Premier League, Wednesday, January 15, 2025 at 8:30 pm
Welcome back, David Moyes! The Toffees have persuaded the 61-year-old to take on his second term in office and want nothing less than to stay up and bring stability to the club.
Under the Scottish manager, the hosts will defend no less intensely than under his predecessor Sean Dyche, which is why I rate Aston Villa’s chances of winning as rather low.
My Everton Aston Villa betting tip predicts a positive start for the second Moyes era. You can get the odds of 2.05 at AdmiralBet for the combo of “double chance 1X & under 3.5 goals”.
Everton are in a mess again. The Toffees are on the brink and are only clinging to a point above the relegation places.
Nevertheless, I would not advise anyone against using their sports betting bonus for odds of up to 3.30 for a home win.
There are many reasons for this. First and foremost, however, it is the Villans’ catastrophic away record, which has recently seen them lack any winning gene away from home.
In terms of the table (8th), Unai Emery and his men are moving further and further away from their actual goal – qualifying for the Champions League. I therefore consider the win rate of around 2.40 to be reasonable.
Aston Villa have lost five Premier League away games in a row, after collecting three wins and a draw away from home at the start of the season.
However, a glance at their most recent opponents shows the direction of travel. The Villans lost their five away appearances against the following opponents: Tottenham (1-4), Liverpool (0-2), Chelsea (0-3), Nottingham Forest (1-2) and Newcastle (0-3).
With the exception of Spurs, you will find all of these teams among the top five in the English Elite League. Nevertheless, these experiences have probably left their mark.
The Villans have not scored a goal in three of the five away games just mentioned. Overall, the expected goals of the guests (31.6 xG) are just enough for a place in the upper half of the table (9th).
Everton is an extraordinary team that is deep in the relegation battle but has already finished seven league games without conceding a goal!
The Toffees pay attention to detail in defense and in the box is English national goalkeeper Jordan Pickford. The keeper has so far parried a strong 70.9 percent of the balls and has been an important part of this team for years.
In addition, David Moyes’ return to his old love could ignite a new fire in the players and give the offensive department a boost in motivation. That’s why I went straight to the Merkur Bets app to look for the “Everton win without conceding a goal” bet – and found odds of 5.30.
“Under 2.5 goals” is practically the standard for a game involving the Toffees. So far, 12 of the 19 league games have had a maximum of two goals.
While the defense is solid, the offense has been lacking since the start of the season. Everton have not scored in eight of their previous 10 Premier League games.
The Villans have given away far too many big chances this season (44). Unai Emery’s team definitely can’t afford such numbers with only 4.3 shots on goal per game (16th).
Only four teams have so far taken fewer shots on goal than the visitors. As expected, Everton (3.3) is one of them.
At Goodison Park, though, I still see the hosts with the better hand. The Toffees have only lost one of their last seven league home games and have always been competitive.
The Villans, on the other hand, have only collected ten out of 32 points this season away from their own arena (31.3 percent).
Under the leadership of David Moyes, I can well imagine the Toffees getting off to a successful start. Everton will continue to defend fiercely and radiate new energy in attack.
In addition, the five away defeats in a row by the Villans could still be on their minds and conjure up a positive game for the home side.
My Everton Aston Villa betting tip is therefore: Double Chance 1X & Under 3.5 goals
