Wolfsburg – Augsburg Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 23 on Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 15:30 CET
Even ex-coach Sandro Wagner will certainly be amazed at what his former squad is doing. Because FCA has said goodbye to the relegation battle for the time being.
According to my Wolfsburg Augsburg tip on the Fuggerstädter, it is even possible to place a really promising 1X2 bet on the Bavarian Swabians on Saturday at odds of around 3.60 at Sportwetten.de.
Because although VfL obviously has problems, every other German betting provider still has the role of favorite around the neck of the Lower Saxony team.
In my opinion, that’s a mistake! Because Augsburg can be trusted to do anything since their victory over the German record champions.
Especially because the guests were already victorious at the Allianz Arena just under a month ago, I don’t see why they shouldn’t be able to pick up three points at the Volkswagen Arena as well!
I’m already optimistic about my Wolfsburg Augsburg tip – but in addition, a look at the direct comparison makes me even more confident!
Augsburg are unbeaten in their last eight Bundesliga games against Wolfsburg (W5 D3) – the longest unbeaten run against an opponent in the Bundesliga.
In addition, the FCA players have collected as many points against VfL as they have against Werder Bremen (43 each) – their absolute maximum against a current Bundesliga club!
Wolfsburg – Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tips
I stick to wanting to place a Wolfsburg Augsburg tip on the Fuggerstädter. However, there are risk-reducing alternatives at many other verified betting providers with high Bundesliga odds that could also be interesting for you.
Draw-no-bet: Augsburg, for example. Because in the event of a draw you get your stake back, while in the event of an away win you can expect odds of around 2.55 – still a great value!
Double chance X2 to values around 1.75 would also be an alternative to an away win bet, but especially in this case you could unnecessarily miss out on valuable “value”.
This is what you need to consider when betting on Wolfsburg vs. Augsburg
- Home weakness as a brake block: Wolfsburg are only 15th in the home table (only two wins from eleven games), but have won two of their last five games at the Volkswagen Arena
- Augsburg’s dominance in direct comparison: With the 3-1 win in the first half of the season, FCA celebrated their fourth win in the last five meetings against the Wolves and were extremely efficient with three wins with at least a two-goal difference
- Goal spectacle statistically substantiated: The statistics promise entertainment – three or more goals have been scored in 73% of Wolfsburg’s home games and 70% of Augsburg’s away games this season
- Pejcinovic in low form: Despite his role as favourites on the goal market, Wolfsburg’s Dzenan Pejcinovic has been waiting for a goal in four games, having struck five times in the three previous Bundesliga games
Wolfsburg – Augsburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Wolfsburg Augsburg AI forecast has rattled through its circuits properly and presented me with its CPU outpourings calculated in the episode, which I will now evaluate for you.
Over 2.5 goals at odds around 1.70 is a suggestion that I almost chose as an additional condition to my actual Wolfsburg Augsburg tip from the headline.
I actually believe that it will be fun in the Volkswagen Arena. Especially since 7 of the Fuggerstädter’s 10 Bundesliga away games so far and 8 of VfL’s 11 home games this season have already met this condition.
Both hit at odds around 1.60 also have a pinch of value. This pick has already been successful in five of the last six meetings together, and given that FCA won 3-1 in the first half of the season, the score was not to be 0-0 for long this time either.
1st goal: I also like Augsburg enormously as a final AI proposal because it alludes to FCA’s “momentum”. Wolfsburg is visibly uncertain, which is why I would classify the 2.37 for a 1-0 win for the guests as a very promising bet.
The best odds for Wolfsburg vs. Augsburg
Despite weak performances recently and an apparent lack of flow of play, the Wolves are the favourites in this duel by the bookmakers. Obviously, the supposed home advantage is more important in the assessment than the current form of the teams.
A home win is rated with Wolfsburg Augsburg odds of around 2.05. The betting markets rely on routine, individual class and the possibility that the Wolves will be more stable again in front of their home crowd. Despite the recent difficulties, they are considered slightly superior.
The draw is noted at 3.40. This rate fits into a scenario in which Augsburg counters courageously and confidently, but Wolfsburg takes control in phases. A draw would be a realistic result if the hosts do not use their chances efficiently.
An FCA away three-pointer, on the other hand, earns a 3.55. The bookmakers appreciate the strong morale and self-confidence of the Fuggerstädter, who can cause pinpricks at any time. A victory for the guests would therefore not be a sensation, but is clearly subordinated.
The Wolfsburg Augsburg odds thus reflect a duel in which VfL is preferred. However, it is precisely this assessment that I find difficult to cope with …
Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Match Analysis:
The signs are clearly pointing to a storm. Due to the playing style of both teams and their recent tendencies, an intense exchange of blows is to be expected, in which many chances and goals could arise.
The data backs this up: Wolfsburg games have seen the third-most goals in the Bundesliga, an average of 3.5 per game – and in the last ten matches, this figure has even risen to 4.1. This indicates that things could get down to business against Augsburg.
Don’t be fooled if the Fuggerstädter leave possession in midfield to the Wolves. It is precisely in these phases that they are particularly dangerous and mercilessly exploit every gap in the defence.
Augsburg often take a wait-and-see approach, having around 45% possession per game, but they could quickly take the initiative against a Wolfsburg side that averages 15.36 shots per game – the second-highest in the league.
There should therefore be numerous chances on both sides, although I think that FCA will make better use of the transition moments to generate big chances.
Wolfsburg Form Check
Wolfsburg is still stuck in the bottom of the table. After finishing 12th in 2023/24 and 11th in 2024/25, they are now in 15th place, just one point ahead of Bremen in third-to-last place.
Last Sunday, Daniel Bauer’s team was able to end a three-defeat streak when they fought for a 2-2 draw at RB Leipzig.
Victory seemed within reach: Wolfsburg led twice, first through Mohamed Amoura, who scored his eighth goal of the season, and then through Mattias Svanberg, but Brajan Gruda equalised for Leipzig shortly before the end.
Meanwhile, the personnel situation at VfL is visibly darkening. Jenson Seel, Kilian Fischer and Rogerio are definitely out against Augsburg, while Cleiton and Aaron Zehnter are on the brink.
Joakim Maehle will be missing in attack, as will Jesper Lindström, Kevin Paredes, Patrick Wimmer, Jonas Wind and Bence Dardai. As a result, Mohammed Amoura is expected to be the only striker.
The defensive thinning out and the absence of creative wingers make the task against the upcoming opponent particularly difficult. That’s why I expect FCA to break through so much.
Augsburg Form Check
Augsburg celebrated a narrow 1-0 home win against bottom-of-the-table Heidenheim last weekend thanks to a late penalty from Alexis Claude-Maurice and were thus able to relieve some pressure in the relegation battle.
In the 79th minute, Benedikt Gimber brought down Keven Schlotterbeck at a corner – Claude-Maurice confidently converted the penalty and scored his third goal of the season, after he had already made a decisive contribution to points in his last four home games.
With this success, the Fuggerstädter extended their unbeaten home game run to seven matches, and the new coach’s playing philosophy seems to be better and better received.
In terms of injuries, Augsburg have only two problem children who limit the coach somewhat. Chrislain Matsima and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw will probably be out, but the defence remains experienced.
Keven Schlotterbeck and Arthur Chaves should finally form the back three together with young talent Noahkai Banks and stabilize the defense – and that’s exactly what they should succeed in doing on Saturday!
