Bundesliga Matchday 2, Saturday, 31.08.2024 at 15:30
What could be more helpful than a start that is the first sign of the competition? Follow up? Absolutely desirable in my Werder Bremen Dortmund tip!
At the start, BVB managed an unadorned 2:0 against Frankfurt, which left a lot to be desired in terms of play. Now it’s off to the far north, a trip that has often been crowned with success in recent years.
However, the Green-Whites are not in a bad mood at the moment and are looking to build on their unbeaten streak from the 2024 season finale. That’s exactly why my betting recommendation to you includes the “Both teams to score”
But since home wins against Borussia look very bad, I can’t avoid the double chance X2. The Werder Bremen Dortmund odds also follow this path, as they show you an average of 3.90 to 1.80 from the home side’s point of view.
I’ll now jump straight into my Bremen Dortmund analysis, which is of course not only based on the direct comparison, but also has a few interesting betting approaches regarding the current situation in store!
The forecast of the betting providers?
The last time Werder Bremen won a home match in the 1st Bundesliga against Borussia Dortmund was in December 2014, a long time ago! It’s therefore no wonder that the odds for Saturday’s win are rated at an average of 3.90 in our sports betting apps.
BVB showed light and shade in their 2:0 win over Frankfurt and ended the previous season with two away defeats. The Black & Yellows are still favorites this weekend, of course, with odds of around 1.80.
SVW have drawn three of their last four games, naturally over the course of the season. Since Dortmund won twice very narrowly against Bremen in 2023/24, you should not ignore the draw at odds of 3.90.
KI prediction Werder Bremen vs Dortmund: That’s what ChatGPT is betting on.
We ask ChatGPT again for this game, which bets are spit out to us with low, medium and high risk, starting with the tip that should be relatively safe for you.
This supposedly safe Bremen BVB AI prediction says that Dortmund will come out on top in the end. In my opinion, this is a very understandable tip, as Bremen simply can’t win home games against the Black & Yellows
The medium risk says that the 2.5 goals will be exceeded. I also agree here. Werder have scored at least twice in five of their last six matches, and Borussia’s attacking qualities are well known.
The high risk is based on a result bet. Here, the AI has gone the extra mile and put forward a 4:2 for the visitors. It’s not easy to analyze a potential result.
However, I wouldn’t go too far out on a limb, as BVB found it a little more difficult than expected in attack at the start. Four goals? I don’t think so
Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Dortmund
From Borussia Dortmund’s point of view, last season is quickly explained. They were not satisfied with fifth place, but slipped into the Champions League after all thanks to a special arrangement.
So far so good, Edin Terzic stepped down and Nuri Sahin took over. Mats Hummels left, as did Niklas Füllkrug, with Serhou Guirassy, Waldemar Anton, Maximilian Beier and Pascal Groß coming in for big money
The team started the DFB Cup with a 4:1 win against Phönix Lübeck, but have yet to really shine. And that was precisely their problem against Frankfurt in the league opener.
The win was good, but BVB lacked a lot in the 2:0 win. Jamie Gittens, Sahin’s top joker, scored in minutes 72 and 90+3. Quite lucky, because Eintracht were equal for long stretches
Quota analysis
I wasn’t entirely happy with the result suggested by ChatGPT, 4:2 for Dortmund. I would keep it tighter and in my Werder Bremen Dortmund betting tip I would predict a 2:1 for BVB, which is exactly how Borussia won the last duel on the Weser.
I can also well imagine that the visitors will need something to get back into the game. This could result in a bet that the 2nd half will be the higher scoring half. The odds for this bet at Interwetten are 2.00.
After Jamie Gittens’ very strong start, you could take the risk and say: The youngster will score again! If he actually manages that, the score would jump to a strong 4.50 – if he scores the last goal, it could even be 12.0!
Werder Bremen vs Dortmund odds: Just not tip 1?
It was the tenth time in a row that the Black & Yellows scored three points at the start of the season. It was also the case in 2023/24, when they started with an (equally dismal) 1-0 win against Cologne.
What followed? A 1:1 away against Bochum! For my Bremen BVB prediction, I’ll take a quick look at Bwin to see what odds this result would bring you on Saturday. An 8.25 is possible, that sounds more than profitable.
I’ll now take a look at the direct comparison to see whether such a 1:1 is also possible from a historical perspective. Last season, Dortmund won once with 2:1, the other time with 1:0.
Bremen hopes for fans and offense
Scarce results, so a 1:1 doesn’t seem out of the blue. Six wins from the last seven duels sounds very successful, of course, and there has only been one defeat in the last eleven games in the Bundesliga.
But that was two years ago, also in the month of August! Matches in Bremen are also usually very close. 2:0, 2:1, 2:0, 2:3 (cup), 2:2, 1:1 and 2:1 – there’s always a fight on the Weser.
I therefore wonder whether it makes sense to place a 0:1 HC bet. At Betano, this risk would be rewarded with a 3.00.
However, history alone will of course not decide this match – and is therefore only of limited relevance for my Bremen BVB betting tip
Werder Bremen have now been unbeaten in six league games and drew 2-2 against FC Augsburg a few days ago. At least two goals for the fifth time in the last six games? That’s really strong!
If you dare to place exactly this bet on over 1.5 goals this weekend, NeoBet offers you odds of 2.28. Incidentally, three of the last four matches ended in a draw
Nothing reminds us of the team that started a year ago with six defeats from the first eight games. But SVW have one problem: In the last nine seasons in the 1st division, they have NEVER won their first home game!
In 2023/24, they lost 4-0 to FC Bayern, and Dortmund aren’t that much easier to play against.
Perhaps also interesting for you and your Werder Bremen Dortmund prediction: The first seven home games last year had a whopping 25 goals to offer
My Werder Bremen Dortmund prediction:
It’s the second matchday, so it’s normal for the top teams to still be finding their feet. Borussia Dortmund feel comfortable in Dortmund, defeats in the Bundesliga are actually impossible here.
Although Werder are unbeaten in six games and are very good offensively, the individual component is naturally on the side of the visitors. What does that mean for my betting tip?
I expect a relatively close affair, a game in which the hosts will certainly have their chances. But since Borussia won’t lose on the Weser, I’ve decided on the following bet:
My Bremen BVB tip: Dortmund will score with goals on both sides!
