Europa Conference League 5th matchday, Thursday, 12/12/2024 at 6:45 pm
The European Cup is calling – a welcome change in the dreary relegation battle!
1. FC Heidenheim is allowed to play in the Conference League for the fifth time. Since there have already been three victories here, the team is not under pressure. Nevertheless, the Swabians naturally still want to go out as favorites from my Basaksehir Heidenheim tip.
The Turks are winless in international competition, but their results are significantly more goal-scoring than those of FCH. So I have to decide which style of play I trust more here.
Since there are many close results on both sides, I ultimately decided on a fairly simple bet.
This is: No tendency at half time, it’s a draw after 45 minutes. FCH has never been behind after the first half, and the Turks have not been behind in three out of four games either. Of course, in the course of my analysis, I collect further facts that support this tip.
It is very interesting to see how the 1×2 odds in this game are developing. 2.60 to 2.65 on average – there is virtually no advantage for anyone! Since the Bundesliga club is playing away, they are probably even expected to do a little better.
Of course, I would like to try to find out what kind of game we can expect here. One of the clubs will inevitably have to adapt to the playing style of the other, and the match is unlikely to be low on goals and spectacular at the same time!
The betting providers’ prediction?
You want to go for a 1×2 bet? Then you need a lot of courage to take risks! Our bookmakers don’t know themselves who they should see better in front, the teams are apparently too close.
It even varies from one betting provider to the next as to who is seen as marginally ahead. You can remember an approximate 2.60, this value is set more or less equally for both teams.
Does that mean that everything will end in a draw? With odds of 3.40, a point split is quoted a little bit lower than the average of 3.50, so it is quite conceivable that we will end up with a draw here.
KI prediction Basaksehir vs Heidenheim: That’s what ChatGPT tips for
Although I am confident about my prediction, I am also putting ChatGPT’s conviction to the vote at the same time – maybe one of the Basaksehir Heidenheim AI tips is something for you too.
I can’t even deny my favor to the assumption made at a high risk. If I assume that it will be a draw at half-time, then this may also be the case after 90 minutes.
In any case, the even odds offered by the betting providers also suggest that the end result here tends towards a tie.
The fact that the AI expects 2 to 3 overall goals in the medium-risk tip also makes sense to me. As mentioned, the Turks contribute exactly one goal to every international game, so there is still room for Heidenheim to defend themselves.
But although the AI obviously had a good day, of all things the tip with supposedly low risk does not necessarily get my blessing: the fact that the double chance 1X categorically excludes a quite possible away win is clearly too poorly quoted for me here!
Analysis: Basaksehir vs Heidenheim
The first half of the Bundesliga season is almost over. In Heidenheim, they are not going to be sad about it, because for months now things have only been going in one direction: downhill.
Five defeats in a row, seven of the last eight games lost, and now the team has arrived at the relegation place. Few goals, many conceded, everything is simply going against Frank Schmidt’s team.
All the more reason for fans and players to be pleased that another competition is now on the horizon. In the Conference League, the Swabians are showing a completely different side, bringing the coolness to the pitch that is missing in the league.
They got off to a good start with a 2-1 win over Olimpija Ljubljana, followed by a 1-0 win over Pafos. They also managed a win against Hearts, this time with a relatively clear 2-0 victory.
Odds Analysis
It’s not easy to find a few accurate tips for this game. Heidenheim could score the first goal of the match, as they did in three of the four games. The odds would be 2.00 at Interwetten in this case.
I can well imagine that the Bundesliga club’s style of play will prevail, because Basaksehir has only been able to score one goal in three matches. Therefore, a 1-0 result is perhaps an option, which is rewarded with odds of around 9.25 on both sides.
On the Turkish side, should the match NOT end 0-1, there is Krzystof Piatek, a striker who has already scored three times in the CL. If he is also successful against Heidenheim, you can get odds of 2.50 at Betano.
Basaksehir vs. Heidenheim: Can Heidenheim keep a clean sheet?
The 2-0 defeat to Chelsea was the first in their series of defeats, but the Blues are probably the strongest team in the competition. The decisive second goal came late on, so I can’t blame the Heidenheim defense for much.
Two 1-0 wins, two 0-0 draws: not much happens in the first 45 minutes when Heidenheim are on the pitch. In the Bundesliga, five of their last six away games have been lost, but that must not happen in the Conference League.
Mikkel Kaufmann is still questionable for Thursday. Not the best news, because Marvin Pieringer only suffered an injury to his inner ligament a few weeks ago and is sure to be out.
On the other hand, the betting provider Happybet is anything but a failure. The bonus of up to 150 euros offered to new customers is quite large!
Bad luck and inability come together at Basaksehir
Although there are no injured key players at Basaksehir, the team is under a lot of pressure in the Conference League. Two points from four matches, as things stand they would be out!
They started out with a 1-2 defeat in the international competition, and then went on to lose 5-1 to Celje. At least they have picked up a point from each of their last two matches.
They drew 2-2 with Copenhagen and 1-1 with Petrocub. It was annoying to see them blow a two-goal lead against Copenhagen and then concede in the sixth minute of stoppage time against Petrocub!
It’s basically not working without conceding a goal, but the attack can compensate for that, after all, it scores in every match – unfortunately never again. Basaksehir is not exactly known for playing confidently in the Süper Lig either.
Most recently, there were two wins with seven goals, but before that, they also found themselves in a streak in which they did not win six times in a row. At least they have not suffered a defeat in their own stadium, at least in domestic competition.
A German opponent is not necessarily a positive omen. Basaksehir have played two games each against Hoffenheim, RB Leipzig and Gladbach, with one win, two draws and three defeats.
The one success came against Borussia Mönchengladbach in 2019. But wait, when exactly was it won? It was December 12, which is also the date when Heidenheim will be our guests!
My Basaksehir Heidenheim Tip:
Heidenheim has a more than realistic chance of reaching the Conference League knockout round directly! The Swabians just have to continue as before, they are known in Europe for their defensive, effective performances.
Basaksehir are a different story; the Turks tend to be involved in high-scoring games. Their weak defense has let them down badly, with ten goals already conceded. It doesn’t help that three of the four results were very close.
The home side have already thrown away leads, but Heidenheim have not. In addition, very few goals are scored by the Swabians before half-time. For these reasons, I have decided to place my bet on the following tip:
At half-time it’s a draw!
