Villarreal – Real Madrid Tip La Liga, Matchday 21 on Saturday, 24/01/26 at 21:00
This encounter could really go many ways. Personally, I take the supposedly safest of all in my Villarreal Real Madrid tip – namely “Both score” at odds around 1.50.
If you find a suitable Merkur Bets boost in time, you can even increase this value. But in any case, I don’t expect either team to do flawless defensive work here.
Real Madrid did an excellent job against Monaco in the Champions League during the week, but have only kept one clean sheet so far in 2026. In addition, there have been several clashes in duels with the current third in the table in recent years!
Villarreal vs. Real Madrid AI Predictions:
Over 2.5 goals at odds around 1.50 is a tip that was mentioned as part of our Villarreal Real Madrid AI prediction and is actually wonderful as a complement to my own betting suggestion.
The Madrilenians’ own xG value during the week in the Champions League was 3.86, but the xGA value of 1.40 reveals that the Monegasques could also have scored two goals.
And if you then also realize that this bet would have been successful in seven of the last eight direct duels, then you could also be itching in your fingers like me …
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Villarreal |
Draw |
Victory Real Madrid |
| 28.8% |
23.7% |
47.5% |
Kylian Mbappe scores at odds around 1.55 I also like very much as an AI suggestion for a player bet. The Frenchman doesn’t seem to care who is in the dugout, and his early brace against Monaco is the best proof of that. The man is in top form!
Meanwhile, I had to struggle with the final proposal Double Chance 1X for a long time. At odds around 1.83, I have come to the conclusion that I would need higher values to recognize value bet potential here.
Yes, the “Yellow Submarine” is not in third place by chance, but if the Madrilenians play like they did against the Monegasques, I would almost give preference to a slightly lucrative away win bet.
What you need to know about Villarreal vs. Real Madrid betting
- Villarreal have received three yellow cards in each of 3 of their last 4 competitive matches
- The “Yellow Submarine” is still unbeaten this season after taking the lead in its own stadium
- Real Madrid have won every single league game this season after scoring the lead
- The away games of the Whites have recently offered a lot of spectacle and often ended with a 3-2 result – at least 3 of the last 4.
