Bundesliga Matchday 32, Saturday, 03.05.2025 at 15:30
SV Werder Bremen last qualified for European competition in the 2009/10 season. Will their long spell of suffering come to an end this season? That is one of the questions at the heart of my Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen prediction.
The odds aren’t too bad for SVW in the final stretch. The Green-Whites are in good form and unbeaten in their last five Bundesliga games. Thanks to this streak, they are only two points behind sixth place.
However, with three matchdays remaining, teams such as Freiburg, Leipzig, Dortmund, and Mainz still have a better starting position than the North Germans. Coach Ole Werner’s team cannot afford to drop many more points.
And on Saturday, SV Werder faces a tough test away to Union Berlin. The Iron are unbeaten in seven Bundesliga games, longer than any other team currently.
As Bremen have been particularly strong away from home this season, the bookies, including Apple Pay betting providers and PayPal bookmakers, are sending the visitors onto the pitch as slight favorites.
I come to a similar conclusion and decide on my Union Bremen prediction with odds of 1.66 at NEO.bet for the bet “Double Chance X/2 & Under 4.5 Goals.”
The betting providers’ prediction?
SV Werder currently has ten points more than Union and will therefore be ahead of the Iron Men at the end of the season. However, both teams are level in the second half of the season table with 20 points from 14 games.
The Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen odds don’t really favor one team over the other ahead of the match. With average odds of 2.54 for a win, the Green-Whites are only slight favorites.
For a home win, you can get Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen betting odds between 2.60 and 2.80.
AI prediction Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen: ChatGPT’s prediction
What would a complete Bundesliga prediction be without ChatGPT’s opinion? As usual, the AI is taking a low risk in the duel between Union and Werder and suggests the tip “Both teams to score.”
AdmiralBet has odds of 1.62 for this. However, as Werder has played four times without conceding a goal in its last five games, I am a little skeptical here. New customers of the bookmaker should definitely secure the AdmiralBet betting bonus!
With the tip “1st goal Union Berlin,” ChatGPT puts us in the medium risk category. In return, we get higher odds of 2.00 at VBET, which could be played well in combination with the VBET promo voucher.
However, I can’t bring myself to give a 100% betting recommendation here either. Last but not least, the artificial intelligence suggests a high-risk tip: “Half-time/full-time: X/2.”
This is the bet I am most comfortable with. Bwin is offering odds of 6.00 for this Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen tip. My strategy would be as follows: I will minimize my risk with the current Bwin voucher.
Analysis: Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen
Steffen Baumgart took over at Union Berlin at the beginning of January. In their first nine games under the new coach, the Ironers only managed two wins, with six defeats and one draw.
But then, in March, the knot burst. The Berliners are currently unbeaten in seven games (3W, 4D). During this period, they also faced the current top four teams in the Bundesliga table.
With three matchdays remaining, the club has already secured its place in the league and can climb to ninth place at best in the final sprint. But the Köpenickers want to continue to get the most out of their season.
Problems remain in attack. 1. FC Union is only 16th in terms of chances converted (22%) and goals scored (31). However, 45 goals conceded are enough for a respectable eighth place.
Twenty of their 36 points have been earned at home. After taking the lead, the team has dropped only seven points this season. That is the second-best record in the Bundesliga behind FC St. Pauli (4).
Twenty points in the second half of the season are enough for eighth place in the second half of the table. The home side will have to do without players such as Leite, Jeong, and Kemlein against Werder.
Odds analysis
Of course, I don’t want to leave the Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen predictions solely to AI. As already mentioned, SVW has the best defense of the last five matchdays with four clean sheets and one goal conceded.
So tips for a low-scoring game are also very much on the cards for me. For the bet “Both teams to score – No,” Winamax offers odds of 2.15. And for the tip “Under 2.5 goals,” Merkur Sports has 1.95 on offer.
This odds are sweetened for new customers by the mandatory Merkur Sports welcome bonus. In addition, Bremen has conceded the fewest goals after the break in the Bundesliga.
And no first division team has scored less often in the second half than Union. We can use this knowledge for the tip “More goals in HT1,” which gives us odds of 3.25 at Betano.
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen: Will SVW’s defense remain stable?
SV Werder has picked up 13 points from its last five Bundesliga games. Only the designated champions FCB and BVB have managed to collect as many points in the top flight during this period.
With 46 points after 31 matchdays, SVW is having its best season since 2018/19. At this point in the 2009/10 season, the team was in a better position, eventually finishing in third place.
This means that the club and its fans can continue to hope for international competition. Since the start of the 2009/10 season, 87 of 95 teams that had 46 points after 31 matchdays have also qualified for European competition in the following season.
After four wins in a row, last weekend’s 0-0 draw at home against promoted St. Pauli was a minor setback. However, the team now continues its campaign away from home, where Bremen is particularly strong.
Only Bayern (34) and Bayer (33) have scored more points away from home in 2024/25 than coach Ole Werner’s team (26). In the three-point era, SVW has only had a better record in its first 15 away games in the 2003/04 championship season.
Bremen could even make it into the Champions League in the final sprint. In the worst case, twelfth place awaits. The morale is also good: only Bayern (13) have collected more points after falling behind this season than Werder (12).
Will the Iron remain a bogey team?
The two clubs have faced each other in ten competitive matches so far. Werder won the first two trips to the Alte Försterei, in 2010 in the DFB Cup and in 2019 in the Bundesliga.
However, the last three away games in Köpenick were lost. The Ironers therefore have the upper hand in the head-to-head comparison with six wins to four. Bremen’s defeat rate against Berlin in the league is 67 percent.
This is the highest figure for the Hanseatic club in its long Bundesliga history. However, the first leg ended 4-1 in favor of the Green-Whites at the Weserstadion. This remains SVW’s highest win of the season to date.
My Union Berlin Werder Bremen prediction:
Of course, the good form of the Iron Ones and Berlin’s home record against Bremen play a major role. Nevertheless, I agree with the bookmakers and see the visitors as slight favorites.
This is mainly due to Werder’s strong results away from home. In addition, SVW still has a lot to play for in the final stretch, while Union’s season is effectively over.
My Union Berlin Werder Bremen prediction is ultimately: Double chance x/2 & Under 4.5 goals!
