Wales – Belgium Tip World Cup Qualifier, Group J, Matchday 6, 10/13/2025 at 8:45 p.m.
If the odds are high enough, I would probably use the attractive Neobet new customer bonus myself for a tip on Heidenheim or a similarly surprising team winning the championship.
Therefore, in this context, it was quite easy for me to follow the recommendation of our AI model and select a Wales Belgium tip X.
The draw odds of around 3.80 are absolutely dripping with value. In my opinion, the Red Devils are wrongly favored and are being mercilessly overestimated by the bookmakers!
Away from home and against an opponent who already made life difficult for them in the first leg, the final score could indeed be 1-1, 2-2 or even 3-3.
Wales vs. Belgium AI predictions:
Our internal data model has calculated an expected goal output of 3.25 xG for a promising Wales Belgium AI prediction.
It will therefore probably not be quite as spectacular as the Belgians’ 4:3 first leg victory a few months ago.
Nevertheless, I can absolutely recommend the bet types Over 2.5 goals at odds of around 1.82 and Both teams to score at slightly lower odds of 1.75 in terms of their respective risk-return ratio.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Wales win |
Draw |
Belgium win |
| 22.5% |
20.2% |
57.3% |
Wales over 1.5 goals on the Oddset app naturally carries a higher risk, but at odds of around 3.15, it also offers a significantly higher return. Personally, I would take that risk.
After all, the British have achieved this mark in 60% of their last 10 home competitive games. Admittedly, some of these were only international matches against nations such as Kazakhstan (3-1) and Gibraltar (4-0), but others were against bigger names such as Croatia (2-1) and Iceland (4-1).
Double chance 1X on Wales Belgium Odds around double the value are acceptable, but you’ll also lose out on a lot of value.
In my opinion, hedging on a Welsh victory would reduce the potential payout too much compared to a simple draw bet.
The chance of a home win seems far too low to me – otherwise I would probably have bet directly on a three-point win for the hosts myself.
What you need to consider when betting on Wales vs. Belgium
- Wales coach Craig Bellamy has lost only one competitive game as national coach (6W, 4D, 1L) – against Belgium in their most recent encounter.
- Belgium is currently ranked 8th in the FIFA world rankings, 22 places ahead of Wales (30th), but this is their lowest ranking in the last six years.
- In the last meeting, Belgium’s xG value was 2.89, while Wales’ was 2.32.
- Romelu Lukaku is out injured in October. He is Belgium’s record goalscorer with 89 goals in 124 games, ahead of Kevin de Bruyne.
