Wolfsburg – Heidenheim Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 18 on Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 15:30 CET
The Wolves seem to have recovered quickly from their 8-1 defeat against the record champions. In fact, the fact that they already beat an opponent comparable to FCH on the last Bundesliga matchday (2-1 against St. Pauli, note) plays into VfL’s hands.
However, as usual, I will take a sober look at the Bundesliga odds of the best old and new bookmakers for this matchday and especially at the starting position.
One thing quickly became clear to me: For a Wolfsburg Heidenheim tip, which assumes a share of points, you will be offered a much more attractive risk-reward ratio than for a home win of the not really biting Wolves.
Especially since they already missed a draw by a hair’s breadth during the week against the Kiezkicker.
Heidenheim has not won a game for quite some time and, on top of that, has only been able to win one of the eight direct duels against the upcoming opponent from Lower Saxony.
But I maintain that the Brenzstadt team still has a good opportunity to share the points on Saturday afternoon. At least this betting decision is made palatable to me by the disproportionately high draw rate.
And besides, not everything the Baden team offered was bad in the recent 2-1 defeat against the Nullfünfer.
Wolfsburg – Heidenheim Prediction & Betting Tips
Turbulent first half of the game? According to my Wolfsburg Heidenheim prediction, this can indeed be the case.
The selection 1st half: I would therefore dare to score both at odds around 3.65 – you are welcome to use a convenient Winamax Freebet.
In any case, VfL has already scored in its last five games before the break, which is why an early goal could actually favor a wild exchange.
2nd half: Heidenheim scores at betting odds of around 1.98, but I would also like to put it to the test separately. Especially since the Red and Blue have scored every single one of their six Bundesliga away goals so far only after the change of ends.
I’m expecting a cheerful game anyway and possibly even several goals in both rounds.
What you need to consider when betting on Wolfsburg vs. Heidenheim
- Wolfsburg have scored at least one goal before half-time in each of their last five games
- In the last nine meetings involving the Wolves, both teams have been able to net
- Four of Heidenheim’s last six games have ended with a narrow 2-1 result
- Heidenheim scored three-quarters of its goals of the season in the second half; including all away goals
Wolfsburg – Heidenheim: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our data model does not seem to be disgusted by the prospect of an away win bet on the Brenzstadt team – quite the opposite!
The Wolfsburg Heidenheim AI prediction I have actually noted this betting scenario as worthwhile. Especially since in the event of success, it returns a freshly printed 5-euro note for one euro stake.
What do I think of it? Great odds, no question, but the ratio between draw and payout is simply better. Especially since the division of points seems much more realistic than only the second Bundesliga away win of the Red and Blues this season.
When I ask our AI specifically, I am also told the expected final result with which FCH should have the upper hand – a tailor-made 2:1.
Incidentally, four of her last six competitive games have already ended in this way, sometimes for her, sometimes against her. With a 2:1 result bet on red-blue, you can expect attractive values around 17.0 even without Merkur Bets Super Odds Boost.
In case of doubt, you can make both hits as a single bet, as the 1.60 associated with it on the markets has a very high statistical probability of success.
After all, exactly this condition has been fulfilled again and again in each of VfL’s last nine games.
The best odds for Wolfsburg vs. Heidenheim
Let’s take a look at the Wolfsburg Heidenheim odds together – and even at first glance it becomes clear: The bookmakers see VfL as the clear favorite, perhaps even a tad too strong, but this is about the views of the bookmakers. You already know my opinion.
In any case, a VfL home win is rated 1.62. The bookmakers rely on home advantage, squad quality and the ability to dictate the pace at crucial moments.
Wolfsburg are the clear favourites, even if it could be closer from their own point of view.
The draw is 4.30. The bookmakers calculate that Heidenheim could occasionally set pinpricks and keep the game open longer. A point for the guests is conceivable, but not the scenario that the markets are primarily betting on.
An away win by Heidenheim is traded at 5.00. The bookmakers see the guests as clear outsiders: Only maximum efficiency, defensive compactness and individual moments could put VfL in trouble.
Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim Match Analysis:
Wolfsburg will try to take control of the game from the first minute and build up pressure through the centre.
The build-up play via Lovro Majer already worked excellently against St. Pauli, because the Croatian was passable between the lines and was able to vary the tempo well.
It is precisely this pattern that VfL is likely to choose again in order to push Heidenheim into their own half early on and get into the space with vertical passes.
Expect a lot of possession by the Wolves in the centre, early advancement of the wingers and the attempt to pull FCH apart through quick combinations.
Heidenheim, however, will hardly be impressed by this. The team lost to Mainz recently, but was anything but inferior in terms of play.
More possession and an xG value of 1.54 showed on Tuesday that they are capable of creating chances, even against playfully superior opponents (except FC Bayern, of course).
So if Wolfsburg acts too openly and gets involved in an open exchange of blows, it is precisely these spaces that could play into Heidenheim’s hands. Their strength lies in consistent advancement, clear processes and quick switching as soon as gaps arise.
Wolfsburg Form Check
Wolfsburg made an impressive comeback after the disastrous 8-1 thrashing against league leaders Bayern and defeated St. Pauli 2-1 on Wednesday. Even if the performance was not entirely convincing, the result was perfect to stabilize the mood.
With three wins from the last five Bundesliga games, the Wolves have also permanently moved up the rankings!
Offensively, they show signs of consistency, but defensively there is still some catching up to do: Wolfsburg have not kept a clean sheet at home since February 2025!
In terms of personnel, the Wolves seem stable, there are no new absences known. The team is confident at home, takes chances consistently and tries to keep the pace of the game high in order to put the opponent under pressure early on.
The offense seems to be more stable again, but defensively there are gaps that could potentially be exploited in this encounter.
Despite the deficits, the form curve speaks for Wolfsburg, but the bottom line is that they still overestimate the bookmakers a little bit in their playing possibilities.
Heidenheim Form Check
Heidenheim travels to the game in a depressed mood after the 2-1 defeat against Mainz and has not won in four matchdays.
This negative series has pushed the team to the bottom of the table, which further increases the pressure on coach Frank Schmidt – since he took over in September 2007, he has never been threatened with relegation.
The form does not speak for an easy away trip: Seven defeats from eight league away games, including all three against opponents from the lower half of the table, clearly show how difficult it is on a foreign pitch.
The defense looks vulnerable, and the offensive actions have not been enough to turn games around.
In terms of personnel, there are currently no known new absences, but the team seems insecure and must show a clear improvement in performance away from home against a home team that has recently regained self-confidence.
However, as is well known, the ball is round and judging by the performance alone, they would have deserved a point against the Kiezkicker. So FCH is certainly not completely without a chance on Saturday!
