Wolfsburg – Lyon Women’s Tip Champions League Women, quarter-final first leg on Tuesday, 24.03.26 at 18:45 CET
Was that a Pyrrhic victory? Yes, the Wolves were able to celebrate an important 1-0 victory at the weekend and thus keep the championship fight in the Bundesliga open. But the early substitution of Alexandra Popp due to injury could have serious consequences.
In fact, I don’t expect in my Wolfsburg Lyon women’s prediction that it will be enough for VfL against its feared opponent. Especially not now, when the club’s own captain and icon will probably only have to watch.
Lyon have faced this opponent more than half a dozen times in the Queen’s League since 2018 and have never lost out. It was only in the league phase that they managed an “unlucky” 3-1 victory.
Because judging by the xG ratio, this should have been much higher!
Wolfsburg Lyon AI predictions:
After our data model simulated the game thousands of times, our Wolfsburg Lyon AI prediction immediately named a promising name! The selection Hegerberg scores at odds of about 1.44 would have been my hot tip for a goal bet in the first leg.
The Norwegian already scored in the league against Fleury at the weekend and in the joint league phase duel against VfL in mid-November – at that time even in spectacular fashion!
Within the first 30 minutes, she nailed two balls into the box guarded by Stina Johannes.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Wolfsburg (W) |
Draw |
Victory Lyon (W) |
| 15.5% |
17.6% |
66.9% |
And indeed, a team that has won ten competitive games in a row could also outplay an opponent like Wolfsburg.
Therefore, by the way, the suggestion to win Lyon without conceding a goal at odds of about 2.86 arouses my interest. The French defend masterfully and have won eight of the ten victories without scoring an opponent.
And since the absence of Alexandra Popp seems very likely on the other side, VfL could indeed have problems creating any significant chances on Tuesday evening despite home advantage.
What you need to know about Wolfsburg vs. Lyon women’s betting
- Wolfsburg Home Series: The “Wolves” present themselves extremely reliably in front of their own audience; Wolfsburg have scored at least one goal of their own in all home games in the current 2025/26 season.
- Hegerberg in top form: Lyon’s star striker Ada Hegerberg is currently almost unstoppable; in addition to her most recent goal in Ligue 1, she also scored twice against VfL in the league phase.
- Lyon’s historical dominance: The psychological component clearly speaks for the guests; Olympique Lyon have won each of the last seven direct duels in the Champions League Women against Wolfsburg.
- French defensive bulwark: Since the beginning of 2025, Lyon’s defence has been hard to crack away from home; in all away games, they have conceded more than one goal per game only once.
