers.
Under 2.5 goals, on the other hand, will double your stake and is not a must in my opinion.
If the odds for this bet had been 2.55 instead of the actual 2.05, for example, it would have been good value. Therefore, this selection remains a matter of discretion.
The best odds for Union Berlin vs. Gladbach
Union Berlin vs. Gladbach – that sounds like honest soccer with power, determination, and plenty of excitement.
The best odds, which stand out especially at Interwetten and Bet365, are 2.25 for a home win for Union, 3.60 for a draw, and 3.20 if Gladbach scores away.
Union stands for fighting spirit and iron discipline, while Gladbach is trying to bring new enthusiasm and pace to the game after the change of coach – two completely different philosophies that clash head-on here.
For sports betting fans, this could be the perfect stage for tactical risk-taking: those who find the balance between heart and odds have the chance to hit the jackpot here.
Union Berlin vs Gladbach match analysis:
Union Berlin will probably sit deep again this time and rely on straightforward transition play.
The Köpenick team plays the fewest passes into the opponent’s third in the entire Bundesliga, so long periods of possession or elaborate combinations are hardly to be expected.
Instead, they rely on long balls towards their powerful target player Andrej Ilic.
The Serbian has missed a few big chances, but his strong movement and ability to hold up the ball repeatedly creates space for teammates like Oliver Burke.
Gladbach is also not a team known for extreme pressing. With a PPDA value of 12.63, the Foals are in the middle of the league table, but are likely to have significantly more possession against Union – after all, no team in the Bundesliga allows more opponent passes before intervening.
In the end, however, the game could be decided primarily by the conversion of chances.
Gladbach must be more determined in front of goal if they are to win. And for Union, a lot depends on whether Ilic finally gets over his scoring drought – otherwise, that could be the difference.
Union Berlin form check
Union Berlin is currently in the midst of a crisis and is under pressure, just three points above the relegation zone. The main problem remains the defense – Steffen Baumgart’s team concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game.
There are also clear weaknesses in possession: with only 30.8%, Union has the lowest percentage in the entire league.
Without the ability to control the game, the team lacks structure and goal-scoring threat – Berlin averages just 3.7 shots per game on the opponent’s goal and has the second-fewest touches in the penalty area (112 in total).
In addition, Union gives its opponents the most space to combine, with 20.98 passes allowed per defensive action (PPDA).
Gladbach is therefore likely to have a lot of possession and be able to develop in Berlin’s half. Nevertheless, Baumgart’s team will try to apply pressure early on – but that will hardly conceal their defensive problems.
Chances for both sides, especially for Gladbach, are therefore very likely.
Gladbach form check
After six league games, Borussia Mönchengladbach are just three points ahead of Heidenheim – a sobering start to the season.
In the five major European leagues, there are currently only eight teams that have yet to win a game, and Gladbach is one of them.
After Gerardo Seoane was fired, Eugen Polanski took over as interim coach, but a clear sporting strategy has yet to emerge.
There were few reinforcements in the summer, and without stable leadership, it is difficult to build structure and confidence.
The data also underscores the current crisis: Gladbach scored only five goals from an expected goals (xG) value of 8.11 and conceded 12 goals with 9.88 xGA.
Based on expected points, the team would actually be around six places higher in the table.
Despite everything, there is a glimmer of hope—if the team can regain its efficiency in front of goal, Gladbach could soon be back on track for success.
