Bundesliga 8th matchday, Saturday, 10/26/2024 at 3:30 pm
A new attempt, a new luck. This is the motto of the game between St. Pauli and Wolfsburg on Saturday afternoon.
The Hanseatic team is still waiting for their first home win of the season, which admittedly is still young.
In addition, coach Alexander Blessin’s team wants to turn things around and escape the bottom of the table.
Will they succeed? Although the Wolves are only four points ahead of the Kiezkickers in the table, the guests have done well away from home so far, winning two of three games.
In any case, VfL has its own problems. Despite good approaches in some games this season, they lack consistency.
Therefore, my St. Pauli Wolfsburg betting tip is for a close game in which both sides will score at least once.
The betting providers’ prediction?
In the Bundesliga, it is now common practice for a coach with a RB past to be on the sidelines. This makes some playing styles predictable.
This time is no different. In our betting tip for the St. Pauli Wolfsburg game, the bookmakers we tested assume that both sides will neutralize each other. A clear favorite cannot be identified.
KI prediction St. Pauli vs. Wolfsburg: ChatGPT’s prediction
Artificial intelligence is currently on everyone’s lips. Whether it’s ChatGPT, Gemini or whatever they’re all called, you can’t get around it anymore.
But that’s how I used it, to get a prediction with high, medium and low risk for each of the St. Pauli Wolfsburg tips.
A classic here is betting on the halftime or final score. The high-risk AI prediction is one in which VfL wins both halves. They have managed this twice so far.
According to ChatGPT, an away win is a little less risky. I can sign off on that, since the Wolves have scored six of their seven points this season away from home anyway.
The least explosive for the artificial intelligence is a game with goals on both sides. But for that to happen, the home side in particular have to break their goal drought. They are currently still without a goal at home.
Analysis: St. Pauli vs. Wolfsburg
So far, the Hanseatic side have suffered five defeats. However, with the win over Freiburg and the draw against Leipzig, all is not lost.
The five defeats at the start are a new record for coach Alexander Blessin, though. One he can certainly do without.
The visitors don’t look much better at the moment. Tiago Tomas and Mohamed Amoura are always a threat up front. They are one of four teams to have scored in every game.
But at the back, the Wolves have conceded 16 goals, making them one of the weakest defenses in the league.
Odds analysis
And although the Kiezkicker have not scored at all four times this season, bookmakers like Bwin think it is likely that the spell will finally be broken.
Before kick-off, you can find odds of just over 1.20 for your St. Pauli Wolfsburg tip if the home side scores at least once.
But what I find much more interesting is the question of who will score the first goal. Last week, VfL already squandered a lead. They have given away eleven points so far after taking the lead.
Trend reversal at St. Pauli?
As a promoted team, it is mainly the home games that should ensure the team stays in the league. At least that has often been the case in recent years.
The older ones among you will surely remember, but the last home win for the Kiezkicker was in February 2011.
Since then, they have only managed to get a measly point in eight games at Millerntor. They already have eight home games without a win, a shared negative record for them.
Wolfsburg without the captain
Sometimes football is really crazy. Or rather: its referees. Because last weekend, Maximilian Arnold got a yellow card.
So far, so normal. But he got it after taking a header and then being visibly dazed and substituted.
Arnold trudged off the field before half-time and the referee showed him his fifth yellow card of the season.
Without him, it will be even harder than without Patrick Wimmer, who got the red card against Bremen. With him on the field, VfL averaged 1.4 points per game. Without Wimmer, only 0.9.
The direct comparison between FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg is actually interesting. Because in the first division, the Hanseatic team is still undefeated against this opponent (1W, 3D).
The home side also have an almost perfect record in the 2nd Bundesliga: they have only lost once in 14 games (5W, 8D).
The fact that both coaches, Blessin and Hasenhüttl, come from the RB cosmos, which I mentioned at the beginning, could have an impact on the game.
While the hosts are the team with the highest mileage (121.7km), the Wolves make the most sprints per game (231). So it could be an attritional battle.
My St. Pauli Wolfsburg Tip:
It’s probably a good thing that this game will be lost in the conference on Saturday afternoon. Which is not to say that it won’t be a goal-scoring game.
Going forward, I believe in an end to the scoring drought for the Hanseatic club. Defensively, however, they will have to suffer against Tomas and Co.
Therefore, my St. Pauli Wolfsburg betting tip is: Both teams to score!
