La Liga, match day 31 on Friday, 11.04.2025 at 21:00
Do the duels for the golden pineapple already start on the 31st matchday? In the Primera Division, Valencia and Sevilla face each other on Friday. In recent years, I can reveal that this duel often had no winner.
So, in my Valencia Sevilla betting tip, have I come to the conclusion that this will be the case again this time? I favor the hosts and will now tell you why I am betting on Under 3.5 goals for the Double Chance 1X.
The relegation battle for Valencia is over – they have avoided relegation. In the first 19 games, the Blanquinegros had only managed to win two games, so they were always close to the danger zone.
But now there is not much to criticize. Only two of the last ten games ended without a point. True, these two defeats were very clear in the 1-7 against Barca and the 0-3 against Atletico, but they also played against absolute top teams.
Three of the last four matches have been won, especially the 2-1 win at Real Madrid was a big surprise. After the 1-0 win over Mallorca, it was victory number two – the team has never been able to win three times in a row.
Is there a tendency for things to go better at home? Since Valencia have only won once away from home, there is. It’s incredible, you don’t win away from home for months, and then you do it at the Bernabeu.
With five wins from their last six home games, I can only take my hat off to them. The fact that four of those games were decided by a single goal doesn’t bother anyone in Valencia. This year could be the second time that the Blanquinegros manage to win three home games in a row.
To achieve that, it would of course help if Sevilla were among their favorite opponents. Only one of the last six duels has been lost, which sounds good.
0:0, 0:2, 1:1, 0:1, 1:1, 1:1, there really hasn’t been much going on in recent years. If you want to bet on Under 2.5 goals, you get odds of 1.57 in the Bet365 app – so you don’t expect a spectacle.
Speaking of odds, does Valencia favor Friday after the last impressions from Mestalla? Absolutely, the average odds are estimated at 2.35 to 3.20.
Sevilla FC will know that Valencia has not lost in a long time, but history alone will not decide this match. So what about the current form?
The recent 1-2 defeat to Atletico Madrid was, of course, extremely unfortunate, with a penalty for the opponents and a second goal in injury time. Nevertheless, it was the third defeat in a row.
Even before that, they had actually held their own well against strong competition, but lost both the 0-1 against Bilbao and the 2-1 against Betis Sevilla. For the first time this season, they suffered three defeats in a row.
Before the 2-1 defeat against Betis, they had actually got into good form away from home, keeping a clean sheet three times and drawing 1-1 once. Of course, I could say that this defeat happened in Seville, so strictly speaking not away from home.
Once there were two (or even three) away defeats in a row in 2024/25, that was before the turn of the year.
Valencia just have to continue as they have in recent weeks and relegation will no longer be an issue. The Blanquinegros are in really good form at home, don’t concede many goals either, let’s ignore the 0-3 defeat to Atletico.
Sevilla are not a favorite opponent, but they are not a club that consistently wins against Valencia either. I have of course noticed the many draws in recent years. So maybe there won’t be a winner in Friday’s game?
I can certainly imagine that, but I’ll leave it at the double chance 1X. Since both teams are not exactly known for their attacking football, I also rule out a shooting festival and tip in total:
Valencia scores under 3.5 goals!
