Paris Masters, Final, Sunday, 03.11.2024, 15:00
Final in Paris, Alexander Zverev wants to win his second major title in 2024 after Rome. Did he think it would happen? I dare to doubt that. After all, he has repeatedly emphasized that he is no longer at 100 percent. But there’s been no sign of that in the last few days.
The German is in strong form. He will now face local hero Ugo Humbert, whom he has already beaten on the same court in 2023. This time it’s the final and the 18th player in the world has the chance to win his first 1000 title.
In my Zverev Humbert betting tip, however, I see the German tennis ace ahead, as I see him as more stable overall. In the last few rounds, he hardly conceded anything and he has an experience advantage for such matches, despite playing away, I’m targeting the odds for Zverev to win the match and the first set at Bet365.
In Rome, Zverev rushed to his only tournament win this year, only losing one set in the semi-finals, and in Paris he also has an outstanding record of only losing two service games and one set.
He was beaten by Arthur Fils in the round of 16, but in the end it was successful revenge for the defeat in his own living room at the 500 final in Hamburg. Humbert, who lost to Zverev at the Paris Masters last year, is also on the hunt for revenge.
In 2021, he still came out on top against the German in Halle. They were both close matches over three sets, with two tiebreaks at the end deciding the outcome in Paris.
Zverev is clearly favored by Betano. Incidentally, the bookmaker offers increased odds for the final, with Zverev’s odds at 1.39 and Humbert’s at 3.30. For me, the odds for the German, who I think is ahead, are too low to tackle.
If you have other bets ready for this sporty Sunday, you can also take the odds as a combination variant. You can also take a look at our other betting tips. For example, I’m currently on a Formula 1 run and had the right bet for the last eight races. Incidentally, the start of the race has been brought forward to 16:30.
Nico Hülkenberg, a very good friend of Zverev’s who both live in Monaco, is the only German driver taking part.
While the Haas driver is hoping for points, Zverev already has enough for the finals, but wants to bag his second Masters title and, above all, win his first in Paris.
He still has a score to settle with the French capital, where he loves to serve. His tragic injury during his strong match against Rafael Nadal slowed him down in the 2022 Roland Garros semi-finals, and this year he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the final after leading 2:1 in sets.
And at the Masters? He already played the final here in 2020, but was beaten by Dannil Medvedev. Will he win his first Paris title against Humbert? In the previous rounds, he took out Fils, Tallon Griekspoor, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Holger Rune.
He did not concede a set against the last two players. The only two breaks he conceded were against Rune when serving out the second set and Fils. He conceded 25, 24 and 23 percent of return points in three out of four games.
He won far more points on his opponents’ serves.
Humbert already has one more match under his belt, had to enter the first round as a non-top 8 seed and has already had to go into a third set three times. He particularly attracted attention against Carlos Alcaraz, whom he defeated 6-1, 3-6, 7-5.
He also has a strong record, but had to stretch himself more often than Zverev, lost more service games and also benefited from an injury to Khachanov in the semi-final against a Karen Khachanov in the third set, who incidentally skipped the handshake.
The reason for this was Humbert’s exuberant reactions to winning points against the Russian, even after mistakes or signs of Khachanov’s physical impairment. I’ve noticed his extravagant behavior on the court in other matches as well.
Of course, he’s also trying to play mind games with his cheering to get a few more decibels out of the French fans. Personally, I’m not very comfortable with his demeanor, but on the other hand it’s great that not everyone on the tour is the same. By the way, mind games are also commonplace in the US election.
My Zverev Humbert tip
Zverev vs Humbert! Will Zverev win his second title in 2024? Or can Humbert call himself Tennis Masters champion after Sunday? I expect an aggressive performance from the Frenchman, who will celebrate every point frenetically to push himself and get his opponent out of his stride.
Zverev’s return game has been strong over the past few days, but he brings a different quality of service to the table and hardly lets anything slip on his first and second serve.
That gives him confidence and at the same time builds up pressure on his opponent on his own serves.
At the same time, Zverev returns strongly during the days, repeatedly hitting the balls long to the baseline in order to move directly from defense to offense. He hardly shows the passivity he is so often criticized for here.
He has also won his last six final matches played on hard court, winning Olympic gold in the process! He also took set number one in the last seven matches.
My Zverev Humbert tip: Set 1 & Match Zverev.
