Union Berlin – Augsburg betting tip, AI prediction & odds 15/01/2025

Bundesliga 17th matchday, Wednesday, 15/01/2025 at 20:30

It’s one of those games that we can justifiably call a crisis duel. One in which, at first glance, there is no favorite. And one that unfortunately doesn’t sound like high-quality football either!

In this case, our Bundesliga tips deal with one of the most delicate matters of the English week.

So today I’m looking at the capital, and in my Union Berlin Augsburg tip I’m taking a closer look at two crises at once. There is hardly anything between the two teams in the table, and in terms of their respective strengths and weaknesses, they are on a par.

From my point of view, it is therefore interesting that the bookmakers favor the home side – and quite clearly so! I immediately disagree with this, because if I were you, I would rather bet on the double chance X2 – and there are a few historical reasons for this!

The FCA is one of the Unioners’ bogey opponents, but the capital city team will be all the more pleased to hear that the Fuggerstadt team have been incredibly weak away from home this season – but then again, there is the terrible crisis in Berlin!

In my Union Berlin Augsburg prediction, it will certainly not be easy for me to choose a credible favorite and to back it up with facts. But one thing is clear: a draw would get us nowhere, so we actually have to go for victory!

The betting providers’ prediction?

Union have not won in nine games, have lost the last six, and have only beaten Augsburg once. Nevertheless, the bookmakers are very optimistic on Wednesday and are offering odds of 1.90 for a win.

The situation is quite different for FC Augsburg, where I see average odds of 4.30. Well, somehow that’s understandable, after all, the Bavarian Swabians have yet to pick up any points away from home.

Three of the last six direct duels had no winners at all, and there have already been three draws at the Alte Försterei in 2024/25. So maybe a draw bet would pay off this time too, which would result in odds of 3.40.

KI-Prognose Union Berlin vs Augsburg: That’s what ChatGPT tips for

A relegation battle is always very interesting for ChatGPT too. Of course, I also asked the AI about this interesting game and was given three very exciting tips that I can now present to you.

You take a fairly high risk if you place the 0-0 result bet as Union Berlin Augsburg tip. Not a common result, but both clubs have already achieved this result three times in total in 2024/25. Since I don’t expect much offensively, I don’t think a 0-0 is out of the question.

The risk is somewhat lower if we stick with a goalless draw, but apply it to the first 45 minutes. I agree with this even more, because I expect the uncertainty to be felt on both sides.

How many goals will be scored in the end? According to the AI, it seems more likely that the defense will be decisive. There are under 2.5 goals in the room – and since Union has a total of 14 goals and FCA has only scored five times away from home, this seems to be the case!

Finally, we saw the Union Berlin again that we knew from the so successful years! The Irons got off to a wonderful start to the season with four wins, three draws and only one defeat, a 0-1 defeat to Gladbach in the last second.

But at the end of October, a crisis began that continues to this day. Two points have been collected in these nine rounds, which is quite poor! In the table, of course, it went down accordingly, the lead on the relegation place is still four points.

The last six encounters all ended without any sense of achievement. Well, in purely sporting terms, a 1-1 draw against Bochum would have been a point, but on the green table, the result is now: 0-2!

So I count 13 goals, which we could theoretically increase to 15. While it started at home with three narrow victories, the last four home games only yielded two points.

Odds Analysis

It is by no means easy to agree on interesting bets for this game. I trusted the AI’s under 2.5 goals, but I would go even further. If we are right here with an under 1.5, the odds in the Merkur Bets app reach 3.15.

At the same time, I’m not particularly optimistic about “both teams scoring” here – the BTS is logically out of the question with a maximum of one goal. So if you rule out this bet, odds of around 1.80 await you.

If the game ends in a 0-0 draw, this tip would be a good choice. After registering with Bet365, you will be offered odds of 5.00 here.

Union Berlin vs. Augsburg: Union completely out of sorts

The start to the new year? It was a complete failure! Against Heidenheim, a club that was in an even deeper crisis, it was a 0-2 defeat. To make matters worse, Tom Rothe was sent off after a good half an hour and will therefore be missing on Wednesday.

For five games in a row, the team has conceded at least two goals. Will that happen again on matchday 17? If that’s exactly what happens against Augsburg, you can get odds of 3.60 at Oddset – not a bad idea if you want to sign up with this bookie.

The injuries to Ivan Prtajin and Josip Juranovic are not expected to be over by the time FCA arrive. This is unfortunate, because Union actually needs every fit man against this opponent.

Beware of FCA

In January 2020, the first home game ever against Augsburg was won 2-0, but it should remain the only success to date. One defeat and three draws followed, so at least there was only one defeat at home.

They have drawn and lost in each of their last seven matches, so after the recent 2-0 defeat, they would actually have to get a draw again. The guests know this. Historically, they have a good chance of getting something out of this game.

A few days ago, their year began with a 1-0 defeat to Stuttgart, in which their opponents were just a little bit better in a hard-fought game. It was the third defeat in a row, which is a first this season.

Of course, as FC Augsburg, you can lose against Stuttgart and Leverkusen, but the 5-1 defeat against Kiel before the winter break should not have happened.

Only against Bochum and Hoffenheim, both at home, has it worked out this season to collect a clean sheet. So the defense is once again one of the big problems, with 33 goals conceded already.

On the road? There are a total of 22 goals against with only five own goals. The Fuggerstadt team are not at all successful away from home, being one of four teams yet to win.

In Frankfurt (2:2) and Wolfsburg (1:1) there was one point, the duels against Kiel (1:5), Bayern (0:3), Freiburg (1:3), Leipzig (0:4) and Heidenheim (0:4) were lost, and always relatively clearly.

It is striking that the team has only once escaped with only one goal conceded, and has actually conceded more each time. At the same time, however, five own goals represent the second-worst attack after Hoffenheim.

Coach Jess Thorup is already under a lot of pressure, and another defeat in the English week could cost him his job.

My Union Berlin Augsburg Tip:

Union Berlin or Augsburg, who is in a worse crisis? Both teams are currently not in good shape and have lost again right at the start of the new year. At the FCA, the opponent was at least strong, but the capital city team were defeated in Heidenheim.

Ultimately, I can quickly summarize: I don’t really understand why the bookmakers see the home side as being ahead here, and even very clearly so. Yes, the Fuggerstadt team are winless away from home, but their own crisis is not without its problems either!

In addition, my analysis has shown that Augsburg is one of Union’s bogey teams. So the bottom line is that I have decided to go against the Berliners.

My Union Berlin Augsburg prediction: Augsburg takes something away from the capital!

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