Bundesliga match day 14, Sunday, 15/12/2024 at 5:30 PM
The third Sunday of Advent is just around the corner and the game between Dortmund and Hoffenheim will certainly be anything but contemplative.
In the recent past, it has always been a close-fought duel between the two clubs. So make sure you have your earplugs with you in case the sound system in the guest block is too loud again.
In the last four games, there has always been a winner, but they only managed to win by a maximum of one goal.
After an intense week in Europe, it is difficult for both sides to muster up the strength for the next hot dance.
However, BVB benefits from its home strength. They only just fought Barcelona hard on Wednesday. The atmosphere in the Westfalenstadion can freshen up many a heavy leg.
Since it won’t be a football delicacy, my Dortmund Hoffenheim tip assumes advantages for the home side, but many goals are unlikely to be scored.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The fifth, who has shown himself to be extremely strong at home this season, meets the 14th of the table. It doesn’t take much imagination to predict the roles.
Nevertheless, the Dortmund vs. Hoffenheim betting tip that the hosts will win both halves is still available from the NEO.bet bookmakers at odds of around 3.00.
ChatGPT prediction Dortmund vs. Hoffenheim: ChatGPT’s prediction
But it gets exciting when we look at the AI predictions. Before this game, I asked ChatGPT about three possible scenarios, ranked by risk.
According to the artificial intelligence, the highest risk is a BVB win with at least a three-goal difference. I would advise against high handicap bets, as the home team is currently on its last legs.
The Dortmund Hoffenheim AI tip seems more realistic to me, assuming a game with over 3.5 goals. After all, four or more goals have been scored in five of the Borussians’ previous seven home games.
So, in my view, it is also easy to assume that there will be goals on both sides. Even if there is a shred of doubt: TSG has not scored in the Bundesliga for 315 minutes.
Analysis: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
Since Christian Ilzer moved from Graz to Sinsheim, the team has not really changed. Of course, they won their first game against RB Leipzig 4:3.
But since then, there was only one point (1N) in the Bundesliga and also in the cup, the TSG was eliminated without ceremony against VfL Wolfsburg (0:3).
BVB, on the other hand, played two draws in a row last time. This means that they now have 21 points after 13 games and have thus started as weakly as they have not done in seven years.
However, after the two draws and the win over Freiburg, they could remain unbeaten for four consecutive matches for the first time this season.
Due to the current good home form of the hosts combined with the TSG’s scoring drought away from home,
combined bets are also available for the Dortmund Hoffenheim betting tip.
The betting providers at Bet365 are predicting odds of around 2.80 if only Borussia scores. After all, the visitors have been waiting for a goal for six games across all competitions!
Jamie Gittens has been one of the guarantees of success at BVB recently. The winger has scored in each of his last three Bundesliga games. Will it be the same on Sunday?
The bookmakers at Interwetten are predicting odds of around 2.90 for a Gittens goal. If his team wins, the odds are 3.30.
Ratings analysis
75 minutes. That’s how long TSG has to avoid a new negative record. In 2011, they were last without an away goal for longer (389 minutes) than they are currently (315).
Never before have the Sinsheimers had as few goals as they currently have (3) in the first six away games of a season. These three goals have at least led to three points.
But the general form has not improved under Ilzer either. Hoffenheim have only managed one win from their last six Bundesliga games (3W, 2D).
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Can Hoffenheim stop the negative trend?
The away weakness of TSG is only undercut by BVB. They have only managed to get two measly points away from home. It’s a good thing they have a home game coming up.
A win in the last home game of the year would also be important for morale. Because the squad is on its last legs. On Wednesday, Nico Schlotterbeck also suffered a serious injury.
Perhaps Karim Adeyemi will get his first minutes of action after a long injury absence. But here, too, the personnel situation is very thin.
The duels between Dortmund and Hoffenheim have repeatedly made headlines in the past. However, they have mostly had the better outcome for BVB.
Since the 2020/21 season, the Borussians have on average scored more points against the Sinsheimers than against any other club (2.4 in eight games).
However, the last encounter in February this year ended 3-2 to TSG. Maximilian Beier scored twice that day.
It remains to be seen whether the new Dortmund player will be fit to play again on Sunday. He was not in the squad against Barcelona due to injury.
My Dortmund Hoffenheim Tip:
With the thin personnel cover and the currently high workload for the squad, the hosts should not fire from all barrels. The same applies to the guests.
TSG’s away record is too poor for me to consider an away win possible. What they can hope for is an individual action by Tom Bischof. Otherwise, there won’t be many goal-scoring opportunities.
Therefore, my Dortmund Hoffenheim betting tip is: away win with handicap +2!
