Serie A, Sunday, 01/26/2025 at 08:45 PM
In the duel between the two Italian European Cup participants, both sides must keep a clear head. In particular, the guests must not be unsettled by their ongoing series of negative results.
Meanwhile, my Lazio Roma Fiorentina betting tip focuses on the first half of the game. Because with a bit of luck, all the goals in the game could fall in this half.
The form of the eagles from Rome remains a mix of glories and wobbles. On Thursday, the “Biancocelesti” last celebrated an impressive 3-1 victory against Real Sociedad, which sealed their place in the Europa League knockout stage.
But if you look at their last seven games, you can see that this success was only their third victory in that period (2 draws, 2 defeats). In Serie A, the sky blues are currently in fourth place, but their position is anything but secure.
Their last eight league games have been a rollercoaster of emotions: three wins, two draws and three defeats. This has dampened the euphoria that followed their previous five-win streak in the league.
So anything seems possible to me in the game against Fiorentina.
Nevertheless, there is hope for the Romans’ fans. Last weekend’s dominant 3-0 win over Hellas Verona made for positive headlines and the chance to finally get two wins in a row again.
But be careful: things are not going quite as well as they are used to at the Stadio Olimpico at the moment. Three Serie A home games without a win is an unusual slump for the otherwise home-strong capital city team.
The head-to-head is also misleading. Although Lazio are indeed unbeaten in nine home games against “La Viola”, the last two league games against this opponent took place in Tuscany – and both went to Florence!
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Before we take a closer look at Fiorentina, I would like to draw your attention to an interesting trend that you can capitalize on with a verified betting provider app.
Attention: Fiorentina are the only team in Serie A so far that have not conceded a goal in the last 15 minutes this season.
Moreover, the Viola have only conceded one goal in the second half in their last four meetings with this opponent.
My first recommendation is therefore quite clear: “Lazio don’t score a goal after half-time” at a great current odds of 2.15.
Now to the guests: The Florentines have their hands full keeping their season on track.
Sure, they won the first leg against the capital city team 2-1 and could even win both league games against them for the first time since the 2012/13 season.
But to be honest, that seems difficult to imagine at the moment. “La Viola” are in a real slump and have not won in the league for six games (2 draws, 4 defeats). This is their longest dry spell since February 2023.
Nevertheless, there were also bright spots in 2024/25: in the first 14 games of the season, the Tuscan side only lost once – and that shows the potential that lies dormant in this team.
They looked particularly solid defensively at the start of the season, with five clean sheets in a row.
But now the reality is different: In the last three away games, Fiorentina conceded five goals. Can they rediscover their old strength in this important duel?
I have already given you a Lazio Rom Fiorentina tip. And to a certain extent, the next two are based on the already indicated tendency that the capital city team could increasingly focus on the first half of the game.
Did you know that Lazio have always scored the first goal in their last 7 meetings with Florence?
What’s more, in 40% of all Serie A games played by the Biancocelesti this season, both sides have scored before half-time.
“Lazio 1-0” and ‘Both score before half-time’ at odds of 1.70 and 4.05 respectively on average at any good football betting provider are therefore clearly recommended.
Conclusion: It would be highly unusual for this Serie A pairing not to score before the break.
In fact, I have a feeling that it could get pretty heated before half-time this time too. Especially since Fiorentina are likely to be highly motivated from the start after the disappointments of recent weeks.
So, get ready for a turbulent encounter in which the “Viola” could turn a game around after trailing 1-0 for the third time in a row against Lazio.
My Lazio Roma Fiorentina betting tip: Over 1.5 goals in the first half.
