Bundesliga Matchday 7, Sunday, 20.10.2024 at 17:30
Directly out of intuition I came up with the perfect bet for this match. In my Wolfsburg Werder Bremen betting tip, I choose the goal for both teams from Betway. The two green and white clubs will be aiming for three points on Sunday and the last few games have usually been hotly contested.
Bremen have done well in Wolfsburg in the past. So far, the team from the Weser is playing a solid season, still waiting for their first goal at home, but have cleaned up well on away trips so far.
Wolfsburg, like Werder, have already beaten a number of Bundesliga giants after their first six games and are just one point behind the sports club from the north.
Ole Werner actually wanted to “blow away the spider’s web in front of the foghorn” with his Werderans against Freiburg. But even after the 0:1 against the sports club, the fans had to wait for the famous sound and the subsequent “500 Miles” goal anthem.
Previously, the team drew 0:0 against BVB, while FC Bayern rolled over Bremen (0:5). Important points came from the matches in Mainz (2:1) and Hoffenheim (4:3), a memorable away win in which they managed a comeback after trailing 0:3 and then being sent off by Hoffenheim.
The oddsmakers’ forecast
Wolfsburg are ahead with odds of 2.05, Bremen have 3.30 at Oddset, and the draw is at 3.70. I don’t find any of them really attractive, instead I would prefer to cover two out of three outcomes using “double chance”.
Bremen are still unbeaten away from home. There are strong 1.73 odds for the “Double Chance X2”, while Wolfsburg have yet to win a game at the Volkswagen Arena. In addition, I currently see Bremen at least at eye level in terms of play.
KI prediction Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen
And the Werder away win is also an AI suggestion, although it’s ChatGPT’s high risk variant. Wolfsburg concede an average of two goals per match, only escaped unscathed in Kiel and their record against Werder at home is not rosy either.
Bremen look more stable to me at this point of the season. Werner has been able to stabilize the defence in particular. Some players have taken the next step, above all captain Marco Friedl, who didn’t get a minute in the match against Austria but was nominated
He was suspended for the eight goals conceded against Hoffenheim and Bayern. With him on the pitch, Werder have conceded just two goals in the last three matches. That’s why I’m not a fan of the artificial intelligence odds suggestion with medium risk.
For this, it provides for over 3.5 goals. In the past, Wolfsburg often scored a few goals when Bremen visited, the last two games alone ended 2:2, but ultimately 2.70 is too hot for me, precisely because of the stability of the Green-Whites.
According to ChatGPT, the goal of both teams is low risk and is in line with my betting tip for the match. A 1:1 or 2:1 for one of the teams is the most realistic result in my eyes.
Analysis: Wolfsburg vs. Werder Bremen
Tipping the result correctly is very difficult, however. You know it from the betting tips. The individual result odds at the bookmakers are correspondingly high. But what does it look like when we combine a stack of different results?
At Winamax, we have the option of building a multi-chance bet using the betting configurator.
I’ve thrown in the 1:1, 2:2 and the 2:1, 3:1 and 3:2 win results of both teams and get strong 1.92 odds, an extended “both teams score” bet with the nicer odds:
I’ve already reported in more detail on Bremen’s start to the season, but what about VfL? They’ve already played against Bayern’s star ensemble and sold themselves well in the 3-2 defeat on the first matchday.
Not much was missing against Frankfurt (1:2) and Leverkusen (3:4) to get something to show for it. Against Stuttgart it was at least enough for a 2:2. But just like against FCB, Bayer and Frankfurt, a late goal conceded spoiled the Wolves’ mood.
All four teams were able to score the decisive goals from the 82nd minute onwards. With this record, Wolfsburg are almost the antithesis of Leverkusen’s last-minute scoring qualities.
Ratings analysis
In view of the starting program, twelfth place with seven points and a positive goal difference is still good for Wolfsburg. Incidentally, a total of 25 goals were scored, which is only topped by a handful of other teams in the Bundesliga.
I still think “over 3.5 goals” against Bremen’s back three is too hot. Instead, I think the “over 2.5 goals” variant at 1.70 is great. Since I’m convinced that both teams will score anyway, they can be combined to 1.90 odds at Winamax.
Incidentally, you don’t pay any tax with the betting provider. You also get a free bet of up to 100 euros as a welcome bonus. Your deposit will be doubled in free bet credit.
You can easily wager the real money at 1.05 odds and withdraw it again. In my opinion, this is the best new customer bonus; alternatively, you can get a €20 free bet directly from Betano without making a deposit.
Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen odds: Both teams with injury worries
Both teams are currently missing no fewer players. Bremen are still without Niklas Stark in central defense. Substitute Milos Veljkovic is also out.
The absence of Justin Njinmah, who has been struggling with a ligament injury since the match in Mainz, weighs heavily up front. Keke Topp and Oliver Deman are also unavailable.
Wolfsburg are particularly thin in midfield. Aster Vranckx, Mattias Svanberg, Kevin Paredes and Lovro Majer are missing, as are Rogerio, Lukas Nmecha and Bartos Bialek.
Wind will score for the third time in a row?
I find a goalscorer bet rather uninteresting for this match. Of the two teams combined, Jonas Wind is still the most reliable scorer, having scored his last three goals in recent games.
He has odds of 3.00. Werder will be hoping first and foremost for the qualities of Marvin Ducksch, who also acts as an assist man and has 3.20.
67 matches have already been played between Wolfsburg and Werder. Werder have prevailed 31 times, VfL have 24 wins and only twelve games have ended in draws.
Of the last seven home games, Wolfsburg have only won one against Werder. Incidentally, both teams have scored every time during this period. Only in the two 1:1 results in 2017 and 2019 has the score been less than 2.5 goals.
Werder have scored at least twice in the last four matches.
Wolfsburg coach Ralph Hasenhüttl made his debut in his new job against Werder, scoring in a 0-2 away win at the Weserstadion, the last meeting between the two teams.
My Wolfsburg Werder Bremen tip:
An interesting Bundesliga Sunday game is coming up, not only because the past games in Wolfsburg between these two clubs have been tough, but because both teams are aiming for a three-pointer here.
Werder are still unbeaten away from home, while the Wolves are still waiting for their first home win. I expect a fairly open exchange of blows, see the visitors as the slightly more stable team against the ball, but for me it’s a total 50:50 game.
In the end, I expect an even affair with a similar number of good scoring chances on both sides.
Therefore, my Wolfsburg Werder Bremen betting tip is: Both teams will score!
